Turkish Court Confirms the Use of Mind Control Techniques On Non-Com. Officers

Forensic report confirms use of hypnosis on soldiers during interrogation

Retired Lt. Col. Gürol Doğan A recently issued forensic report has confirmed that three NCOs were interrogated while under the influence of drugs and hypnosis last year after being detained on suspicion of leaking classified information. The report was announced yesterday by the Kayseri 2nd Criminal Court hearing the trial into the interrogation of the noncommissioned officers by retired Lt. Col. Gürol Doğan in the Central Anatolian province of Kayseri. Contrary to Doğan’s statements — he had denied using hypnosis during interrogations in previous hearings — a report prepared by the Council of Forensic Medicine (ATK) read out at yesterday’s hearing said the NCOs had most probably been exposed to hypnosis. Noncommissioned officers Ali Balta, Orhan Güleç and İsmail Dağ were detained in early March of last year upon the orders of Kayseri Garrison Commander Maj. Gen. Rıdvan Ulugüler and were interrogated by Lt. Col. Doğan for 10 days following their detention. The detentions became public when the soldiers’ families, after failing to receive any word from the military, turned to the Kayseri Court of First Instance to find out where the soldiers were located. The court contacted the Kayseri Military Prosecutor’s Office, and Military Prosecutor Col. Zeki Üçok announced that the soldiers had been detained for allegedly leaking highly confidential documents. Two of the soldiers, released some time after their arrest, filed a lawsuit against Doğan on the grounds that they were subjected to torture and that their interrogator, Doğan, had drugged them and used hypnosis and psychological pressure to extract statements from them. The Kayseri 2nd Criminal Court in January ruled to arrest Doğan. Doğan, who previously testified to prosecutors as part of an investigation into the incident conducted by the Kayseri Public Prosecutor’s Office, said Üçok wanted him to extract statements from the three soldiers using hypnosis. Meanwhile the Kayseri 2nd Criminal Court yesterday announced that presiding judge Kemal Alver had withdrawn from the case after his request was approved by a panel of judges. Alver reportedly withdrew because of Doğan’s insults against him in previous hearings. Doğan’s lawyers also withdrew from the case in protest of their client’s assault on the individual rights of the presiding judge. A new lawyer for Doğan was appointed by the Kayseri Bar Association. 12 June 2010, Saturday MUSA ÖZYÜREK KAYSER

Flotilla victims ‘shot’ from Israeli chopper, Turkish report shows

ISTANBUL – Hürriyet Daily News

Family members mourn the death of Cevdet Kılıçlar, a journalist who was killed during the Israeli raid on the Gaza-bound Mavi Marmara. DHA photo

Several of the victims of the Israeli raid on a Gaza-bound aid flotilla were shot in the head from above, presumably from a helicopter, according to the forensics report released Monday by a human rights group.

Some of the bodies were found to have wounds consistent with a bullet entering through the head from a high angle, the report said, adding that automatic or semi-automatic weapons were likely used to kill the nine people who died onboard the Mavi Marmara.

Since all the corpses had been washed before being examined by authorities, no gunpowder traces were found on the bodies, making it impossible to reach a definite conclusion about the range from which they were shot. High amounts of ethanol and methanol were detected on the corpses, however, due to what was thought to be an attempt to keep them from smelling. The wet and dirty clothes the victims were wearing made it difficult to determine whether they had been clothed in these garments at the time of their death.

Eight Turks and one U.S. citizen of Turkish descent were killed May 31 aboard the Mavi Marmara, which was part of a flotilla of ships attempting to bring humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip despite Israel’s blockade of the area. The report released by the Istanbul-based Association of Human Rights and Solidarity for Oppressed People, or Mazlum-Der, described the deaths of some of the victims.

Furkan Doğan, 19, was shot from close range by five bullets, while Fahri Yıldız died as a result of internal bleeding. Cengiz Akyüz was shot in the forehead and died as a result of a skull fracture. One bullet entered Çetin Topçuoğlu’s skull and exited from the back of his neck, while another bullet that hit him in the right shoulder destroyed his lungs.

According to the report released by Mazlum-Der, Israeli soldiers opened a file and took DNA samples from the nine bodies.

The Mavi Marmara set out from the Turkish Mediterranean city of Antalya on May 28 as part of a flotilla of ships carrying more than 500 people from different countries. Israeli soldiers raided the ship when it was 65 kilometers off the Gaza coast, causing the nine deaths and striking a serious blow to Turkish-Israeli relations.

House Dems, Citing Corruption, Block Reconstruction Funds For Afghanistan

House Dems, Citing Corruption,

Block Reconstruction Funds For Afghanistan

Ryan Grim

ryan@huffingtonpost.com

The House Democrat who oversees funding for Afghanistan’s redevelopment and reconstruction said on Monday that she is stripping money from her foreign aid bill in reaction to pervasive corruption. Dave Obey, chairman of the Appropriations Committee, supports the move made by subcommittee chairwoman Nita Lowey (D-N.Y.), according to an Obey spokesman.

Lowey cited pervasive corruption in Afghanistan as the cause for her decision to pull the funding from the appropriations bill working its way through her State and Foreign Operations Appropriations Subcommittee.

“I do not intend to appropriate one more dime for assistance to Afghanistan until I have confidence that U.S. taxpayer money is not being abused to line the pockets of corrupt Afghan government officials, drug lords and terrorists,” said Lowey.

A Lowey spokesman said the restrictions would not apply to direct humanitarian assistance for projects such as refugee camps, but would limit funds for USAID and the State Department, which funnel money to reconstruction efforts — money that is often siphoned many times over.

The request that Lowey is rejecting amounts to $3.9 billion for the 2011 fiscal year.

On Friday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said she recently traveled to Afghanistan and found the corruption staggering. “I was just there for Mother’s Day, in Afghanistan, that weekend, and traveled into the country even more remotely than Kandahar,” Pelosi said in an interview in her office. “And the corruption issue, it’s problematic. And you know what? A lot of it is our money.”

“This is about systemic, huge money,” she said.

The chairman of the Senate subcommittee who oversees the same funding stream in the upper chamber is war opponent Pat Leahy (D-Vt.), who was chairing Elena Kagan’s confirmation hearing and couldn’t be reached.

Pelosi said that she wasn’t sure if there are enough votes in the House to approve funding for the war operations, either.

“I don’t know how many votes there are in the caucus, even condition-based, for the war, hands down. I just don’t. We’ll see what the shape of it is the day of the vote,” she said, but added that she believes President Obama’s surge should be given time to work until the planned drawdown in 2011. “The thing is, is this president has to give his plan a chance until next year, when we have to withdraw them,” she said.

A Lowey spokesman said that the chairwoman’s move was a response to a Wall Street Journalreport about $3 billion in cash being openly flown out of Kabul International Airport over the past three years and a Washington Post item about top aides to President Hamid Karzai repeatedly derailing corruption probes.

“The alleged shipment of billions in donor funds out of Afghanistan and allegations of Afghan government insiders impeding corruption investigations are outrageous,” said Lowey. “Furthermore, the government of Afghanistan must demonstrate that corruption is being aggressively investigated and prosecuted.”

UPDATE: Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio) took to the House floor Monday to make the case that the corruption is endemic to the occupation and that the only way to limit it is to leave Afghanistan.

An Imitation Empire

By Yulia Latynina

At the height of the slaughter in Osh in southern Kyrgyzstan, Federal Drug Control Service chief Viktor Ivanov’s only comment was that a Russian military base may be established in the city to add to the one already in Kant, just outside Bishkek. Ivanov’s suggestion underscores what journalist Alexander Golts calls Russia’s “imitation empire.”

The Kyrgyz are slaughtering Uzbeks in Kyrgyzstan. If Russia is an empire — with the white man’s burden and all that jazz — it must send troops. If it is not an empire, then the poor Kyrgyz and Uzbeks can sort out their own problems.

To make matters worse, Osh is a hotbed of fundamentalism. Many of the radical Islamic fundamentalists who Uzbek President Islam Karimov kicked out of Uzbekistan now live in Osh. This is why Uzbekistan is in no hurry to get involved and even remains reluctant to accept refugees, fearing that the fundamentalists will sneak in along with the refugees.

What could Ivanov’s military base possibly accomplish in Osh? Help traffic heroin? Rent military armored personnel carriers to violent gangs to help them carry out pogroms?

When Askar Akayev was deposed as Kyrgyz president in 2005, Kurmanbek Bakiyev ran to Moscow. The Kremlin bet on Bakiyev since he was the weaker figure in Kyrgyz politics at the time. They could have instead supported Bakiyev’s stronger contender, Felix Kulov, but the Kremlin got scared and chose the weaker guy. What Russia and Kyrgyzstan got in the end was a drug dealer and a con artist.

The problem is that Kyrgyzstan is only the tip of the iceberg. Ever since the Russians abandoned Kyrgyzstan, all of Central Asia is deteriorating into something akin to what equatorial Africa turned into after the British left.

Kyrgyzstan is the first to go down the drain because it was created as a phantom state by Stalin. It was a land of valleys and mountains and was divided into clans and families along geographical barriers. The Ferghana Valley in the south — the best piece of real estate in the country — was divided between Uzbeks, Tajiks and the Kyrgyz in a way that made the current conflict inevitable.

Kyrgyzstan is already a failed state, but other Central Asian nations are catching up. There is Turkmenistan, which was home to Saparmurat Niyazov — or Turkmenbashi (“the leader of all Turkmen”) — the first post-Soviet president who built himself a gold statue that used to revolve 360 degrees every 24 hours so that it always faced the sun.

It seems that Niyazov’s personal physician, Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov, and the country’s chief of security conspired to unseat Turkmenbashi, but Niyazov conveniently died. The physician proceeded to become the new leader and sent the chief of security to prison.

In addition, there is Uzbekistan, a mix of stiff Communist has-beens and holdovers from Central Asian feudalism. The Turkmen scenario can easily be repeated in Uzbekistan — and Uzbekistan is soaked in Islamic fundamentalism like a rag in gasoline.

If Uzbekistan does flare up, we will see real chaos in the region. Fundamentalism will spread like wildfire along Central Asia’s underbelly. Once this happens, what will Russia do? Of course, it could tell everyone about how badly the Americans screwed up in Iraq. But before Russia does this, perhaps it should remember how far Iraq is located from the United States and how close Central Asia is to Russia.

Yulia Latynina hosts a political talk show on Ekho Moskvy radio.

Elusive Search for Kyrgyz Unrest Culprits

Source: Institute for War and Peace Reporting (IWPR)

Date: 29 Jun 2010

Little doubt that violence was orchestrated, but identity of masterminds still unclear.

By Ainagul Abdrakhmanova, Isomiddin Ahmedjanov – Central Asia

RCA Issue 620,

29 Jun 10

It is now commonly accepted that the recent ethnic violence in southern Kyrgyzstan was orchestrated by forces seeking to ignite tensions between the Kyrgyz and Uzbek communities. What remains unclear is who those forces were, and why they planned and organised the worst killings Kyrgyzstan has seen in two decades.

Possible culprits as paymasters and participants include local gangsters, Kyrgyz or Uzbek nationalists, Islamic militants, mercenaries, and diehard supporters of Kurmanbek Bakiev, ousted from presidential office in April.

In a sensational announcement on June 24, Kyrgyzstan’s State Service for National Security, GSNB, said it had intelligence that a combination of these groups was involved. Bakiev family members had engaged guerrillas from the banned Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, IMU, to create trouble, and ethnic Uzbek community leaders in southern Kyrgyzstan also played a part, the security agency said.

But while anecdotal accounts have been produced to support the various versions of events, each raises as many questions as it answers, and there is little hard evidence behind all the allegations.

As armed men roamed the streets of Osh and Jalalabad for several days following June 11, there were widespread killings and an estimated 400,000 fled, the majority of them ethnic Uzbeks. The Kyrgyz health ministry says around 290 people were killed.

Many eyewitnesses, victims and experts are certain there is a lot more to the violence than a spontaneous explosion of ethnic rivalries that had been simmering under the surface.

“Everything that has happened in the south was political provocation,” said political analyst Marat Kazakpaev. “Of course there’s no denying there were some tensions between Uzbeks and Kyrgyz, but not to the degree where they’d starting killing one another.” (Our story Addressing Roots of Conflict in Kyrgyzstan explores the underlying problems that created mistrust between the two communities.)

As Tashpulat, a local Uzbek man put it, “You need a lot of money and influence to get Kyrgyz and Uzbek in Osh to start killing each other.”

FOOTSOLDIERS SEEMED ORGANISED

Witnesses say those visible on the streets – armed men on foot, in vehicles, and manning impromptu checkpoints – showed a degree of organisation that indicated they were not an uncontrolled mob. The men were commonly said to be from outside town, though this description varied between rural Kyrgyz and foreign nationals.

One Osh resident, who refused to give his name, said he saw carloads of masked men driving through the area where he lives and calling for Kyrgyz to be killed. Similar vehicles came through later, and this time their occupants were calling for attacks on Uzbeks. “I am sure this was deliberate provocation,” he concluded.

IWPR editor Inga Sikorskaya was in Osh during the worst of the violence, and saw many signs of careful planning and organisation. Armed men on the street received deliveries of food, while those in vehicles were heading off to specific areas to take part in what looked like a coordinated schedule of attacks.

“This was organised very carefully. Pre-arranged local incidents took place in one district, then another,” she said in an eyewitness account.

Describing the men involved, she said. “They couldn’t have been ordinary people who had only just taken up arms. They fired like professionals. It looked like these guys knew exactly what they were doing, and that someone was directing them. Many were constantly on their mobile phones, then getting into their cars and going off.”

Another disconcerting factor was that everyone Sikorskaya spoke to in preceding days was already aware there was going to be serious trouble in the city.

“Everyone knew about it, everyone was expecting it, but it seems no one tried to stop it,” she said.

Sharobiddin, a businessman in Osh, agreed that the violence looked staged.

“As a former soldier, I know that major operations require a lot of planning time,” he said. “Someone had been planning these murders and riots for a long time.”

Kubatbek Baibolov, appointed security commander for Jalalabad region, told IWPR that at least 30 individuals suspected of inciting the violence had been arrested.

“There were mercenaries, and there were paid local provocateurs who were paid on both the Kyrgyz and the Uzbek sides,” he said.

The United Nations’ human rights body was swift to issue a statement saying the unrest looked planned and coordinated.

“We have strong indications that this event was not a spontaneous inter-ethnic clash, that it was to some degree orchestrated, targeted and well planned,” said Rupert Colville spokesperson for the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, on June 15, “The incident began with five simultaneous attacks in Osh involving men wearing balaclavas and carrying guns. It looked like they were seeking to provoke a reaction. For example, one of these attacks was on a gym which was known to be the haunt of a criminal gang… targeting that gym was likely to provoke a reaction.”

FROM KYRGYZ POLITICIANS TO UZBEK ISLAMISTS

If the footsoldiers were organised, the big question is who directed them.

One widely-held theory blames associates of ex-president Bakiev for stirring up the unrest. Since coming to power in April, Kyrgyzstan’s interim leadership has faced a series of security challenges, and in each case has detected the hand of Bakiev’s group.

There some logic to such allegations – the sudden removal from power of the ruling elite, as local as well as national level, undoubtedly created a lot of resentment, as the loss of political power would cut off access to economic resources as well. The ousted leadership would thus have many reasons to try to make a comeback by undermining the country’s new leaders.

However, the Kyrgyz security service has gone much further than that, alleging that members of the Bakiev family hired Islamic militants abroad to stir up violence in southern Kyrgyzstan.

In the June 24 statement , GSNB chief Keneshbek Dushebaev said the former president’s son Maxim Bakiev met IMU representatives in Dubai in April. Two Bakiev family members then concluded a final deal at a gathering in May of the IMU, their Taleban allies, and remnants of the guerrillas that fought in Tajikistan’s 1992-97 civil war. The Bakiev family agreed to pay the IMU 30 million US dollars to act as mercenaries, he said.

The IMU emerged from Islamists active in the Uzbek city of Namangan in the early Nineties; they shifted to Tajikistan and later Afghanistan and mounted raids into Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan in 1999 and 2000.

Dushebaev’s statement then said 15 trained insurgents were dispatched to southern Kyrgyzstan in May, but these were not from the IMU but a distinct splinter group, the Islamic Jihad Union. It is not clear whether this is what the alleged 30 million dollar payment was for.

Analysts in Kyrgyzstan point out that the statement begs a number of questions.

Small groups of armed Islamic radicals have been a recurring problem in Central Asia in recent years, and the IMU was at one point capable of concerted attacks in the region. But since the group’s stated agenda is to do away with all secular governments, it is not clear why it would back one elite group against another. Nor, for that matter, is it clear why the Bakievs would invite in a force whose ultimate aim is to eliminate elite establishment figures like them.

Finally, despite the resurgence of Islamic sentiment in southern Kyrgyzstan, IWPR has not come across any evidence of an overtly religious motive to the clashes in southern Kyrgyzstan – for example, men employing the dress and rhetoric of Islamic militants. The IMU itself, while mainly Uzbek in origin, does not express hostility to other Muslim ethnic groups.

Such discrepancies lead experts like Kadyr Malikov, head of the Religion, Law and Politics Centre in Bishkek, to question the new official version of events.

“I do not think the IMU took part in the disturbances in the south,” he said. “As an expert in this area, I can state with 100 per cent certainty that this goes against the IMU’s ideology. It would be unacceptable for the IMU to incite conflict between two Muslim nations.”

Orozbek Moldaliev, director of the Sedep think tank in Bishkek, said the security agency had produced no actual evidence to back its claims.

“The IMU does not seek to incite ethnic conflicts; its ideal is the creation of an Islamic state,” he said. “If the IMU had organised these disturbances, there would have been slogans referring to the Caliphate, and it would have tried to seize power at least in the south.”

The Kyrgyz security service also accused some local leaders of the Uzbek community of collaborating with both Bakiev supporters and the IMU.

Noting that they had previously campaigned for greater political rights and higher status for the Uzbek language, the agency said that “to further their political demands, they teamed up with terrorists and pro-Bakiev forces”.

Once again, in the absence of evidence, this does not seem to make much sense. Uzbeks make up a sizeable proportion of the population of southern Kyrgyzstan and hold considerable economic power, but felt particularly shut out from political representation under Bakiev. This led community leaders to hail the interim government that replaced him, and this in turn appears to have sparked attempts by Bakiev associates to vilify them and turn local Kyrgyz opinion against them. (See Spectre of Ethnic Violence in Kyrgyzstan for a description of ethnic clashes in May where the Uzbeks’ pro-government stance is discussed.)

Finally, if the prime movers of the violence are supposed to have been Uzbeks from the IMU and local elites, why was the Uzbek community of southern Kyrgyzstan so undeniably the losing side in terms of homes burnt and people displaced?

At the same time, Malikov and Moldaliev both conceded that if mercenaries were used, they could have been members of the IMU or some other group, now operating as independent hired guns.

Leonid Bondarets, a security expert in Bishkek, agreed with Malikov that there were a host of forces with a potential interest in creating instability – organised crime groups, including those from the lucrative heroin trafficking trade, and politicians of various stripes.

Baibolov, the security chief in Jalalabad, said Bakiev associates were among the likely culprits, but were by no means the only political forces that might be out for trouble. There were also disaffected groups within the interim government, and political factions belonging to neither side looking to make inroads amid the chaos.

Akmal, an Uzbek businessman from Osh, said he was now convinced that the chaos was caused “not by nationalists, not even by pro-Bakiev forces, but a range of gangster groups”.

He based his view on the rise in kidnappings. One of his friends paid 500 dollars to secure the release of a female relative, while one of Akmal’s own relatives was still missing, as the kidnappers had not been in contact even though the ransom had been gathered.

He himself suffered assault and the theft of his phone from one of a series of groups of angry young Kyrgyz he encountered as he made his way through Osh. They seemed to be organised, each with an unmarked vehicle, and waiting to prey on passers-by. While he was being attacked, he said, a nearby policeman hailed a passing taxi and fled.

Ainagul Abdrakhmanova and Isomidin Ahmedjanov are IWPR-trained journalists in Kyrgyzstan.

This article was produced jointly under two IWPR projects: Building Central Asian Human Rights Protection & Education Through the Media, funded by the European Commission; and the Human Rights Reporting, Confidence Building and Conflict Information Programme, funded by the Foreign Ministry of Norway.

The contents of this article are the sole responsibility of IWPR and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of either the European Union or the Foreign Ministry of Norway.

The Psychological Value of Gun Ownership

By Dr. Keith Ablow

Monday’s Supreme Court decision on guns allows citizens to challenge city and state regulations that curtail their Second Amendment right to bear arms. This is an important ruling because it shores up the Constitution at a time when the Obama administration is testing it in more than one way. But it is also important psychologically for millions of Americans.

The right to bear arms is a critical component of feeling competent and autonomous as individuals, rather than relying on the goodwill of a super-powerful, unassailable government. A disarmed population is, by definition, a population that has completely ceded the power to defend its homes against local, state or federal authorities. This implies a level of trust much more consistent with that which children have for parents than that which thinking adults have for the institutions they have created to perform vital functions like defending the nation, keeping the peace, maintaining schools and providing clean water.

A disarmed population is allowed the toxic luxury of feeling as though our way of life and our safety from oppression comes without the tremendous responsibilities and moral complexities of wielding force. The same people who passively pay taxes that put tanks on the streets and fighter jets in the skies over our enemies’ nations can cringe at the idea of owning guns themselves — projecting their survival instincts onto an all-powerful father figure (the state).

History is replete with examples of cultures in which taking guns away from law-abiding citizens foreshadowed catastrophic abuses of the power thereby invested in government. One need look no further than Nazi Germany.

While gun control advocates point to the toll of accidental deaths and murders involving firearms, I believe such tragedies highlight the need for citizens to take more personal responsibility for the handguns they own, not any justification for them to be infantilized by banning them from owning handguns at all.

It may well be that putting more guns in the hands of American men and women and training them to safely store those guns would actually be one immediate way to immunize the population from feeling like passive participants in history and in safeguarding what we value about our way of life. Every gun privately and legally owned in America is a tiny impediment to the citizenry assuming a docile, nearly delusional perspective that the world will always be predictable, that one’s home and loved ones will always be safe and that government will always tend toward light and never toward darkness.

Dr. Keith Ablow is a psychiatry correspondent for Fox News Channel and a New York Times bestselling author. His book, “Living the Truth: Transform Your Life Through the Power of Insight and Honesty” has launched a new self-help movement includingwww.livingthetruth.com. Dr. Ablow can be reached at info@keithablow.com.

It’s difficult to trust Pakistan for terrorism control

by Tanveer Jafri

Though Pakistan’s links with terrorism have been disclosed many times, still such facts and information keep coming which strengthen this truth. Recently an American report claimed that the ISI has secret links with the Taliban. This report has come when the USA is providing both money and arms to Pakistan to counter and defeat the Taliban. Now in this context we can remember those charges of India in which it says that Pakistan uses the military and monetary support received from the US against India.

Though this sensational report has been rejected by Pakistan but the makers of the report have again asserted that they have not one but many proofs. Now it is to be seen what claims Pakistan presents to prove its innocence. Now let’s look at another aspect of the terrorism-Pakistan relations which doesn’t require any report and which can’t be called a part of ‘conspiracy’ against Pakistan. Recently, the government of Punjab province of Pakistan presented its budget in which 0.82 million rupees have been declared for the banned organisation Jamaat-Ud-Daawah. Let me mention once again what this Jamaat-Ud-Daawah exactly is. Hafiz Mohammad Saeed, the main conspirator of the Mumbai attacks of 26/11, is an international terrorist who is freely moving and publicly abusing America and India in Pakistan. The same Hafiz Saeed earlier established the terrorist organisation Lashkar-e-Taiba. When it became excessively notorious, then Saeed put up the label of social organisation on it and in this way in 2001, he became head of the newly self created organisation Jamaat-Ud-Daawah. Meanwhile, LeT was banned under international pressure.

The lone caught terrorist of 26/11 Mumbai attacks, Ajmal Kasab himself admitted in the special court in Mumbai that the 26/11 attack was conspired in Pakistan in which 20 people including Hafiz Saeed and Zaki-Ur-Rahman Lakhvi were involved. Indian court also in its verdict has mentioned the name of Hafiz Saeed as a conspirator of Mumbai attacks. A Red Corner notice was also issued against Saeed by the Interpol in August 2009 in relation to 26/11 attacks. Consequently he was house-arrested in December 2008. But on June 2, 2009 the Lahore High Court let freed Hafiz Saeed by saying that there is no proof of his and Lakhvi’s involvement in 26/11.

Many more things are noticeable regarding Hafiz Saeed. His image of ‘cleric’ has made him popular among the illiterate masses of Punjab province. This also restricts Pak government to act against him. Secondly, Hafiz Saeed has the ‘umbrella’ protection of hundreds of trained militants. Therefore it is not easy to arrest him as a terrorist. Moreover, Pakistan has been using Saeed to achieve its ends in Kashmir. Now in these circumstances, if Pakistan wants to arrest him or take strict action against him, then Hafiz Saeed can disclose many such truths which can create problems for the Pak government, Pak Army and the ISI. It’s obvious that Pakistan would not allow this to happen.

By above situation, it should be clear that why money is being alotted to Jamaat-Ud-Daawah from the Punjab government budget. Its supporters anyway say that the UN or the US has no right to ban any organisation active in Pakistan. According to them banning of any organisation in Pakistan requires a specific notification by the Pakistan government whereas no such notification has been issued by the government vis-a-vis Jamaat-Ud-Daawah. Therefore Jamaat-Ud-Daawah cannot be called as a banned organisation. It is clear by this defensive claim by Pak officials that neither it is concerned by the confession of Kasab, nor by the verdict of the Indian court, nor by any kind of pressure from India, USA and the UN. There is no need to worry for them because a sea of well wishers of Hafiz Saeed is there in Pakistan government, Army and ISI. Rather current circumstances are telling that the Pak government, Army and ISI themselves are concerned as to how to protect Jamaat-Ud-Daawah so that in future it can help them in their anti-India operations in Kashmir.

It seems so contradictory while the Pak government and Lahore High Court don’t treat Saeed as an accused for 26/11 whereas Indian court considers him as a culprit and the Indian government has also given enough proofs of his involvement to the Pak government. Notwithstanding all this Hafiz Saeed is publicly saying in Pakistani cities that one 26/11 is not sufficient for India. On what basis he is openly threatening India? Recently, Jamaat-Ud-Daawah organised an anti-Israel protest on main roads of Pakistan. In this, the extremist leaders of Daawah were seen crushing the flags of India, USA and Israel. Hafiz Saeed also participated in this rally. Pak government didn’t take any action against this. Anti-India rhetoric and firebrand speeches are common in Pakistan nowadays. As things stand, it is difficult to expect something substantial by our peace talks and attempts to normalise relations.

As far as the control of terrorism by Pakistan through American support is concerned, the American report and the provision of money for Jamaat-Ud-Daawah in the budget of Punjab have proved that Pakistan and terrorism are synonymous to each other. Since this terrorism was born, nurtured and protected in Pakistan, it becomes the duty of Pakistan to act against it either under frustration of killing of innocent people by these terrorists or under pressure from the US or as a consequence of its insult in the world. But the intentions of the Pak government and ground situation in Pakistan are repeatedly indicating that we cannot expect much from Pakistan as far as catching hold of terrorism is concerned.

Obama and Abdullah Discuss the Fate of the Empire

["...moving forward in a swift and bold way."

The new way is not to force any issue, but to create a hidden mechanism which moves the issue forward to resolution.  Obama's way focuses on solving everything in secrecy, in one-on-one meetings with national leaders, persuading them in secret to do the things that create forward momentum.  By enlisting the Saudi King to help the US prop-up the shaky global "recovery," Obama makes the Saudis part of a mechanism which arbitrarily intervenes to prevent global economic collapse, but moves things in America's direction.

This is the key to the new path to the New World Order--not forcefully solving global issues, but quietly creating solutions of global impact which stabilize the situation in a manner favorable to the New Order.]

Saudi King in U.S. Assures Obama of Commitment to 2-State Mideast Solution

Readers Number : 35

30/06/2010 U.S. President Barack Obama and Saudi King Abdullah met Tuesday at the White House to discuss the Middle East peace process. Obama stressed on the importance of securing a Palestinian homeland alongside a strong Israeli state. “They expressed their hope that proximity talks between Israelis and Palestinians will lead to the resumption of direct talks with the aim of two states living side-by-side in peace and security,” the White House said in a statement. The US president said, “As representatives of two G-20 countries, we also continued the conversation that took place this weekend about how the Saudi - how the Saudi government and the United States government can work with our other partners around the world to keep the economic recovery going and to help bring about the strong economic growth that’s necessary to put people back to work.” “The President and King Abdullah also discussed the importance of resuming the Israeli-Syrian and the Israeli-Lebanese tracks in order to achieve a comprehensive peace in the Middle East. The President welcomed the King’s continued leadership in support of the Arab Peace Initiative.” Obama said their meeting ranged over a number of strategic issues, including Iran’s nuclear program, Pakistan and Afghanistan, as well as “the importance of moving forward in a swift and bold way in securing a Palestinian homeland that can live side by side with a secure and prosperous Israeli state.” King Abdullah only spoke briefly after their meeting, thanking Obama for his hospitality and praising the friendship between their two countries. “I would like to say to the friendly American people that the American people are friends of Saudi Arabia and its people, and they are friends of the Arab and Muslim people, and they are also friends of humanity,” he said. Analysts say the Saudis want Obama to take a stronger stance with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over stalled peace talks with the Palestinians and on freezing settlements. Netanyahu meets Obama on July 6. The leaders also discussed building a Saudi army that would be capable of facing the Iranian threat. The possible purchase of 72 F-16 jets by the Saudi was also discussed.

Israeli Spy Network In Control Of Lebanese Telecoms

Alfa Spy Makes Headlines: Telecoms under Israeli Control?!

Readers Number : 627

29/06/2010 For the second consecutive day, the discovery of the dangerous ‘Alfa spy’ made the headlines in Lebanon… Everyone in Lebanon believes the catch is hefty. They even believe is the very most precious treasure in terms of services and data the detainee has been providing Israel for more than 14 years. Investigations with the spy are ongoing after confessions made by him showed the seriousness of the work he did for the Israelis over the past 14 years in his capacity as both an Alfa employee and communications ministry staffer. According to Lebanese daily As-Safir, the Telecoms spy confessed that he had planted software and chips made available to him by Israel across Alfa’s broadcasting stations, making the possibility of manipulating the data in any contact lines much easier for Israeli communications experts. Meanwhile, President Michel Sleiman lauded the Lebanese army for arresting an employee with a mobile network operator accused of spying for Israel. Sleiman said in a statement that the seizure of Alfa’s Charbel Qazzi was part of a series of arrests that the army made in uncovering cells spying for Israel’s Mossad. For his part, Army Commander General Jean Qahwaji hailed the achievements made by the military’s intelligence bureau that led to the arrest of the Alfa spy. He called for military vigilance “to prevent enemy penetration of Lebanese civilians, thus, threatening national security.” Yet, the most remarkable comment was made by the head of the Democratic Gathering MP Walid Jumblatt who joined Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah in calling for hanging Israeli spies in Lebanon. “Spy networks are planted everywhere. Security in Lebanon is exposed and fear mounts of new assassinations that could lead the country to a disaster,” Jumblatt told Lebanese daily As-Safir on Tuesday. “These networks necessitate that we be on full-scale alert at all levels,” he stressed. “It is time to strike with an iron fist all the way to the execution of spies,” he warned. FADLALLAH WARNS: ISRAEL CONTROLS TELECOMS SECTOR! The head of the Information and Telecoms parliamentary committee MP Hasan Fadlallah, meanwhile, warned that Israel took control over Lebanon’s telecommunications sector after the Alfa employee was arrested on suspicion of spying for the Israeli Mossad. In a press conference he held at the Parliament, Fadlallah said that the Israeli enemy has managed to seize technical control of the telecommunications network and to harm national security thanks to information provided by the collaborator over past years. “This is an Israeli collaborator who has been active since 1996 and who for 14 years has been giving the enemy vital information on Lebanese communications and security,” Fadlallah said. Fadlallah, who’s also a member of the Loyalty to the Resistance parliamentary bloc, said the suspect helped provide Israeli intelligence with unrestrained access to all phone calls on the Alfa network. He urged the government to take “immediate action to assess the damage and take necessary action” to ensure the security of Lebanon’s telecommunications sector against any further Israeli interference.

Anatomy of the American/Israeli/Iranian/Turkish Psyop–(They Are All In It Together, Folks)

[The key to the globalist plot to enslave mankind is deception, deception of such a nature as to convince targeted populations into submission to the greater plan.  In order to create the global empire, an enemy (or at least a fall guy) is needed to create a unified target for resistance.  The entire world, including Russia and China, see, to be aligned against Iran.  This propaganda blitz unites the populations of the world around whatever anti-Iranian schemes that the "world community" (the American-pacified or partner nations) comes up with.

For Iran (although it seems unfair to Iranian observers), playing the role of the "enemy" of the world is a great gamble, which will either pay enormous rewards for the collaborators,  or force an unpayable penalty upon the Iranian people.  It is impossible, at this point in the psycho-drama, to know the real intended outcome, but we can read the events to understand the implications of their chronological order.  First Erdogan gets his marching orders from Obama, then Ahmadinejad makes his move, followed by what appears to be Turkish mediation between the two "enemies."

Judge for yourselves.]

Jun 27, 2010 Erdoğan, Obama hold ‘candid’ discussions at critical summit

Jun 28, 2010 Ahmadinejad: No talks until August

June 30, 2010

Turkey Asks Iran to Return to Negotiating Table

BY MARC CHAMPION

ISTANBUL—Turkey on Tuesday called for Iran to negotiate with world powers as soon as possible over a nuclear-fuel swap deal, a show of frustration from one of Tehran’s few allies during recent international sparring over how to address Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

The demand, which came a day after Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said there would be no talks until late August, showed Ankara’s first signs of irritation with Iran since Turkey voted earlier this month against imposing fresh sanctions on Tehran over its nuclear-fuel program.

Ankara had argued that the sanctions proposed by the United Nations Security Council would scupper …

Guess who wants to kill the Internet?

Maidhc Ó Cathail (Issues)

29 June 2010It would be hard to think of anyone who has done more to undermine American freedoms than Joseph Lieberman.

Since 9/11, the Independent senator from Connecticut has introduced a raft of legislation in the name of the “global war on terror” which has steadily eroded constitutional rights. If the United States looks increasingly like a police state, Senator Lieberman has to take much of the credit for it.

On October 11, 2001, exactly one month after 9/11, Lieberman introduced S. 1534, a bill to establish a Department of Homeland Security. Since then, he has been the main mover behind such draconian legislation as the Protect America Act of 2007, the Enemy Belligerent, Interrogation, Detention, and Prosecution Act of 2010, and the proposed Terrorist Expatriation Act, which would revoke the citizenship of Americans suspected of terrorism. And now the senator from Connecticut wants to kill the Internet.

According to the bill he recently proposed in the Senate, the entire global Internet is to be claimed as a “national asset” of the United States. If Congress passes the bill, the US President would be given the power to “kill” the Internet in the event of a “national cyber-emergency.” Supporters of the legislation say this is necessary to prevent a “cyber 9/11” – yet another myth from the fearmongers who brought us tales of “Iraqi WMD” and “Iranian nukes.”

Lieberman’s concerns about the Internet are not new. The United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, which Lieberman chairs, released a report in 2008 titled “Violent Islamist Extremism, The Internet, and the Homegrown Terrorist Threat.” The report claimed that groups like Al Qaeda use the Internet to indoctrinate and recruit members, and to communicate with each other.

Immediately after the report was published, Lieberman asked Google, the parent company of You Tube, to “immediately remove content produced by Islamist terrorist organisations.” That might sound like a reasonable request. However, as far as Lieberman is concerned, Hamas, Hezbollah and even the Iranian Revolutionary Guard are terrorist organisations.

It’s hardly surprising that Lieberman’s views on what constitute terrorism parallel those of Tel Aviv. As Mark Vogel, chairman of the largest pro-Israel Political Action Committee (PAC) in the United States, once said: “Joe Lieberman, without exception, no conditions … is the No. 1 pro-Israel advocate and leader in Congress. There is nobody who does more on behalf of Israel than Joe Lieberman.”

Lieberman has been well rewarded for his patriotism – to another country. In the past six years, he has been the Senate’s top recipient of political contributions from pro-Israel PACs with a staggering $1,226,956.

But what is it that bothers Lieberman so much about the Internet? Could it be that it allows ordinary Americans access to facts, which reveal exactly what kind of “friend” Israel has been to its overgenerous benefactor? Facts, which they have been denied by the pro-Israel mainstream media.

How much faith would American voters have in the likes of Lieberman, who claims that the Jewish state is their greatest ally, if they knew that Israeli agents planted firebombs in American installations in Egypt in 1954 in an attempt to undermine relations between Nasser and the United States; that Israel murdered 34 American servicemen in a deliberate attack on the USS Liberty on June 8, 1967; that Israeli espionage, most notably Jonathan Pollard’s spying, has done tremendous damage to American interests; that five Mossad agents were filming and celebrating as the Twin Towers collapsed on September 11, 2001; that Tel Aviv and its accomplices in Washington were the source of the false pre-war intelligence on Iraq; and about countless other examples of treachery?

In his latest attempt to censor the Internet, does Lieberman really want to protect the American people from imaginary cyber-terrorists? Or is he just trying to protect his treasonous cronies from the American people?

Maidhc Ó Cathail is a widely published writer based in Japan

Report: Failing U.S.-Pakistan relations hamper Afghan war

By Ashish Kumar Sen

2:19 p.m., Tuesday, June 29, 2010

**FILE** A Pakistani police officer guards a U.N. car destroyed in June 2009 by suicide bomber at the Peshawar Pearl Continental Hotel. An increase in terrorist attacks in Pakistan and Afghanistan triggered a spike in the number of civilians killed or wounded in 2009, pushing South Asia past the Middle East as the top terror region in the world, according to new figures compiled by a U.S. intelligence agency. (Associated Press)

A deteriorating relationship between the U.S. and Pakistan could precipitate a loss in the war in Afghanistan, according to a new think tank report.

"If the U.S. and Pakistan cannot work together, then the war in Afghanistan may well be lost inside Pakistan," warns the Atlantic Council report "Pakistan in the Danger Zone: A Tenuous U.S.-Pakistan Relationship."

The report’s author, Shuja Nawaz, director of the council’s South Asia center, said that unless some "game-changing steps" are taken by both sides, the U.S.-Pakistan relationship may head into "another serious downturn, marked by continuing mistrust and a disconnect between the public posturing and private dialogues."

Mr. Nawaz said the U.S. must provide Pakistan the tools it needs to fight the war against militancy: "more helicopters, more protection for its forces; better police and Frontier Corps training, and greater interaction with middle and lower ranking officers."

"The flow of military hardware has been spotty at best and certainly not in the volume that would meet or exceed Pakistani expectations," he added.

The report notes that while the Pakistani military has had some success in uprooting home-grown terrorists, the civilian government appears to have neither the will nor the ability to muster support for longer-term reform or sustainable policies.

Mr. Nawaz chided the Pakistani government for not prosecuting the fight against the Taliban on a war footing. Instead, he said, the government was treating the war as a "part-time activity or a purely military venture outsourced to its army."

President Obama has described Pakistan as the epicenter of the U.S.’ struggle against al Qaeda and its affiliates.

According to recent polls, a growing number of Pakistanis see the U.S. as the biggest threat to their country.

A recent Pew study found U.S. favorability among Pakistanis at 17 percent. Eight percent of the respondents had a favorable impression of Mr. Obama. President George W. Bush scored 7 percent in a similar poll in 2008.

Russian spies: US case could derail Medvedev, boost Putin

Russian spies case is believed in Moscow to be a plot by US hawks to undermine the US-Russia relationship. It could also hurt Medvedev’s chances of beating Putin, an ex-KGB agent, in 2012 elections.

 

Russian spies case: Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, left, and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin meeting at the Gorki residence outside Moscow, Monday. In Moscow, Russians believe the Russia spy case was a plot by US hawks to undermine the US-Russia relationship.

Vladimir Rodionov/Presidential Press Service/RIA-Novosti/AP

 

By Fred Weir, Correspondent / June 29, 2010

Moscow

The Russian spy case, in which 10 alleged Russian spies were arrested just days after President Obama and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev held one of the friendliest US-Russia meetings ever, looks like a carefully timed plot by disgruntled American hawks to reverse the warming relations.

At least, that is the nearly unanimous reaction to the scandal from Russian officials, security analysts, and political journalists.

"This scandal has been invented out of thin air," says Pavel Salin, an analyst with the Center for Political Trends, an independent Moscow think tank. "It’s part of a backlash by US hawks to the improving relations between our countries. There are players on both sides who are still operating with a cold war mentality, and this is their way of working."

Many also believe that the scandal will badly hurt Mr. Medvedev ahead of 2012 presidential elections, in which Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, a former KGB foreign intelligence officer whom some still see as the real leader of Russia, may sideline Medvedev with his considerable clout.

"It really looked like Medvedev was gaining points, starting to close the gap between him and Putin in terms of who is most capable," says Alexander Konovalov, president of the independent Institute for Strategic Assessments in Moscow.

But now Medvedev looks like he fell into an American trap, by making concessions on Russia’s Iran policy and other issues amid the warm glow of Obama’s hospitality, then getting hit with these spy allegations just as he was leaving, Mr. Konovalov says.

"This scandal shows Medvedev as not so tough, not so experienced as the former intelligence officer Putin," in the eyes of people who really matter in Moscow, meaning the military and security establishment. "So, objectively, this can only play directly into Putin’s hands," he adds.

‘Very special timing’

All appear to agree that the timing of the arrest announcement – the day after Medvedev wound up a successful four-day trip to the US and Canada – must have been orchestrated for political effect.

The SVR, Russia’s foreign intelligence agency, rebuffed all requests for comment Tuesday. Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, currently visiting Israel, said only that "[The Americans] haven’t explained what they mean" by the spying allegations. "I hope they will do so. The only thing I can say is that it was some sort of very special timing," he added.

Most Russian analysts say that the charges are part of a domestic plot against Obama – though some admit their perceptions of the US dynamic is based on how dirty politics would be played in Russia.

Spy scandals are often publicized in Russia during times of international tension, including the thrilling 2006 capture in Moscow of undercover British agents using electronic devices hidden in rocks when Russia-Britain relations were at low ebb. Another involved the expulsion of two Canadian NATO diplomats under espionage rules a year ago, apparently to punish NATO for holding war games with neighboring Georgia.

"Obama has lost face" by having a nest of Russian spies revealed just days after hosting Medvedev, including a tête-a-tête at Obama’s favorite hamburger joint, says Alexei Mukhin, director of the independent Center for Political Information in Moscow. "American hard-liners want to spoil the reset in relations between Russia and the US, and this one incident has done much to destroy the momentum."

Details sound ‘more like fiction than fact’

Many Russians with knowledge of Soviet-era intelligence operations say they simply don’t believe today’s SVR is capable of masterminding the kind of long-term operation that’s being described in the media, involving deep-penetration agents who’ve taken on American identities and burrowed into local communities, institutions, and political circles.

"I smell a rat in this story," says Sergei Strokan, a foreign affairs columnist with the liberal Moscow daily Kommersant. "There are a lot of awkward details that sound more like fiction than fact. It’s just not convincing at all."

Some experts suggest the FBI may have arrested Russians who moved to the US over the past two decades for private reasons, and then offered their services to the SVR.

"There are lots of Russians who moved abroad on the principle that ‘my motherland is where things are good for me.’ But then they find they have to make a living, and they get up to all sorts of things," says Mr. Strokan. "It’s probably something like that, and not a big, organized Russian spying operation. What we’re seeing here is the famous American scandal industry at work; it all comes from the US domestic agenda."

But Konovalov says he doesn’t think the FBI would accuse people without any solid evidence. "But you never know," he adds. "There is no doubt that the professionalism of intelligence agencies on both sides has diminished a lot over the past decade or so."

Russia media downplay the scandal

Most Russian analysts say the spy scandal will have little public resonance in Russia, where the state-guided media is already representing it as a minor footnote to Medvedev’s highly successful North America trip.

"I’ve seen an awful lot of spy scandals come and go," says Konovalov. "They can slow things down for a bit, but they seldom derail a relationship."

But it will undoubtedly have an impact in the Kremlin infighting over who will be the establishment candidate for president in elections that are less than two years away.

Kashmir security forces fire on protesters, kill 3

Thousands protesting India’s rule over the divided province are fired upon by authorities. It’s the latest incident in a fresh round of demonstrations in the last three weeks that has left 11 dead.

By Mark Magnier, Los Angeles Times

Reporting from New Delhi —

Three teenagers were killed Tuesday in India-controlled Kashmir after security forces fired on thousands of protesters calling for independence, police said. The shootings were part of a pattern of violence over the last three weeks that has left 11 people dead and dozens injured.
Divided Kashmir, the subject of two wars between India and Pakistan since their bloody division in 1947, has long been the subject of anti-India protests.
Fresh street protests have hit the Indian-controlled portion of Kashmir since June 11, when a 17-year-old student died after being hit by a teargas shell fired by police during a pro-independence demonstration in Srinagar.

That was compounded by a police investigation early this month, which concluded that Indian soldiers had killed three civilians in May and that soldiers had staged the firefight in order to claim the civilians were militants and justify the killings. After the findings were released, the army suspended two officers.
That wasn’t enough to mollify angry Kashmir residents, who have long bridled under the checkpoints, curfews and restrictions imposed by half a million Indian security personnel in their mountainous region.
As passions flared in recent weeks, protesters have attacked troops with rocks and sticks, yelling "Blood for Blood!" and "Freedom for Kashmir!" even as security forces answered with teargas, batons and live ammunition.
Civic groups said the core problem is a lack of trust between residents and security forces going back decades that can turn even a small incident into a spiral of violence.
"Recently, India has started to talk about how normalcy had returned to Kashmir, that there were more tourists, fewer attacks and fewer bomb blasts," said Meenakshi Ganguly, South Asia representative with Human Rights Watch.
"There are a huge number of angry Kashmiris," she added. "Let the situation also improve for them, with fewer uniforms, fewer boots on the ground. The state isn’t willing to do that."
Security officials counter that they can’t reduce their presence until the situation calms down and incursions from Pakistan end.
On Monday, a gun battle near the India-Pakistan frontier erupted when suspected militants crossed into Indian territory in the Nowgam sector, said army spokesman Col. Vineet Sood, resulting in the death of five suspected insurgents and three Indian soldiers.
The three deaths Tuesday took place in the town of Anantnag, 35 miles south of Srinagar, Kashmir’s main city, police said. The conflict was apparently sparked by a crowd that assembled at the Mattan bus stand in the morning to protest the earlier killing of five young men in the town of Sopore and the Baramulla district, allegedly at the hands of the Central Government Police Force.
Police and paramilitary forces then reportedly asked them to disperse, which they refused to do, at which point the security forces fired teargas, protesters threw rocks and the situation deteriorated.
Also on Tuesday, mobile phone service was suspended in north Kashmir, while text-messaging services were blocked throughout the Kashmir valley, reportedly to stop more residents from massing. This follows threats by opposition politicians and protest groups to mount a general strike and organize an extended march this weekend.
Many parts of the valley remain under tight restrictions. In Sopore, the town worst hit by violent protests, a curfew has been in place since Friday, while restrictions in Srinigar and Baramulla prohibit more than four people from assembling.
Decades of rebellion in Indian-controlled Kashmir, a majority Muslim region, have resulted in an estimated 47,000 deaths.
mark.magnier@latimes.com

RBS tells clients to prepare for ‘monster’ money-printing by the Federal Reserve

As recovery starts to stall in the US and Europe with echoes of mid-1931, bond experts are once again dusting off a speech by Ben Bernanke given eight years ago as a freshman governor at the Federal Reserve.

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor

Entitled “Deflation: Making Sure It Doesn’t Happen Here“, it is a warfare manual for defeating economic slumps by use of extreme monetary stimulus once interest rates have dropped to zero, and implicitly once governments have spent themselves to near bankruptcy.

The speech is best known for its irreverent one-liner: “The US government has a technology, called a printing press, that allows it to produce as many US dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”

Bernanke began putting the script into action after the credit system seized up in 2008, purchasing $1.75 trillion of Treasuries, mortgage securities, and agency bonds to shore up the US credit system. He stopped far short of the $5 trillion balance sheet quietly pencilled in by the Fed Board as the upper limit for quantitative easing (QE).

Investors basking in Wall Street’s V-shaped rally had assumed that this bizarre episode was over. So did the Fed, which has been shutting liquidity spigots one by one. But the latest batch of data is disturbing.

The ECRI leading indicator produced by the Economic Cycle Research Institute plummeted yet again last week to -6.9, pointing to contraction in the US by the end of the year. It is dropping faster that at any time in the post-War era.

The latest data from the CPB Netherlands Bureau shows that world trade slid 1.7pc in May, with the biggest fall in Asia. The Baltic Dry Index measuring freight rates on bulk goods has dropped 40pc in a month. This is a volatile index that can be distorted by the supply of new ships, but those who watch it as an early warning signal for China and commodities are nervous.

Andrew Roberts, credit chief at RBS, is advising clients to read the Bernanke text very closely because the Fed is soon going to have to the pull the lever on “monster” quantitative easing (QE)”.

“We cannot stress enough how strongly we believe that a cliff-edge may be around the corner, for the global banking system (particularly in Europe) and for the global economy. Think the unthinkable,” he said in a note to investors.

Roberts said the Fed will shift tack, resorting to the 1940s strategy of capping bond yields around 2pc by force majeure said this is the option “which I personally prefer”.

A recent paper by the San Francisco Fed argues that interest rates should now be minus 5pc under the bank’s “rule of thumb” measure of capacity use and unemployment. The rate is currently minus 2pc when QE is factored in. You could conclude, very crudely, that the Fed must therefore buy another $2 trillion of bonds, and even more if Europe’s EMU debacle goes from bad to worse. I suspect that this hints at the Bernanke view, but it is anathema to hardliners at the Kansas, Richmond, Philadephia, and Dallas Feds.

Societe Generale’s uber-bear Albert Edwards said the Fed and other central banks will be forced to print more money whatever they now say, given the “stinking fiscal mess” across the developed world. “The response to the coming deflationary maelstrom will be additional money printing that will make the recent QE seem insignificant,” he said.

Despite the apparent rift with Europe, the US is arguably tightening fiscal policy just as hard. Congress has cut off benefits for those unemployed beyond six months, leaving 1.3m without support. California has to slash $19bn in spending this year, as much as Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Hungary, and Romania combined. The states together must cut $112bn to comply with state laws.

The Congressional Budget Office said federal stimulus from the Obama package peaked in the first quarter. The effect will turn sharply negative by next year as tax rises automatically kick in, a net swing of 4pc of GDP. This is happening as the US housing market tips into a double-dip. New homes sales crashed 33pc to a record low of 300,000 in May after subsidies expired.

It is sobering that zero rates, QE a l’outrance, and an $800bn fiscal blitz should should have delivered so little. Just as it is sobering that Club Med bond purchases by the European Central Bank and the creation of the EU’s €750bn rescue “shield” have failed to stabilize Europe’s debt markets. Greek default contracts reached an all-time high of 1,125 on Friday even though the €110bn EU-IMF rescue is up and running. Are investors questioning EU solvency itself, or making a judgment on German willingness to back pledges with real money?

Clearly we are nearing the end of the “Phoney War”, that phase of the global crisis when it seemed as if governments could conjure away the Great Debt. The trauma has merely been displaced from banks, auto makers, and homeowners onto the taxpayer, lifting public debt in the OECD bloc from 70pc of GDP to 100pc by next year. As the Bank for International Settlements warns, sovereign debt crises are nearing “boiling point” in half the world economy.

Fiscal largesse had its place last year. It arrested the downward spiral at a crucial moment, but that moment has passed. There is a time to love and a time to hate, a time for war and a time for peace. The Krugman doctrine of perma-deficits is ruinous – and has in fact ruined Japan. The only plausible escape route for the West is a decade of fiscal austerity offset by helicopter drops of printed money, for as long as it takes.

Some say that the Fed’s QE policies have failed. I profoundly disagree. The US property market – and therefore the banks – would have imploded if the Fed had not pulled down mortgage rates so aggressively, but you can never prove a counter-factual.

The case for fresh QE is not to inflate away the debt or default on Chinese creditors by stealth devaluation. It is to prevent deflation.

Bernanke warned in that speech eight years ago that “sustained deflation can be highly destructive to a modern economy” because it leads to slow death from a rising real burden of debt.

At the time, the broad money supply war growing at 6pc and the Dallas Fed’s `trimmed mean’ index of core inflation was 2.2pc.

We are much nearer the tipping today. The M3 money supply has contracted by 5.5pc over the last year, and the pace is accelerating: the ‘trimmed mean’ index is now 0.6pc on a six-month basis, the lowest ever. America is one twist shy of a debt-deflation trap.

There is no doubt that the Fed has the tools to stop this. “Sufficient injections of money will ultimately always reverse a deflation,” said Bernanke. The question is whether he can muster support for such action in the face of massive popular disgust, a Republican Fronde in Congress, and resistance from the liquidationsists at the Kansas, Philadelphia, and Richmond Feds. If he cannot, we are in grave trouble.

Obama warns Azerbaijan against using force

Obama warns Azerbaijan against using force

U.S. President Barack Obama promised in a letter released on Monday to tackle “serious issues” in straining relations with Azerbaijan.” U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates handed Obama’s letter to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev during a visit meant to ease tensions with the oil-rich Caspian Sea country, Reuters reports. A U.S.-backed push for a historic rapprochement between Armenia and Turkey has damaged ties between Washington and Azerbaijan, which worries its interests will be damaged by the reconciliation efforts. Baku in April accused the United States of siding with Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh and threatened to “reconsider” its relationship with Washington. “I am aware of the fact that there are serious issues in our relationship, but I am confident that we can address them,” Obama wrote in the letter delivered on Sunday by Gates. Obama praised Azerbaijan’s commitment to efforts to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, mediated by the United States, Russia and France, and warned against using force. “I believe that a peaceful resolution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is essential for the long-term stability of the South Caucasus region, and support for this outcome will remain a priority for the United States.”

! Reproduction on full or in part is prohibited without reference to Public Radio of Armenia

Atmosphere in the region unfavorable for Clinton’s visit

Richard Giragosian: Atmosphere in the region unfavorable for Clinton’s visit

Lena Badeyan “Radiolur” The atmosphere in the region is not favorable for US State Secretary Hillary Clinton’s visit, Director of the Armenian Center for National and International Studies Richard Giragosian told reporters today. The reason of this unfavorable atmosphere is Azerbaijan’s policy, which resulted in the adoption of the Obama-Medvedev-Sarkozy statement. According to Richard Giragosian, the statement was an attempt by the international community to bring Azerbaijan back to negotiations. Richard Giragosyan thinks the OSCE Minsk Group will not succeed unless Karabakh becomes a negotiating party. Referring to Azerbaijani provocation of June 18 in the line of contact, the expert said such incidents could become more frequent during the summer, though, he said he didn’t think Azerbaijan could officially declare war to Armenia. At the same time Richard Giragosyan stressed that an unexpected, sudden war might be possible and Armenia should be ready for any developments. “Armenia is getting ready for the 21st century war, while Azerbaijan is preparing for the wars of the past, the wars typical to Napoleon era,” he added. Armenia should show Azerbaijan that any attack will first of all cause damages to itself.

! Reproduction on full or in part is prohibited without reference to Public Radio of Armenia

Terms of Engagement–Secretary Clinton’s Visit to Azerbaijan

By Elmar Chakhtakhtinski The news about the upcoming visit by Secretary Clinton to Azerbaijan, following the Defense Secretary Robert Gates’ trip to Baku on June 15, have already been interpreted as a change in Obama administration’s attitude towards that country’s authoritarian regime. If Azerbaijan was a democracy or at least the government there took some visible steps in that direction, a re-engagement with this strategically important nation could be a move in the right direction. But under the present conditions such visit might have undesirable consequences for the future of democracy in Azerbaijan and for the US interests in the region. When President Obama named Azerbaijan along with Zimbabwe among the world’s worst violators of press freedom last April, the US-Azerbaijani relations seemed to plunge into a downward spiral. The United States has not had an ambassador in Azerbaijan since July 2009. The Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliyev was also conspicuously absent from the list of world leaders invited to Obama’s high-profile nuclear summit in DC this April, although the presidents of Armenia and Georgia, both of Azerbaijan’s neighbors in South Caucasus, attended the event. Apart from diplomatic troubles, in March this year the Washington Post published a report about the corruption within the Azerbaijani leadership, including a reference to a $45 million luxury mansion in Dubai apparently belonging to the President Aliyev’s 11-years old son. It was followed by an Azeri opposition leader’s article in the same newspaper. These developments led to speculations in Baku about the Aliyev regime’s falling out of favor with Washington. They also fuelled the hopes of Azerbaijani opposition that under President Obama the US might show a more principled stance in support of democracy than the previous US administration. In its turn, the government in Baku accused Washington in supporting Armenia in its conflict with Azerbaijan over Nagorno Karabakh, cancelled the scheduled joint military exercises with the US, and directed the state-controlled media to ratchet up anti-American rhetoric to unprecedented levels. The Azerbaijani officials issued statements about further “adequate retaliation”, including threats to evict Western oil companies and pull out of the Nabucco project, deemed important as an alternative to Europe’s dependence on Russian natural gas. Azerbaijan’s Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov also hinted on ending Baku’s cooperation with the coalition efforts in Afghanistan, for which Azerbaijan presents a vital transit route. During his speech at Columbia University in New York in November 2009, he even went as far as predicting the failure of the US troop surge, thus stepping right into the heat of America’s internal policy debate on Afghan policy. Meanwhile, the regime in Baku gradually accelerated its attacks on the opposition and independent media. Under such circumstances, the expected visit by a US Secretary of State can easily be perceived by the officials in Azerbaijan as a sign of the United States finally succumbing to their pressure and agreeing to turn a blind eye to the continuing suppression of dissent in Azerbaijan. Still, some added ingredients may help to make the best out of Secretary Clinton’s planned trip and maintain a degree of consistency in the US foreign policy towards that country. For starters, she can meet with the leaders of major opposition parties and the representatives of remaining free press and truly independent NGOs, in addition to government officials. This would serve as an indication that America’s intentions are not limited to the temporal benefits from befriending the ruling regime, but rather include a long-term alliance with the Azerbaijani people and support in their aspirations to join the community of free nations. Mrs. Clinton can recall the two pro-democracy bloggers, Adnan Hajizada and Emin Milli, imprisoned under bogus “hooliganism” charges, whose case has drawn numerous official protests from the US and European governments. She might also draw attention to the fate of journalist Eynulla Fatullayev, whom the Azerbaijani authorities are keeping behind bars in a blatant violation of a verdict by the European Court of Human Rights, which is mandatory for Azerbaijan as a member of Council of Europe. Ideally, the US would insist on the release of these dissidents before Secretary Clinton departs for Baku. As a minimum, these issues should be raised openly and publicly before the Azerbaijani leadership during the trip. Short of a strong emphasis on human rights and democracy, Secretary Clinton’s visit will only embolden the authorities in Azerbaijan to adopt even more brutal tactics against the opponents of the regime. The inconsistency of a sudden “warm-up” in Washington’s approach towards the Azerbaijani dictatorship might also signal a weakness of US positions in the greater area around that country, which includes Russia, Iran and Afghanistan. Coming in the midst of the Iranian nuclear dilemma, this apparent pullback from the proclaimed support for democracy in Azerbaijan would not only damage the US reputation in the region, but also reinforce the already entrenched belief in America’s susceptibility to energy and security blackmail. About the author: Elmar Chakhtakhtinski is the chairman of Azerbaijani-Americans for Democracy (AZAD), a US organization that advocates support for democracy in Azerbaijan and other countries.

Building a “Strategic Road” To Batken–First Action By New Govt.

[One of the government's first actions was to begin construction of this strategic road to Batken.  If this is because of the proposed American Special Forces training center then it will confirm the new govt. intention to appease the US.   SEE: US Assists Kyrgyzstan in Constructing Anti-Terrorist Center in Batken] In Kyrgyzstan begins construction of a strategically important route linking the Batken region of Osh Mamadzhan Berdishev:

29/06 13:42, Bishkek – IA “24.kg”, Tolgonai OSMONGAZIEVA

“In Kyrgyzstan, begins construction of a strategically important route Batken – Pulgon”, – said IA “24.kg” spokesman for Acting Governor of Batken region of the CD Mamadzhan Berdishev. According to him, in order to get in the Osh region, residents of Batken have to go through the enclave Soh, which creates a lot of inconvenience. “The road is designed by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, which provided for its implementation was $ 35 million in grants. Tender shall act Chinese construction company. She currently conducts engineering and topographic surveys, building a base and deliver the necessary equipment, – says Mamadzhan Berdishev. – From September 1, will begin construction of a road stretching about 60 kilometers. It will take 2 years. But this will create additional jobs for local residents. “

Peace On the Eve of the War–Azerbaijan To Be Starting Point

Peace on the eve of the war. Azerbaijan has turned into the main “site jumping” to the U.S. and Israel in the preparation of an attack on Iran

P. Ivanchenko:

World on the eve of war

Azerbaijan has turned into the main “site jumping” to the U.S. and Israel in the preparation of an attack on Iran

Preparation of U.S. and Israeli aggression against Iran is in the final stage. According to Western media, Tehran declared martial law on its north-western borders. Personnel and equipment of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) in large numbers being transferred to the area of the Azerbaijani border and the Caspian Sea.

This is understandable – at the airfields in Azerbaijan in full readiness for a strike on Iran’s facilities are concentrated shock of Israel and the U.S..

According to some reports, over the past few days Israel has successfully transferred the large number of bombers to bases in Azerbaijan, via Georgia. The Americans used the same way.

Commander of the IRGC, General Mehdi Moeini said: “The mobilization is associated with the presence of American and Israeli forces on the western border. In addition, according to Moin, some Western countries are trying to ignite ethnic conflict in the Iranian province of West Azerbaijan, and destabilize the region.

Indeed, Western and Israeli intelligence have long been heated separatist and nationalist sentiment in the province, creating terrorist groups and anti-government underground from the chauvinist-minded ethnic Azeris. Therefore, it is possible that foreign intelligence services are preparing a rebellion, which will be used as another excuse to attack Iran (under the pretext of protecting national minorities).

Recall that the Iranian (Iranian terminology – West) Azerbaijan, where relocating the guards, bordered by Turkey, Iraq and Armenia. Media reported that a long convoy of tanks, artillery, air defense and infantry stretches along the main highway in the direction of Azerbaijan and further to the north to the Caspian Sea.

Meanwhile, June 18-22, the US-Israeli-German squadron, which arrived in the Persian Gulf from the Mediterranean Sea, continues to air and sea maneuvers. Are processed attacks on Iranian targets, intercepting missiles fired by Iran, Syria and Hezbollah on American and Israeli targets in the Middle East. In the squadron, headed by the aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman “in addition to the Israeli ship is German frigate Hessen-F221. The exercises in the Mediterranean Sea took place from June 6 to June 10, from the aircraft carrier were carried out day and night flights of strike aircraft that bombed targets on the range and Nabatiyeh in southern Israel.American planes took off from bases in Germany and Romania, refueled at Air Force bases and Israel in cooperation with the Israeli air strikes on the remote worked out goals for the Red and Mediterranean Seas. The pilots also trained to conduct air combat.

In addition, in early August this year, Washington intends to focus on the coast of Iran and within the operational range of him, at least 4 or 5 aircraft carriers. A June 22 closest adviser of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that taken during the last meeting of the UN Security Council sanctions against Iran “not adequate” threat and can not stop Iran’s nuclear program. ”Pre-emptive military strike is obviously necessary,” – he said.

Analysts say that a particular intensity of military preparations purchased shortly after the resolution, the Group of Eight. Leaders of eight major industrialized countries (group G8) have condemned North Korea for sinking a South Korean ship, and demanded that the Iranian human rights. This was discussed in the final communique of the group after the summit in Canada Toronto.

This “coincidence” suggests that the G8 decision gave carte blanche to potential aggressors. In this regard, particularly interesting role of Russian representatives in the formation of the communique. According to Japanese participants, the only country that resisted tightening of the official statements of the group, was Russia. But, as reported by AP, a representative of the Russian delegation, on condition of anonymity said that Russia did not consider the commission’s decision as final G8 and considers that the additional allegations against North Korea will only lead to negative consequences. From this it follows that the objection Russia caused only “Korean” part of the communiqué, and on “the Iranian issue” reigned consent.

Meanwhile, anti-war stance of Russia in this case has long been a serious obstacle to the aggressive US-Israeli plans. Recently, however, Russia views the “Iranian problem” began to change rapidly, and the G8 meeting to come to full agreement with the West, thereby eliminating the last obstacle on the path to war. Obviously, this evolution had its own reasons – typically, some underhand agreement. In any case, it has already been named in the media reincarnated Covenant “Molotov – Ribbentrop. However, this comparison is hardly correct. Although, if only because the same pact, no doubt, the public interest of the USSR. If only because that pushed for a time, our encounter with Nazi Germany. You can not say about the current situation.

After the aggression the U.S. and Israel against Iran will not bring our country is nothing but new troubles. If the attack is successful, then under the control of the U.S. and Iran will deposit energy, which seriously complicate the situation of our country on the international oil market. In addition to this we get another “black hole” of terror and instability in dangerous proximity to our borders. There is one more important detail – an attack on Iran will put in an extremely unfavorable situation of Armenia – the last Russian ally in the Caucasus. In this regard, it should be noted one more “coincidence” intensify anti-Iranian actions and aggravation on the Karabakh front – no doubt sanctioned by the American-Israeli leaders.

Clearly, a new war in Karabakh, which is whatever the outcome will lead to total exclusion of Russia from the South Caucasus region, could become a logical continuation of the anti-Iran policy of the USA and at the same time – a preparatory stage for large-scale armed conflict in the Middle East. And finally, the sooner our “strategic partners” to the right with the “Iranian problem”, the faster will take on the “final decision of the Russian question.”

What was our guide for the review of position on Iran? Some analysts believe that this series of personal guarantees to support the conduct of a domestic policy. But be that as it may, it must be remembered that all the recent years Americans have consistently “throw” of their partners, and their promises turn into broken pottery, as chervontsi Basavryuk a famous story by Gogol.

If we compare the current situation with the period before World War II, then Russia, following the logic of its foreign policy aspirations and decisions, rather like France during the “Munich Agreement”.

Peter Ivanchenko
28/06/2010

Source - Segodnya.Ru