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McChrystal’s (ball folly and) Myth.
by Jeff Huber at Antiwar.com
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There is no such thing a “victory” in the kinds of wars we’re fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan. The best one can hope for in these types of conflicts – counterinsurgency efforts in far-flung corners of the globe with fuzzy objectives and vague necessity – is to not be seen as having “lost.” For that to happen, unfortunately, you have to stick around for so long and fade away so gradually that, by the time you leave, nobody notices you’re gone.
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(1. The American military is in Afghanistan because of Afghan Opium/Heroin worth about $50 –$80 billion a year once it is sold in the streets of Europe and North America transported by American military planes…..”Opium wars” redux.The American taxpayer pays for the operation in Afghanistan, and fights these wars, whilst a few criminals in the Pentagon and civilians allied to them profit from the operation. In such a scenario obviously most people trying to justify such costly operations would be groping around with cock and bull BS excuses to be in Afghanistan……including the likes of McChrystal, which for rational Americans would not make sense.
2. Iraq was about the Israeli desire for historical revenge for the Jewish peoples enslavement by the Assyrians, and the elimination of a regional rival with potential nuclear programs, and WMD programs generally. Iraq by 1990 had 1.1 million men under arms, 6000 tanks, 4,000 artillery pieces, 550 jets and extensive WMD programs as a result of the Iran/Iraq war…..but Israel was scared/shitting in the pants about this Iraqi might and wanted it neutralised via America.
There are some indications that Saddam was an American installed agent, indicated by the fact that he sought American “permission” to invade Kuwait in 1990, amongst other information, which the American ambassador gave informally.)
The neoconservative apparatus that got us into Iraq for reasons we still haven’t decided on threatens to keep us in Afghanistan indefinitely for reasons yet to be determined. Everything we’re doing in Central and Southwest Asia supposedly has something to do with eradicating al-Qaeda, yet there is
no sign of al-Qaeda in Afghanistan. The argument for persisting in Afghanistan says that we have to make sure al-Qaeda doesn’t go back there, yet as former CIA officer Philip Giraldi recently noted, credible assessments suggest that “Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaeda has likely been reduced to a core group of eight to ten terrorists who are on the run more often than not.”
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(al-Qaeda as an “organisation” with a coherent structure and a clear doctrine does not exist in the Vietcong sense, ANC sense, or Hizbollah sense, never did, but is an elaborate hologram to justify American military operations in certain countries. 12,000 mostly Arabs were trained by the Americans/Israelis/ Pakistanis during the 1980′s and into the 1990′s, initially fighting the Soviets in Afghanistan in a “Jehad”. Of these approximately 7,000 went back to their own countries settling down into civilian life, getting married etc….doing the 9—5….or causing problems for those Muslim countries…..Algeria, Yemen, Indonesia……and so on.
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Of the remaining 5,000 in Afghanistan, courtesy of Iran/America were covertly shipped to the Balkans in the 1990′s to fight “infidels” in Bosnia and Kosovo, and act as the Taliban’s shock troops to consolidate the country .
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It is these 5,000 men who were labelled as “al-Qaeda” from 2000/2001, but nearly all of them fought the Soviets in Afghanistan, and then in Bosnia, Kosovo NOT as al-Qaeda, and NOT linked to Osama Bin Laden, taking orders from him…….and NOT involved in any terrorist ops targetting Western assets or civilians. These men if they have been guided by anyone it is the ISI, which operates under the direction of American/Israeli intelligence.
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Thus it is more exact and correct to say that “al-Qaeda” is Western/Israeli intelligence assisted critically by the ISI. Of these 5,000, many are now dead, a few captured and the rest either in Iran, Pakistan or have returned to their countries of origin.
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9/11 2001 was a joint Israel/Israeli-American agents operation to justify the current open ended wars, and blamed on “al-Qaeda”.
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SO, Osama was never the leader of these 5,000 men….used extensively by the USA in various theaters, and trained by America/Israel. Osama Bin Laden never sat down with all of them in Afghanistan, and said “lets attack America, so that the American’s can occupy several Muslim countries for Israel”…….Osama until he died in December 2001 in Pakistan was an American agent, performing their guided theater, surrounded as always by a dozen followers and no more)
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For the sake of keeping fewer than a dozen evildoers out of Afghanistan, Gen. Stanley McChrystal and his legion of supporters in the Pentagon, Congress, and the media insist we need to bring increase U.S. troop levels to over 100,000, and the overall coalition force level to a half-million, the number of troops we had on the ground at one point in Vietnam.
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(unless we are looking at a buildup invasion force against Pakistan in the future……..and more war)
The half-million figure comes from the counterinsurgency field manual (FM 3-24, Counterinsurgency [.pdf]), which calls for 20 to 25 counterinsurgent forces per every 1,000 locals, and Afghanistan contain a tad over 28 million locals. Your cat can do the math from there. What your cat can’t tell you is the thought process behind the conclusion that it makes sense to pit a half-million persons under arms against a force of eight or ten persons who aren’t in the vicinity of where you plan to place your half-million armed people.
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(If you love war and think YOU are the center of the world, attacking wedding parties, attacking civilians, strutting around in uniform, feeling self important, giving media presentations to the world, heroin, opium……..bloated Pentagon security budgets which are untraceable in the trillions……..then of course any obvious cock and bull will be offered)
That’s because your cat’s thought process isn’t as short-circuited as the cognitive quagmire going on in the minds of McChrystal and the people backing him.
The short version of this loopy logic equation goes like this: you put McChrystal in charge and he’s asking for what an official doctrine manual says he should ask for, so you have to give it to him. This skips over a trail of false assumptions that, lined up end to end, would span the Khyber Pass.
The requirement for a half-million to ten superiority ratio should have been laughed out of the discussion the moment it was mentioned. The counterinsurgency manual’s dictum that we must “convince the people of the government’s legitimacy” contains two dismal flaws in the context of Afghanistan (and Iraq as well). There is no convincing the Afghan people of the legitimacy of the Hamad Karzai government or any other government we replace it with.
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(He has been in power approaching 8 years with nothing to recommend him, his brother is the biggest narco dealer in the country after the American military, and his deputy is a notorious criminal war lord……..which ALL Afghans know about, guarded by American security overtly……….and we talk about “convincing” the Afghans of the legitimacy of their leader? Ordinary Afghans live in Afghanistan, they know the real score. A pentagon manual isn’t going to teach them otherwise)
The biggest flaw in the pro-McChrystal plan argument is that the counterinsurgency manual reflects tried-and-true tactics and strategy. There has never been such a thing as a triumphant counterinsurgency conflict. These types of wars have all been indecisive and draining quagmires; the sorts of conflicts that Sun Tzu warned us about over two thousand years ago when he said “No nation ever profited from a long war.”
Yet it is that the military-industrial-congressional complex has adopted the “long war” concept, a gem of tank thinkery straight out of Orwell designed to keep America on a permanent wartime economy and in an endless state of fear and loathing of enemies vaguely defined and overly demonized.
Lacking a peer military adversary since the end of the Cold War, the American war mafia, headed by Bill Kristol’s Israeli-centric neoconservative cabal, casts about desperately for a “new Pearl Harbor” to justify its existence. The 9/11 attacks gave them the “catalyst” they needed to justify the invasions in Iraq and Afghanistan. It remains to be seen if we’ll be able to pull out of the flat spin they have flown us into.
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(We can add AIPAC, Israel, the American Jewish media……….I suppose this goes as far as posible in implicating Israel for 9/11…………”A Clean Break” document 1996, PNAC 2000)
The greatest fallacy in the counterinsurgency doctrine is the notion that we can partner with the host nation to establish order and security. As U.S. Army Col. Timothy Reese recently observed, our years of effort at establishing a competent and reliable government and security apparatus in Iraq have come to naught. The “ineffectiveness and corruption” of Iraq’s government, he wrote in a recent memorandum, “is the stuff of legend.” Of Iraq’s security forces, he wrote, “corruption among officers is widespread.”
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(No honest Iraqi would work with the American/Israeli occupation force after what has transpired in Iraq under their control……1.2 million dead civilians and 4.5 million refugees….so you hire thiefs, murders, liars and pimps………..the only problem with hiring thiefs, liars, murderers and pimps to do your work it is that they are not very good at running countries for some strange reason, and $ billions disappear, and you ask why? Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan)
Laziness is “endemic,” Reese said, and “Lack of initiative is legion.” These and other compelling reasons are why Reese recommended that it’s time to “declare victory” in Iraq and go home.
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(Reese sounds like a racist fucker………….between 1757–1947, the British starved to death around 30 million “surplus” Indians who were deemed “lazy”, including many Aryans amongst them……….the problem is not the natives, but the occupation by alien entities who don’t have the best of intentions for the hosts they occupy, and the use of local thiefs, liars, murderers and pimps of these colonial countries under foreign occupation.
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Iraq is the “Cradle of Civilisation”……….the base of human civilisation from where humanity gets its basics of existence……….and then remarkably again under Muslim rule it became the center of Arab civilisation. Before the invasion of 2003, Iraq had the highest literacy rate in the Middle East, and universal free health care……with 70% of the population living in cities, despite having psycho Saddam as its leader…………”lazyiness” doesn’t come into the equation; the ONLY problem is the American occupation of a Muslim country, and the presence of many Israeli security advisors in the country)
To think we can do better than this in Afghanistan is the epitome of delusion. Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, which we backed in a long war against Iran during the 1980s, was a real country with a real army and real institutions and infrastructure. Afghanistan has always been a fourth-world wasteland. When it comes to Afghanistan, our counterinsurgency manual amounts to little more than a ream of latrine linen.
The only reason we’re still playing political patty-cake about what to do in Afghanistan – or anywhere else in that part of the world – is to determine who gets the blame for “losing.” A popular adage of war says it’s the losers who determine when they’re over. So, the logic goes, as long as we don’t quit, we can’t lose. Hence the “long war.”
It’s all about seeing who gets the blame for failing to do the impossible.
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