Will Syria Go on the Offensive at The Hague?

Will Syria Go on the Offensive at The Hague?

uprooted palestinians

by FRANKLIN LAMB

La Maison  d’Avocats, Damascus.

Franklin Lamb
Al-manar
A “legal intifada” appears likely for more than just the Palestinians
La Maison d’Avocats, Damascus

Even before the historic 139 to 8 vote of the UN General Assembly on November 29 of this year which opened up a plethora of legal remedies for Palestinians, a “legal intifada” — to borrow a phrase fromFrancis Boyle, Professor of International Law and a longtime advocate of advancing resistance to the illegal occupation of Palestine through the rule of law — has been taking form in this region.

The reasons include nearly seven decades of countless Zionist crimes against Muslims and Christians in occupied Palestine and far beyond. As Professor Boyle has suggested, the opportunities presented to the PLO by the lopsided UN vote “…can mean numerous available legal remedies ranging from the securing of a fair share of the gas deposits off the shores of Gaza, control of Palestinian airspace and telecommunications and, crucially, bringing the Zionist regime to account at the International Criminal Court and the International Court of Justice.

SyriaSyria too, currently under enormous pressure from international interference into the internal affairs of the country and the subject of an intense regime change project led by the US and France, has international legal remedies immediately available to it stemming from the actions of the US, UK, France and others in imposing on Syria’s civilian population one of the most severe and clearly illegal layers of sanctions. Were Syria and others to file an Application for an Advisory Opinion with the ICJ few in the international legal community have much doubt that targeting civilians economically and attempting to destroy the Syrian economy — for no other purpose than to ignite rebellion — would be considered a violation of international law at the International Court of Justice.
Granted there are some potential jurisdictional problems given that Syria has not yet accepted the Article 36 Compulsory Jurisdiction of the World Court, as provided in the Statute of the Court, and the strong campaign at the UN that would certainly be waged by the Obama Administration to challenge ICJ jurisdiction to hear a case on behalf of Syria and its civilian population, but they can be overcome. As a general rule, an Advisory Opinion requires a simple majority affirmative vote by the UN General Assembly or an Application by one of the designated UN Specialized Agencies. This might be a tough job to secure the former but it is doable with the latter. Moreover, should Syria accept the compulsory jurisdiction of the ICJ it could likely quickly resolve the issue of sanctions by claiming a legal dispute with one or more states that also accept CJ and are supporters of sanctions. For example, the UK, France and their NATO and Gulf allies.

Aspects of a possible filing at the International Court of Justice on the legality of US-led sanctions are currently being researched by seasoned international lawyers and academics, at various Western and International law centers. Supporting efforts being worked on include drafting amicus curie briefs on the issue of the legality of the US-led sanctions to be submitted to the Court, plans for securing the widest possible political support for challenging the US-led sanctions from among Non-Aligned Movement countries, international peace groups, NGO’s, pro-peace websites, bloggers, social media and online activists as well as organizing a skilled media center to disseminate information about the case including quickly publishing, in paperback book form, one of the key Annexes to be submitted to the ICJ upon filing the Application. This volume will present Syrian government and International NGO prepared data on the inhumane effects of the US led sanctions in all their aspects, including by not limited to children, the elderly and the infirm, plus the effects of the US-led sanctions on the Syrian economy generally, i.e. consumer goods, medical delivery systems, financial institutions, currency values and related aspects of the lives of the civilian population of Syria.

Were Syria, and others, to take the illegal and immoral US-led sanctions case to the World Court and other available venues, they would shift their diplomatic position from a defensive status to taking the offense. Such a bold initiative would advance accountability under international law and, because the ICJ would likely grant a Petition for Interim Measures of Protection, the US-led sanctions could be suspended during the course of the judicial proceedings. Obviously this lifting/freezing of the sanctions would immediately and directly inure to the benefit of the Syrian civilian population, including the half million Palestinian refugees in Syria as well as thousands from Iraq.

This would work in concert with the “THREE B’s”, to borrow a phrase from Russia’s top middle east envoy, Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Boganov, referring to Mr. Brahimi, Mr. Bogdanov, and Undersecretary William Burns, a former ambassador to Moscow, who would be urged to intensify their focus on achieving a diplomatic resolution of the Syrian crisis based on modified June 2011 Geneva formulation of a transition period leading to the 2014 elections.

Corte Internacional Justica (Tribunal de la Haya)According to several International lawyers surveyed between October and December, 2012, Syria clearly has the facts of the US sanctions case in its favor and there are ample solid legal theories to argue to and convince the World Court. Under the ICJ Statute, the Court must decide cases solely in accordance with international law. Hence the ICJ must apply:
(1) any international conventions and treaties;
(2) international custom;
(3) general principles recognized as law by civilized nations; and
(4) judicial decisions and the teachings of highly qualified publicists of the various nations. From this body of international law the International Court of Justice would find ample basis to support Syria’s claims not only for the benefit of its civilian population but also to advance the rule of law in the global community.

The ICJ is made up of 15 jurists from different countries. No two judges at any given time may be from the same country. The court’s composition is static but generally includes jurists from a variety of cultures. Among the Principles, Standards and Rules of international law that Syria may well argue to the World Court, may include but not be limited to, the following:

The US led sanctions violate international humanitarian law due to the negative health effects of the sanctions on the civilian population of Syria. This renders the sanctions illegal under international customary law and the UN Charter for their disproportionate damage caused to Syria’s civilian population;

The US led severe sanctions regime constitutes an illegitimate form of collective punishment of the weakest and poorest members of society, the infants, the children, the chronically ill, and the elderly;
The US, France and the UK, as well as their allies, have violated the UN Charter by their imposition of severe economic sanctions and threats of military force. The United States, Israel, and some of their allies, regularly threaten Damascus with the “option” of a military strike. The ICJ has ruled previously that “A threat or use of force is contrary to Article 2, paragraph 4, of the UN Charter and fails to meet all the requirements of Article 51, is therefore unlawful”. It has further ruled that “A threat of use of force must be compatible with the requirements of the international law applicable in armed conflict, particularly those of the principles and rules of humanitarian law, as well as with specific obligations under treaties and other undertakings which expressly deal with threats to members of the United Nations.”

Moreover, unilateral US sanctions, without the imprimatur of the United Nations are blatantly illegal under International Law because they are in fact multilateral and impose penalties on any country which opposes the sanctions or does not choose to participate in them;

The US led sanctions amount to an Act of War given their effects including hardships on the general public and that Syria therefore has a legal right to Self-Defense.

The US led sanctions, given their design and intent, constitute acts of aggression against Syria in violation of Article 2 (4) of the UN charter.

The indisputable facts of the US led sanctions case warrant the imposition by the ICJ of Restraining Orders designed to prevent any type of blockade or no-fly zones in Syria and the immediate cessation of the imposition of further economic sanctions against Syria, and also their efforts of securing more sanctions against Syria at the United Nations Security Council. The Restraining Orders, under the umbrella of Interim Measures of Protection, would presumably also seek to prohibit the US and its allies from the Persian Gulf region and elsewhere, from advocating aggressive military actions against Syria, including supplying funding, weapons, and jihadists, as well as Western “Special Forces” currently pouring into Syria from its northern border with Turkey and to negotiate with the Syrian government in good faith to end the current crisis.

Syria can legitimately claim, and would presumably argue at the ICJ and other international forums that the bi-lateral or multilateral economic sanctions, led by the US and its Gulf allies, Qatar and Saudi Arabia, are illegal, indeed criminal due to their assault on international humanitarian law and required state practice.

Syria could successfully argue, according to a recent survey of international lawyers conducted in Brussels and The Hague, as well as within Syria’s Maison d’Avocats, that the US led sanctions violate the international law principle of Non-intervention in the internal affairs of UN member states and that the stewards of these sanctions could themselves be subject to international sanctions plus compensatory and punitive damages for the benefit of their victims.

In summary, as Germany’s Green Party, and increasingly, legal scholars and human rights organizations generally are insisting, sanctions against Syria’s civilian population fundamentally violate international law.

Should NATO sets up a no-fly zone and were to launch airstrikes against Damascus, it can and should immediately be sued at The Hague and if the situation deteriorates NATO can and should be held to account for targeting Alawites and Christians on the basis of the 1948 UN Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. All participating countries, 142 to date, are obliged to prevent and punish actions of genocide in war and in peacetime. Article 2 of the Convention defines genocide as any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, elements of a national, ethnic, racial, or religious group including killing members of the group, causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group, deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.
Despite Syria’s strong case on both the facts and the law, and the diversity in structure and composition of the International Court of Justice, the International Tribunal has a few times over the years been criticized for favoring established powers. Under articles 3 and 9 of the ICJ Statute, the judges on the ICJ should represent “the main forms of civilization and principal legal systems of the world.” This definition suggests that the ICJ does not represent the interests of developing countries. Nevertheless, the World Courts record has been by and large exemplary in applying principles, standards and rules of international law both in contested cases and advisory opinions and Syria has an excellent opportunity to protect its citizens, thwart US and Israeli designs on the region, and advance international accountability — all to the inestimable benefit of all people and nations.

Syria, which the US and Israel and their allies are today working to keep off balance and on the defensive diplomatically, should consider immediately filing an application with the International Court of Justice, and use all other available international legal, political and humanitarian tribunals, to directly challenge and boldly confront the US led sanctions campaign against its people. The Syrian Arab Republic, by taking the offensive at the World Court and elsewhere, will help relieve the enormous pressures on its civilians and advance the principles, standards and rules of international law—for the benefit of all mankind.

Franklin Lamb is doing research in Damascus and can be reached c/o fplamb@gmail.com

River to Sea Uprooted Palestinian

The Renewal of the “Silk Road” Is the Path To World Peace, But the Road Starts In Chahbahar, Iran

[If Russia and India band together with Iran, they will create circumstances exactly the opposite of Western sanction regimes.  Will Obama learn the error of his ways in this matter, or will he greet the news as an adversary would?  It is time for learning, but it is also an age of mass insanity.  Which spirit will prevail?]

Chabahar port2

Russian nod for India’s bid to link south with central Asia

times of india

By , TNN

Russian nod for India’s bid to link south with central Asia

Singh and Putin agreed to unfreeze the north-south corridor through Iran within the next year. India has taken the lead role in pushing for the completion of this project.

NEW DELHI: India’s pet project to link south with central Asia got support from Russian president Vladimir Putin. During their talks in New Delhi last week, Singh and Putin agreed to unfreeze the north-south corridor through Iranwithin the next year. India has taken the lead role in pushing for the completion of this project.

Indian officials said they would push for the completion of the corridor and were willing to step in, if Iran found it difficult to accomplish the task. The corridor is, by and large complete, they said, except for a section inside Iran between Qazvin-Rasht-Astara. The corridor is useless unless the Iranian section is completed. Although the agreement was inked by India, Iran, Russia and Oman in 2001, Tehran has dragged its feet on the project.

Now, the urgency for completion of the project is due to the imminent drawdown of NATO forces from Afghanistan in 2014. New Delhi figures that this project will be a game-changer for its trade and openIndian economy to the rising economies in central Asia, by connecting India with Afghanistan and beyond, bypassing Pakistan.

India’s aims in the region is coalescing with Russia, which is paying greater attention to it’s “near abroad”. Russia is concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism in its southern periphery and one of the ways of countering this is to open these landlocked nations to trade and connectivity with India.

Another reason for both Russia and India to concentrate on central Asia is the growing influence and presence of China in this region, which has raised concerns in Moscow and New Delhi. China is far ahead of both Russia and India in establishing connectivity with the central Asian countries — China’s aims being to stabilize its own western periphery, with the restive province of Xinjiang as the focus. Beijing has already built an intricate set of oil and gas pipelines to Kazakhstan, and a Turkmenistan-Uzbekistan-Kazakhstan-China gas pipeline. In 2011, the trade turnover between China and the five central Asian countries reached $16.98 billion. Beijing is currently working on a rail link to Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan. China’s progress, frankly, puts India’s sluggish initiatives in the shade.

India has recently received help from other quarters. Turkey has stepped in, offering itself as a more viable transit route for the corridor, given its already-developed connections with central Asian nations and Russia. On the other hand, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan have both asked Indian leaders to consider connecting them to the corridor.

The Northern Distribution Network (NDN), which is being used by the US to transport supplies and weapons to its forces in Afghanistan by steering clear of Pakistan, is on offer for trade and connectivity in the post-2014 environment, said sources. Tajikistan has offered to connect itself to the Zaranj-Delaram road and Afghanistan’s garland highway, which will give it access to Iran’s Chahbahar port.

All of this is certain to raise Iran’s geo-political profile that India and Russia support. Iran, however, has been tardy in putting its own infrastructure in order. However, Iranian diplomats have recently gone on record to say that they have completed “70% of works on construction of Qazvin-Rasht-Astara railroad within the framework of North-South Transport Corridor project.”

Iran, India and Afghanistan have recently started to coordinate work on the Chahbahar port project. Again, here, the delay is on the Iranian side. India has offered to undertake the development of the port in Iran — over $5 billion of India’s oil payments to Iran are sitting in Indian banks in Indian currency, and the idea is that this could be used in the port’s development.

The Chahbahar port would be a lifeline for landlocked Afghanistan, by reducing its dependence on Pakistan. It would also act as a bridge to connect central Asia with India. Ultimately, it promises to open up vast markets in Eurasian countries to Indian goods and services, cutting travel and freight time and cost.

Uzbek and Kazakh leaders have pressed India to complete the project because it would open up the Indian energy market to these countries. Kazakhstan has offered the Satpayev block to India and is slated to become a key uranium supplier to India’s civilian nuclear sector. But lack of connectivity is a serious deterrent at present, said officials. In fact, its cheaper to bring goods to India through China from these countries!

But the focus is to complete the missing section in Iran. Of the 375-km-long Qazvin-Astara-Rasht route, around 300 km is located in Iran. While, 8.5km of railways will be built in Azerbaijan.

The Next American Civil War

The Next American Civil War

from the trenches

Canada Free Press –

by JD Longstreet

“Tyrants preserve themselves by sowing fear and mistrust among the citizens by means of spies, by distracting them with foreign wars, by eliminating men of spirit who might lead a revolution, by humbling the people, and making them incapable of decisive action…” … Aristotle

You’d think ole “Ari” might have been peering through some sort of cosmic window into modern day America some 2300 years ago with comments such as those above.

See, America is building a head of steam preparing to go to war with itself a second time at this very moment.  This is not unusual—not in America.  We have already had two revolutions.  You may recall the American Revolution against Great Britain and the second—the War for Southern Independence, often erroneously referred to as the American Civil War, or the War Between the States.There’s another way to look at it, as well.  One can grudgingly admit that the Greeks, of 2300 years ago, were smarter than modern Americans.  In my estimation—you’d be right.  So, I tend to go with the latter explanation.

Tensions are running high all across the country as citizens are rushing to arm themselves with the closest thing resembling combat weaponry they can possibly find. Ammunition of all calibers is disappearing from the shelves of gun shops and back orders at the manufacturing plants are piled high.

Look.  Nobody really knows how many guns are in the hands of private citizens in America.  Many have multiple weapons.  A few are even registered, but, my guess is—the vast majority are not registered anywhere for exactly the reason Americans feel they are being driven, herded, as it were,  to armed resistance.  Of the weapons known to be in the hands of private civilian Americans there are enough, according to some reports, to arm every man woman andchild in America today—well over three hundred million. Americans are preparing to dig-in.  In other words they are preparing for a fight.  They are preparing for the day when the words run out, as they surely will.  They will then have no other alternative than to turn—as their forefathers have done since the country was founded—to the gun.

That’s a lot of guns, but not nearly as many as there will be in 2013.  Manufacturers are finding it impossible to keep up with demand for their guns.

The old expression:  “Fools rush in”  is as apropos a word, or phrase, as I can conjure to describe the actions of the so-called “gun grabbers” in America in recent days.  Their propagandists and boosters in the press and the Mainstream Media added to the mental light weights already liberally salted throughout the US Congress and White House who are mindlessly fanning the flames of a conflagration that threatens to consume the country in another American war over the rights guaranteed by the US Constitution—including the Bill of Rights.  These are rights sacred to Americans.  These are the rights for which they have been willing to valiantly lay down their lives to protect since the birth of the nation. They are no less ready to put their lives on the line once again.  I do not think our current “masters” fully understand that.

Look.  Those who would disarm America seem oblivious to the buzz saw into which they are mindlessly running.  Their naivete is monumental, off the scale. When describing weapons they want banned, their description of such weapons makes it clear they haven’t the foggiest notion what they are talking about.  It is also clear they are operating from pure emotion with no reason mixed in.  They often describe weapons they want banned.  They don’t seem to know that those weapons have already been banned since the 1930s in America. They use the term “assault weapon” when there is actually no such weapon, only a political term to describe a weapon that is, well,  scary looking.

In their ignorance, they cannot grasp that even if a gun ban were successful, a black market in guns and ammunition will spring up, almost overnight, and will make Prohibition resemble a Sunday school picnic.  Gun owners and those familiar with guns know, already, that guns are fairly simple to make, many with off the shelf, readily available, parts.

The very first firefight between government agents and American private citizens will be the ignition point of an all consuming maelstrom that will inundate the nation and render null and void any chance that America might reconstitute itself into its former imageafterwards.

To the folks on the left, the gun grabbers, if there is any doubt in your minds that Americans will defend their constitutional rights to the death, simply drive across theLincoln Bridge and take a long look at row after row of white grave markers at ArlingtonNational Cemetery.  As you gaze upon that place of honor, remember, we are the sons, grandsons, and great-grand sons of the men lying there.  We are no less inspired than they to defend the constitution against all enemies—domestic and foreign.

For those of you who purportedly serve the public in your position within the Congress, understand that we are taking careful note of your maneuvering to deny us our constitutional rights and we will be working tirelessly to see that your political career is ended when next you stand for election.  That is a promise.

The idiots in the Mainstream Media still do not understand that freedom of the press , freedom of speech, is only viable so long as the right to keep and bear arms is guaranteed by the Second Amendment.  The job of the press is inextricably linked to the armed citizen. If the armed American goes, so does the independent, non-state-controlled press.  Freedom of the press, freedom of speech, will disappear.

It is such a simple thing—when thought through.  But that’s the problem.  They aren’t thinking.  They are reacting out of raw emotion—certainly NOT reason.  It is their handlers, however, who ARE reasoning. They reason, and rightfully so, that they cannot accomplish their agenda as long as the American citizen is armed.  And so the useful idiots of the Mainstream Media are trotted out to happily make fools of themselves in service to the political left, which will grind them into so much dust once their goals are realized.

It is such idiocy as this that brings men to grapple at each other’s throat.

And here we are again, preparing to do battle with each other, brother against brother, over an issue that was settled two and a half centuries ago.

At first glance it appears to be lunacy of the highest order—and yet—here we are on the cusp of violence to defend something the political left, an authoritarian cabal itself,  cannot abide, AT ALL:  personal freedom, individual freedom.

Remember that Aristotle said: “Tyrants preserve themselves by …  by eliminating men of spirit who might lead a revolution, by humbling the people, and making them incapable of decisive action… .”  Could this be why over a dozen of the US’s highest military officers have been hounded from service in recent months? Is it why this financial crises has dragged on and on … to keep us humble and incapable of decisive action?

And now they intend to disarm us.

Look.  There is so much pent-up anger in America today that if this argument over gun control ever gets beyond the talking stage it is reasonable to believe there will be violence on a scale not seen since the 1860’s in this country.

I would ask the political left if they understand that this is only a temporary argument over gun control?  Do they understand it will quickly become an argument over whether or not the country continues to exist as a single fifty state entity or breaks up into separate countries?  I don’t think they do.  Indeed, I don’t think most Americans understand that once this fight begins, in earnest, there will be no turning back and when it is ended—there will be no going back, either.

I don’t want a war in my homeland, either.  But, dear reader, THIS is exactly how they begin.

Longstreet is a conservative Southern American (A native sandlapper and an adopted Tar Heel) with a deep passion for the history, heritage, and culture of the southern states of America. At the same time he is a deeply loyal American believing strongly in “America First”.

He is a thirty-year veteran of the broadcasting business, as an “in the field” and “on-air” news reporter (contributing to radio, TV, and newspapers) and a conservative broadcast commentator.

Longstreet is a veteran of the US Army and US Army Reserve. He is a member of the American Legion and the Sons of Confederate Veterans.  A lifelong Christian, Longstreet subscribes to “old Lutheranism” to express and exercise his faith.

http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/51977

United Nations Takes-Up the Pressing Issue of Israeli Nukes

Nuclear-120512.jpg
The United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) voted overwhelmingly on Tuesday to adopt a resolution urging Israel to open its nuclear facilities for inspection by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) “without further delay.”

The resolution was adopted 174 votes to six with six abstentions. The six nations which voted against the measure were Israel, the United States, Canada, Marshall Islands, Micronesia and Palau. Incidentally, UNGA resolutions are non-binding, but they reflect world opinion and carry moral and political weight.

Israel is yet to confirm or deny whether it has nuclear weapons under its policy of “nuclear ambiguity,” but it is widely believed that the Jewish State has a nuclear arsenal. Israel is also not a signatory to the 1970 NPT, which is intended to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and weapons technology. India, Pakistan and North Korea are the other nuclear-capable nations yet to sign the NPT.

The U.N. adopts the resolution amid speculations that Israel may soon launch a unilateral military strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities if Tehran does not stop its disputed uranium enrichment work. Although Iran insists that its nuclear program is intended for peaceful civilian purposes, the West suspects the claim to be a cover-up for the country’s nuclear weapon ambitions. But Tehran argues that it has the right to develop and acquire nuclear technology for peaceful purposes.

Israel has so far resisted efforts by Arab nations to create a nuclear-weapon-free zone in the Middle East, insisting that a Mideast peace agreement must be in place before it can back such an initiative. Although Israel is widely believed to be the only State in the region having a nuclear arsenal, the Jewish nation insist that it will not be the first or last country to introduce such weapons in the Mideast.

Incidentally, a high-level conference on banning nuclear weapons in the Middle East was originally set to open in the Finnish capital Helsinki in mid-December. But the conference, sponsored by Russia, the UK and the U.S., was canceled two weeks ago after Washington withdrew from the meeting, citing political turmoil in the region and Iran’s defiant nuclear program. But most Arab nations believe that the U.S. move was prompted by Israel’s refusal to attend the conference.

Notably, Tuesday’s UNGA resolution was the second setback to Israel at the world body in recent days. Last Thursday, the UNGA voted to upgrade Palestine’s “permanent observer” status at the world body to that of a “non-member observer State” despite stiff opposition from the United States and Israel.

Israel rejected the General Assembly vote as “one-sided,” stressing that the Palestinians’ U.N. bid violated peace accords under which the Palestinian Authority was established states clearly that a Palestinian state should emerge only as a result of bilateral negotiations.

Israel reacted to Thursday’s UNGA vote by announcing plans to construct 3,000 new settler homes in the occupied Palestinian territory of West Bank. Israel also withheld the December installment of tax revenues amounting 460 million shekels ($120 million) to the Palestinian Authority.

The Israeli move attracted widespread international criticism, with several world leaders, including U.S. President Barack Obama and U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, warning that it would undermine ongoing efforts to restart the currently-stalled Middle East peace talks. Besides, several EU nations, including Britain, France, Spain, Denmark and Sweden summoned Israeli Ambassadors in their countries to lodge their formal protests at the settlement expansion plans.

The elevated status of a “non-member observer State” allows the Palestinians to participate in debates at the U.N. But it does not provide an automatic entry into U.N. agencies or provide any guarantees in that regard. However, outcome of the U.N. vote amounts to an implicit recognition of Palestinian statehood.

Incidentally, the Security Council had rejected a Palestinian bid last year for a full U.N. membership for a Palestine State with pre-1967 borders and East Jerusalem as its capital. Palestine was later admitted as a member-state to the UNESCO despite objections from Israel and the U.S.

Palestinians believe that the non-member observer State status would eventually lead to Palestine’s recognition as a U.N. Member-State. Such a development would allow them to haul Israel to the International Criminal Court and other international forums over issues relating to the 2008 invasion of the Gaza Strip as well as building of Jewish settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem.

Currently, the U.S.-mediated peace talks are deadlocked over Israel’s refusal to extend a construction freeze in the West Bank after its expiry on September 26, 2010. Palestinians insist that they will return to direct peace talks only if Israel stops settlement construction in the West Bank and East Jerusalem.

Israel has settled about 500,000 Jews in more than 100 settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem since the 1967 Six-Day War. However, its annexation of the captured area is not recognized by the international community, which considers building settlements in the occupied land as illegal.

A previously agreed 2003 peace plan mediated by the Middle East Quartet, comprising the U.N., European Union, the United States and Russia, requires Israel to dismantle settlement outposts erected since 2001 and freeze all settlement activities, while Palestinians are required to halt all violence against Israel. It is ultimately expected to lead to an independent Palestinian State alongside Israel with East Jerusalem as its capital.

by RTT Staff Writer

For comments and feedback: editorial@rttnews.com

Wiretaps Implicate Saad Hariri Associate In Arms Trafficking To Syrian Terrorists

[Mr. Hariri had better wise-up and stop being a Saudi hand puppet.  I am sure that having Bandar's arm up his ass all of these years is beginning to chafe a little.  Perhaps he should think about helping someone fry-up some of that Fat Porker from Qatar for a little lubricant?  America's piss-ant royals and would-be Arab aristocrats have done enough damage to the Middle East, and to the world, in general.  It is long past time that someone stepped on them....Putin, are you listening"?  (SEE:  If We Are Serious About Exporting Democracy Then We Must Invade Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain Next).]

Wiretaps implicate Lebanon MP in arming Syrian rebels

the national

Agence France-Presse

BEIRUT // Wiretaps implicating a Lebanese member of parliament close to ex-premier Saad Hariri in arms shipments to Syrian rebels has stirred fresh controversy in Lebanon, which is deeply divided over the civil war raging in its neighbour.

Published on Thursday in Al Akhbar newspaper and broadcast on OTV television, both considered pro-Damascus outlets, the conversations were authenticated on Monday by the MP in question, Okab Sakr.

Mr Sakr is one of the few Shiite parliamentarians belonging to the opposition Future bloc headed by Sunni leader Mr Hariri and both men currently live outside of Lebanon.

In the wiretaps released on Thursday, Mr Sakr is heard speaking on the telephone with a rebel commander in the northern Syrian province of Aleppo, who asks urgently for weapons.

“May God protect you. You must help us. I do not know what to tell you, but what is certain is that after God, there is only you,” the rebel leader says.

In a second recording released on Friday, Sakr is heard demanding arms from an unidentified dealer: “We need automatic weapons, ammunition for PKCs [Russian guns], anti-tank rockets, bombs and quality weapons for Aleppo city and province and Idlib province. We must meet the demand as soon as possible.”

And in a third recording released the same day, the MP speaks with a rebel leader responsible for distributing arms in central Syria. “I will give you instructions for the guys to maximise the quality of the weapons,” he says.

In the last conversation published on Saturday, Sakr is heard speaking to Louay Moqdad, identified by Al Akhbar daily as a spokesman for the rebel Free Syrian Army (FSA) and a personal friend of Mr Sakr.

“It’s driving President Hariri crazy, he wants victory so much he can’t even sleep. He follows the situation hour by hour, minute by minute, second by second. He wants the battle to succeed. There is no room for failure.”

In an interview published on Monday by the Saudi daily Asharq Al Awsat, Mr Sakr verified the recordings but absolved Hariri of any wrongdoing.

“Yes, it is my voice and they are my words,” Mr Sakr said.

“I’m not ashamed of what I did and what I am doing … What I do reflects my deep conviction and is in the interest of Lebanon. I am personally responsible for everything I do.”

Sakr also rushed to clear Hariri’s name: “He asked me to take care of only the humanitarian, political and media support for the Syrian people — nothing more and nothing less.”

The recordings have embarrassed Sakr’s political allies, namely the March 14 opposition coalition opposed to the Syrian regime, whose members include Christians from the Lebanese Forces party and Sunnis of the Future Movement.

“The Future position is clear: We oppose any intervention on the ground in Syria because we reject any Syrian intervention in Lebanon, regardless of what regime controls Damascus,” MP Ahmad Fatfat told AFP.

Lebanon lived under Syrian domination from 1976 until 2005, when Damascus was forced to pull out its troops from the country under international pressure following the assassination of ex-premier Rafiq Hariri, Saad Hariri’s father.

“Okab Sakr is acting on his own. Hariri is very clear about this. and will take the appropriate decisions if there was a breach by Sakr,” Fatfat said.

Hariri’s critics refuse to believe that Sakr acted on his own accord.

Although Hizbollah, Syria’s staunchest ally in Lebanon, has refrained from commenting directly on the recordings, the Shiite movement’s television channel Al Manar delivered a blistering commentary last week.

The recordings “unambiguously confirm the involvement of the Future party [in arms deliveries to rebels] because Sakr is the man closest to Hariri. He is his right arm,” Al Manar said.

 

Anti-Pharoah, Anti-Zionist Protests Merge and Build Throughout Egypt

[SEE:  Al-Jazeera offices in Tahrir Square firebombed, gutted ]

Protests Spread Through Egypt’s Cities

Activists angered by President Morsi’s decision to give himself new powers continue to protest and clash with his supporters.

Opponents of Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi have continued their protest in Cairo’s Tahrir Square overnight over fears of a new dictatorship.

Activists are angered by the President’s decision to grant himself near-absolute power, but Mr Morsi says the powers will allow him to deal with “threats to the revolution”.

Hundreds of people have joined the sit-in protest in Tahrir Square, the scene of the violent clashes during the overthrow of the former president, Hosni Mubarak.

It comes after violent clashes broke out in cities across Egypt.

A protester cheers as items ransacked from an office of the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party burn in Alexandria

A protester cheers as items ransacked from an office of the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party burn in Alexandria.

In Alexandria, Egypt’s second largest city, protesters stormed the headquarters of Mr Morsi’s Muslim Brotherhood party throwing chairs and books into the street and setting them on fire.

The Daily News Egypt reported injuries in cities across the country as violent clashes broke out between protesters and Mr Morsi’s supporters, who according to reports on Twitter, were being bussed in to counter the dissenters.

Hundreds gathered outside the Muslim Brotherhood’s offices in Port Said, pelting it with stones and attempting to storm the building.

There were reports the Muslim Brotherhood’s offices in Suez and Ismailiya had also been set on fire.

Mr Morsi addressed his supporters at a rally outside the presidential palace telling them he would press forward and that he was on the path to “freedom and democracy”.

EGYPT-POLITICS-MORSI
Supporters and opponents of the president clash in Alexandria.

He said: ”No one can stop our march forward … I am performing my duty to please God and the nation and I take decisions after I consult with everyone.”

He said that the new powers were designed to stop “weevils” from the former Mubarak regime blocking progress.

Under the new powers assumed by Mr Morsi, none of his laws or decrees can be cancelled, powers have been removed from the judiciary and he can take any measures necessary to safeguard national security.

The move has come as a blow to the pro-democracy movement that formed before Mubarak was ousted and they raise questions about the gains made in last year’s uprising.

Opposition forces have denounced the declaration as a “coup”.

Mohamed ElBaradei
Mohamed ElBaradei (centre) says the powers are a blow to the revolution

They accused Mr Morsi, an Islamist, of “monopolising all three branches of government” and of overseeing “the total execution of the independence of the judiciary”.

The United Nations Human Rights Commissioner, Navi Pillay, said that Mr Morsi’s move raised serious issues.

Her spokesman, Robert Colville, told a news briefing at the UN in Geneva: “We are very concerned about the possible huge ramifications of this declaration on human rights and the rule of law in Egypt.”

The EU has also issued a warning. “It is of utmost importance that democratic process be completed in accordance with the commitments undertaken by the Egyptian leadership,” a spokesman for EU foreign policy chief, Catherine Ashton, said in a statement.

Nobel laureate and former UN atomic energy agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei had earlier lashed out at the declaration, which would effectively put the president above judicial oversight.

“Morsi usurped all state powers and appointed himself Egypt’s new pharaoh. A major blow to the revolution that could have dire consequences,” Mr ElBaradei wrote on his Twitter account.

The head of the influential Judge’s Club, Ahmed al Zind, told a news conference that the judges would hold an emergency meeting on Saturday to decide on their next step, promising “actions, not words”.

The Unfolding of Saakashvili’s Worst Nightmare

A Georgian nightmare unfolds

Molly Corso in Tbilisi
November 20, 2012

The growing number of arrests of former ruling party elites since the Georgian Dream coalition won the election on October 1 is leaving many to conclude that the incoming government is using its new powers to settle old political scores. And the return to Georgia and subsequent arrest of former defense minister Irakli Okruashvili on November 20 could prove the most dangerous for President Mikheil Saakashvili’s circle, as the testimony of the former close ally and top-ranking official of the previous regime is sure to lead to more arrests.

The international pressure on the government to stop arresting former high ranking officials appears to have fallen on deaf ears. The arrest of Okruashvili, who is expected to go on trial on December 3 on charges of attempting to overthrow the government and extortion, follows fresh charges the day before against Brigadier General Giorgi Kalandadze, the former head of the Georgian Joint Chiefs of Staff, despite international pressure on the government to stop arresting former high-ranking officials. Kalandadze was charged with unlawful detainment, a crime that carries a life sentence. Former defense minister Bacho Akhalaia (who also once served as prison minister and minister of internal affairs) is currently facing similar charges.

Philip Dimitrov, the EU’s Ambassador to Georgia, stressed at a press conference on November 20 it is “important that there is no impression that justice is linked with political causes.”

But there is little indication that either Ivanishvili or his cabinet are heeding those concerns. The speed and volume of arrests have prompted wide speculation about which Saakashvili ally could be next. Both Data Akhalaia, the brother of Bacho Akhalaia, and Giorgi Baramidze, a former defense minister, have been named as the targets of new investigations. Over the past week, a dozen former officials from the internal affairs ministry – Georgia’s umbrella policing body – have been detained on charges ranging from abuse of power to using malware to spy and discredit the opposition.

Allies of former prime minister Vano Merabishvili were included in the round-up, including Shota Khizanishvili, a deputy mayor of Tbilisi at the time of his arrest November 16 on charges of illegal surveillance, who served as a deputy minister under Merabishvili when he was the interior affairs minister. Eleven other former officials from policing structures – including the powerful Department of Constitutional Security (the successor to the KGB) – were also arrested on similar charges.

The alleged crimes stem from allegations that the men planted malware in computers at the Georgian Dream headquarters to spy on the opposition prior to the elections. Charges released by the Prosecutor’s Office indicate that the surveillance was used to leak incriminating audio recordings to the media in the days before the October 1 parliamentary election. Other charges include deliberately destroying property at Cartu Bank, the Georgian bank founded by Ivanishvili that was the targeted by the Georgian government last year after Ivanishvili announced his plans to enter politics.

Pot, kettle, black

Saakashvili supporters and members of his United National Movement (UNM) have blasted the arrests as being politically motivated.

Merabishvili, now the head of the UNM party, told journalists that his allies are being targeted as part of a special campaign to scare him and other former officials. “Bidzina Ivanishvili should have no hope that by such steps he will stir fear or anxiety among us. On the contrary, it will make us stronger.”

Tbilisi Mayor Gigi Ugulava, another powerful figure in the UNM, has also spoken up against the arrests. After Khizanishvili was refused bail on November 18, Ugulava said the charges were “obviously” politically motivated.

Justice Minister Tea Tsulukiani, however, defended the arrests, asserting that cases are being made based on crimes committed, not on political alliances. On November 19, she also hinted that investigations are underway that could lead to Ugulava’s arrest. Tsulukiani told journalists that “many questions” remain about Ugulava’s activities, but there is not enough evidence yet to arrest him. Ugulava, once considered the UNM’s likely candidate for president in the 2013 elections, is a strong Saakashvili ally and powerful figure in the party. He has served as the elected mayor of Tbilisi since 2010 so his position was not affected by Ivanishvili’s win at the October 1 polls.

The efforts of the new government are not restricted to arrests: both the Justice Ministry and the new parliament are also working hard to meet pre-election promises to release prisoners.

The prison ministry has released 300 prisoners it deemed were ready to return to society. In addition, on November 19 the human rights committee in the parliament, together with a working group of non-government organizations, proposed a list of 148 prisoners and Georgians in exile who would be exonerated as political prisoners.

The list, which is not final, includes members of coalition political parties who were arrested over the past eight years on a variety of charges, as well as former parliament speaker Nino Burjanadze’s husband Badri Bitsadze who fled the country in 2011 after he implicated in accidental deaths during the May 26, 2011 protest.

“Down with Abdullah, Abdullah your era is gone!”

Thousands of angry Jordanians call for king to go

Jordanian protesters wave a flag bearing a picture of Argentine-born Cuban revolution hero Che Guevara during a demonstration against hikes in fuel prices in Amman. Thousands of protesters made unprecedented calls for Jordan’s King Abdullah II to go. (AFP – Khalil Mazraawi)
AMMAN: Thousands of protesters made unprecedented calls on Friday for Jordan’s King Abdullah II to go, as police blocked them from heading to the royal palace to vent their anger over big fuel price increases.

“Freedom, freedom, down with Abdullah,” chanted crowds that AFP estimated at around 10,000 people, including Islamists, leftists and youth activists.

Publicly insulting the king or calling for his overthrow is punishable by imprisonment in Jordan so the demonstrators’ slogans were a major departure for a kingdom that had previously been spared protests on the scale of other countries swept up in the Arab Spring.

“The people want the fall of the regime,” the protesters shouted angrily outside the Husseini Mosque in the heart of the capital, using the ralling call of the uprisings that swept aside veteran rulers in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Yemen last year.

“Abdullah, reform or leave, you have lost legitimacy,” they chanted. “God is greater than injustice… Abdullah your era is gone.”

Organisers said more than 25,000 people took part in the demonstration. Police put the number at 3,000.

In the face of the scale of the protests, the king cancelled a visit to London he was due to make next week, the British foreign ministry said.

Demonstrators held up banners saying: “Playing with prices means playing with fire,” “This is a real revolt against corruption” and “No reform without political and economic change. Long live the revolt of Jordanians.”

Police prevented them from heading for the palace around eight kilometres (five miles) from the mosque, but no clashes were reported, an AFP reporter said.

The deputy head of the main opposition Muslim Brotherhood, Zaki Bani Rsheid, told AFP: “The numbers calling for the fall of the regime are growing because of wrong polices that reject people’s demands.

“This cannot and should not be ignored. The regime must reform before it is too late.”

The protesters had said they planned to hold another demonstration at around 7:00 pm (1600 GMT) near the interior ministry, but only around 100 showed up.

Some 2,000 anti-riot policemen sealed off the area, as some 200 loyalists of the monarchy clashed with the small knot of anti-government protesters forcing them to flee.

Demonstrations were also held just outside Amman in the Baqaa Palestinian refugee camp and in the cities of Tafileh, Karak and Maan south of the capital, and Irbid and Jerash to its north.

The wave of protests erupted on Tuesday in response to the announcement of a 53 percent increase in the price of household gas and a 12 percent rise in the price of petrol.

But as with other Arab Spring protest movements the economic grievances have swiftly taken on political overtones.

The Muslim Brotherhood has demanded that the king cancel the price hikes and postpone a snap general election called for January 23, which the group has said it will boycott.

The Islamists say that reforms promised by the king do not go far enough in establishing a constitutional monarchy with a prime minister elected by parliament rather than appointed by the king.

Washington, which has said it is monitoring developments closely, called on Americans to avoid areas where demonstrations are being held.

“There’s a thirst for change,” State Department deputy spokesman Mark Toner acknowledged on Thursday while underlining US support for the king.

“We support King Abdullah II’s road map for reform and the aspirations of the Jordanian people to foster a more inclusive political process that will promote security, stability as well as economic development,” he said.

- AFP/fa

A “Saudi Spring” Must Be An “Islamist” Spring

Saudi Arabia: the religious dimension of dissent



Mahan Abedin

Six months after the start of the so-called Arab Spring which has witnessed revolutions, uprisings and even a full-fledged Civil War in no less than six Arab countries, there is no sign yet that the spirit of protest and revolt is about to reach the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Indeed, conventional wisdom in Western academic and governmental circles tends to rule out this possibility altogether on account of the Kingdom’s peculiar political culture and the resilience of the House of Saud. 

© 2011 Citizenside / Editorside.

Over the past two decades, most academic and journalistic studies of Saudi dissent have focussed on two categories of dissidents, namely the minority Shias in the Eastern Province and the Salafi-oriented dissenters who emerged after the first Persian Gulf War of 1991. More recently there has been a focus on armed dissidents, namely the Jihadis operating under the Al-Qaeda banner, who started a bombing campaign in May 2003. Not enough attention has been paid to other platforms or potential platforms of dissent, including the Al-Sahwa (Renewal) reform movement, non-Salafi Islamist dissidents, liberal Islamists and even the official religious establishment.

This article seeks foremost to broaden the range of analysis to include all noteworthy religious-based categories of dissent. The aim is to understand to what extent religiously motivated actors and institutions can be catalysts for change in the Kingdom, and specifically under what conditions they can make the transition to fully-fledged dissidents. With this, the article seeks to make a contribution to the understanding of Saudi politics in a period of momentous and historic region-wide political and social convulsions.

As a cautionary note, it is important to point out that the categories of religious dissent listed below elude neat classification. Indeed, there is a considerable level of ideological, theological and political cross-pollination amongst all the categories outlined below, with the obvious exception of the Shias. The current that essentially defines these groups and movements – or at the very least regulates their ideological, intellectual and political interaction with each other and the outside world – is the dominant Wahhabi religious tradition in Saudi Arabia. In other words Wahhabism as a generic tradition is the basic reference point which defines the identity and oppositional role of many of the groups featured in this article.

Nevertheless, these groups are possessed of sufficiently distinctive features to be mapped out independently, with the implicit assumption that each category potentially exerts a unique influence on the political future of the country.

Official religious establishment: bulwark of the Al-Sauds?

Owing to its vast oil reserves, its central role in the Islamic world and its outstanding regional geopolitical profile, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia remains critical to Western economic prosperity and the continuation of Western, in particular American, political influence in the Middle East.

It is primarily because of this central importance to Western economic, political and security interests that events in Saudi Arabia are keenly observed by a wide range of West European and North American stakeholders as well as the Western public as a whole. Concerns about Saudi Arabia’s long-term stability and its role as an incubator of anti-Western militants were dramatically heightened in the wake of the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, in which fifteen of the nineteen hijackers involved in the attacks were Saudi Arabian nationals.

In addition there are major concerns by international human rights and broader civil society organisations about the nature of Saudi society, in particular the harsher aspects of the Saudi judicial system and the strictures imposed on everyday life by the Kingdom’s morality police, the so-called Mutaween, which are controlled by the Committee for the Propagation of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice.

Partly as a response to growing international pressure for change, the Saudi rulers have initiated a carefully controlled reform process and have given rhetorical support to calls for greater debate and dialogue in the Kingdom. The reform process is closely identified with King Abdullah who succeeded to the throne in August 2005.

But despite early hopes for a genuine wide-ranging debate on all aspects of national and public life, with resulting concrete changes, little appears to have changed in the Kingdom. The country has a very limited political life, in which no political parties or trade unions exist, religious minorities (in particular the Shias of the Eastern Province) continue to complain of discrimination, and, at the socio-cultural level, severe restrictions are applied to various spheres, particularly on women, who still do not have the right to drive.

The so-called Arab Spring, the term used by the Western media to describe widespread political and social convulsions across the Middle East and North Africa, has hitherto not reached the Saudi street, despite the best efforts of the most committed opponents of the House of Saud. [1] While Riyadh and Jeddah may be far less vulnerable to mass street protests of the type that rocked Tunis, Cairo and Sanaa, this does not necessarily guarantee a lack of long-term threats to the stability and well-being of the Saudi ruling system.

In view of the deeply tribal and religious nature of Arabian society, and taking into account the peculiar political culture of the Kingdom (where public mobilization and organised political groups are virtually unheard of), the most potent form of opposition to the House of Saud is likely to emanate from religious actors, movements and institutions. More specifically, the quest to re-define Islam and its role in Arabian society is likely to bring the entire royal family, and broader governing structures, under sharp scrutiny in the years ahead.

In fact this pattern has already been observed over the past two decades, when dissenters came out into the open in the wake of the first Persian Gulf War of 1991, by issuing the Letter of Demands in 1991 and the Memorandum of Advicethe following year, to then Saudi King Fahd. [2] Nearly all of the petitioners were a mix of Salafi and Muslim Brotherhood influenced professionals (more on this later).

It might appear odd to consider the official religious establishment as a potential platform for dissent, not least because the Saudi ruling elites rely on the religious establishment to manufacture legitimacy and rubber stamp policies. Indeed, leading Arabian opposition activists have told Religioscope that the official religious establishment will “stick” with the regime until the “bitter end”. [3]

Considering the likely role and reaction of the religious establishment in a climate of change requires a definition of that establishment. For the purpose of this article the core official religious establishment in KSA is comprised of the following: the Council of Senior Ulama (comprised of 30-40 of the most senior Wahhabi clerics) and the ancillary 21-member Grand Ulama Commission (which together control the Wahhabi clerical network in the Kingdom and beyond); the Commission for the Promotion of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice (responsible for enforcing Islamic norms and customs); the Judiciary, specifically in the form of the Supreme Judiciary Council. All of these institutions and their myriad commissions and sub-organisations are critical organs of the Saudi state and as such they can be considered to be the least vulnerable to dissent. [4]

However, if we broadened the category of analysis to include the countless Wahhabi-oriented religious and cultural institutes that operate in the Kingdom and beyond, then the potential for bottom-up pressure and, ultimately, dissent expressed by ostensibly official bodies, is increased. This is a wholly legitimate extrapolation since by definition all the registered religious organisations in the Kingdom (and those that operate abroad under clear Saudi direction) are ultimately tied to the grand institutions noted above.

The potential for dissent is considerable in view of the religious zeal commonly associated with the salaried personnel and volunteers of these organisations, and the dim view they take of corruption attributed to royalist circles and the – to them – less palatable features of the Kingdom’s foreign policy, particularly its six decades long iron-clad alliance with the United States.

© 2011 Citizenside / Editorside.

Al-Sahwa: still a relevant force?

The movement known as Al-Sahwa al-Islamiyah (Islamic Revival) is arguably Saudi Arabia’s foremost modern reformist Islamic movement. Al-Sahwa emerged in the 1970s in the universities and other elite institutions, but its roots are believed to go deeper, at least to the 1960s when Saudi Arabia was exposed to foreign influences, in particular the ideas of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood who arrived in the Kingdom in the 1950s and 1960s to escape persecution in their own country. [5] One notable expert on the subject has described the ideological force behind the Sahwa as an “amalgam of traditional Saudi thinking and the philosophy of the Muslim Brotherhood”. [6]

Inasmuch as it can still be considered a coherent or even an identifiable movement, the Sahwa is divided between competing trends that defy neat categorisation. Indeed, both Arab and Western scholars have struggled to reach a consensus on a definition. For the purpose of this article – and in an effort to assess the movement’s oppositional role and potential – the Sahwa may be thought of as a heterogeneous socio-religious (and from the 1990s onwards political) movement comprised of a Wahhabi religious-cultural core interspersed with strong Salafi reformist tendencies, and selective adoption of Muslim Brotherhood methodology. The latter characteristic comes to the fore when Sahwa activists enter the political realm or when they try to establish and manage relations with Islamists outside the Kingdom. According to this definition, the Sahwa may be considered as a unique and influential socio-cultural, and ultimately political force in Arabia.

In its first two decades of activism the Sahwa movement was a strong pillar of the Saudi regime. While clearly influenced by non-indigenous Islamic movements (in particular the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood) leading Sahwa activists in the universities, training institutes and the bureaucracy were careful to couch their Islamist rhetoric within the framework of the political interests and the worldview of the House of Saud. Rhetorically, at least, leading Sahwa activists held fast to the belief that the Saudi royal family and the official Saudi religious establishment were the most authentic voices of Islam on the world stage. Owing to this political position the Sahwa were long regarded by the Al-Sauds as indispensable ideological allies, enabling the regime to convince a wide range of actors in the Muslim world of its Islamic credentials.

But with the benefit of hindsight it is clear that the Sahwa carried within it the seeds of dissent and even outright opposition to the House of Saud. This became clear in the wake of the first Persian Gulf War of 1991 when Saudi Arabia enabled a vast American-led international coalition to wage war on Iraq (following the latter’s invasion of Kuwait in August 1990) by hosting Western armies and giving free access to its airspace. This open and brazen alliance with Western armies at the expense of a fellow Arab and Muslim country was deeply shocking to many sections of Saudi society, in particular Sahwa activists and sympathisers.

For the first time since the founding of modern Saudi Arabia in 1932, the deep and irreconcilable contradiction between the House of Saud’s self-appointed role as the guardian of authentic Islam, and the Kingdom’s near total dependence on Western powers, notably the United States, for its security, burst out onto the surface. Not surprisingly over the course of ten years the Saudi rulers had to contend with a relatively novel phenomenon, namely serious dissent couched in an Islamic garb and rhetoric.

Sahwa leaders and activists were at the forefront of this dissent, helping to organise both the Letter of Demands and the Memorandum of Advice in 1991 and 1992 respectively. The former was a concise summary of the main demands of the embryonic opposition (chief amongst which was the establishment of a Consultative Council and the modernisation of the legal system) while the latter presented a detailed programme for reform. Together these documents constituted an unprecedented political act in the Kingdom and were perceived by the Saudis and their supporters as a blatant and direct challenge to their authority.

Two prominent Sahwa leaders emerged as particularly influential amongst these early dissidents. Safar Al-Hawali and Salman Al-Auda were outspoken in their opposition to the foreign policy of the Al-Sauds and the corruption and ideological deviation which they believed were the source of the Kingdom’s drift from its authentic religious and political mission. They were arrested in 1994 and were only released in 1999 after the authorities had allegedly secured assurances from both that they would desist from public criticism of the regime. Since their release they have not been harassed by Saudi intelligence agents, leading some to conclude that they had cut a comprehensive deal with the regime.

While the apparent taming of Hawali and Auda lends credence to the idea that the Saudis have ironed out their open differences with the Sahwa movement, it would require a leap of faith to conclude with even a minimum level of confidence that the relations between the two can be adjusted along the lines that prevailed in the 1970s and 1980s. At the political and organisational level there is a profound trust deficit between the two sides, with many Sahwa leaders and activists having suffered imprisonment and other forms of harassment. But it is ideology that keeps the two sides far apart, and may under certain conditions cause an even bigger rift than the one in the early and mid 1990s. From the point of view of some Sahwa leaders and activists, the Saudi regime’s religious legitimacy has diminished considerably – for some it has disappeared altogether – leaving the House of Saud’s ability to project a veneer of Islamic authenticity in the long-term open to doubt.

However, the Sahwa’s ability to act as a coherent force for change is equally open to serious doubt. According to some of the best scholars on the Kingdom, the Sahwa is a “latent” movement, trapped by Wahhabi theology, arguing about “specific issues” as opposed to calling for “real” political change. [7]

Dissident Salafis and secret societies

While the Sahwa may no longer be the force it was in its heyday back in the 1980s, new forms of Salafism are continuously emerging in the Kingdom. Individual activists like Said Bin Zoair (an imprisoned scholar in his 70s), Naser al-Omar (a classical Wahhabi), Abdul Aziz al-Qasim (a former judge and intellectual) and even Ayidh al-Qarni (a preacher with mild Salafi tendencies-generally considered pro-regime) may be considered to comprise a category in their own right, one that can arguably be labelled as “dissident” Salafi. These individuals, and many other lesser known figures, were at one stage either part of the Sahwa movement or closely identified with it.

The key points about this category of activists are that they are neither part of an organised or coherent ideological tendency nor are their views and positions fixed. They tend to change their views and positions according to the prevailing political mood. In some cases even when they express an oppositional stance this is beneficial to the Saudi regime inasmuch as it casts the latter in a moderate light. For example, Nasser al-Omar has repeatedly berated the Saudi authorities for their “conciliatory” approach towards the Kingdom’s embattled Shia minority. [8]

Partly related to this group – inasmuch as the above category believes in the Saudi regime’s legitimacy – but of far greater significance, is a network of five secret societies that are based on the Muslim Brotherhood/Sorouri ideology. [9]This should not be confused with the visible Sorouri trend in the country which is identified with the likes of Mohammad Al-Ahmary amongst others. [10]

The Sorouri trend in Saudi Arabia was started by Mohammad Sorour Zein Al-Abidine, a Syrian teacher with a Muslim Brotherhood background who immigrated to Saudi Arabia in the the late 1970s. Muslim Brotherhood affiliated groups are known to have been active in Saudi Arabia since 1954, where inevitably they have had intense ideological, intellectual and theological interaction with an assortment of Salafi groups and trends.

Mohammad Sorour is widely credited with creating the most potent hybrid form of Ikhwani/Salafi thought, albeit one with a clear tilt towards the Salafi tradition. While the precise position of the Sorouris on the question of the House of Saud’s legitimacy is not entirely clear, by most credible accounts they are in favour of radical reforms in the country, with some elements in favour of the root and branch overthrow of the Saudi regime. However, these elements haven’t defined what they want to see replace the current regime.

According to reliable sources four of these groups are quasi-Ikhwani (Muslim Brotherhood) in orientation, while the other can best be described as Sorouri. All five secret groups ultimately believe in the legitimacy of the Saudi regime but are highly critical of numerous domestic and foreign policies, including the corruption associated with the royalist elites, perceived erosion of Islamic norms in society and of course the regime’s dependence on the United States for security. All of these groups strive for comprehensive reforms to state and society within the framework of the Islamic Shariah.

The size of these secret societies is difficult to gauge as they are by definition highly security conscious. They have allegedly penetrated every sphere of national life, including the most sensitive security organs in Saudi Arabia. While the Saudi regime is aware of their existence (if not the full scope of their secret activities) it avoids harassing them in the belief that these groups ultimately serve its interests by quietly manufacturing legitimacy and consent across state and society. This may yet prove to be a stunning miscalculation.

Organised Islamists

A readily identifiable category of dissidents are the organised Islamists who emerged following the first Persian Gulf War of 1991. This phenomenon is bound up with two individuals in particular, Saad al-Faqih and Mohammad al-Massari, both of whom are currently exiled in the United Kingdom. Both played important roles in organising the Letter of Demands and the Memorandum of Advice. In 1993 Faqih and Massari formed the Committee for the Defence of Legitimate Rights (CDLR), arguably the first organised Islamic-orientated opposition group in modern Saudi Arabia. Following their exile to the United Kingdom in the mid-1990s Faqih and Massari briefly revived CDLR but soon fell out and went their separate ways.

Faqih formed the Movement for Islamic Reform in Arabia (MIRA) in 1996, an openly disloyal opposition group. Faqih – whose underlying political-religious philosophy is a mix of Muslim Brotherhood and core Salafi beliefs – can be described as the most committed and recalcitrant non-violent enemy of the House of Saud. In a recent interview with Religioscope Faqih said that he aspires to the root and branch overthrow of the Saudi regime and its replacement with an Islamic Republic. [11]

Hizbut Tahrir Al-Islami (The Islamic Liberation Party – HuT) can be considered as an organised Islamist opposition force inside the Kingdom, even though it is a non-indigenous international pan-Islamic ideological party. According to a HuT source the pan-Islamic group worked closely with Sahwa activists in the 1960s, 70s and 80s and fully exploited the political opening generated by the first Persian Gulf War of 1991. [12] It appears that HuT was well-entrenched at the universities of Riyadh, Dahran and Jeddah. Mohammad al-Massari (who went on to form a partnership with Saad al-Faqih in the 1990s) was one of the leading Arabian members of HuT. [13]

The Saudi regime regards HuT as dangerously subversive and cracks down harshly whenever it discovers activities related to the group. The most recent well-documented crackdown occurred in 1995 when Saudi intelligence arrested six HuT activists led by the Taif-based Dr. Mohammad Saif al-Turki. This was swiftly followed by another round of arrests, this time targeting the HuT network at the King Saud University in Riyadh.

HuT poses a security concern to the Saudi authorities, as evidenced by the harsh methods the regime employs against party members. The Saudis fear HuT not for its organisational capacity but because of the party’s ability to direct more mainstream Islamist trends towards a more subversive path.

Pilgrims circumambulate the Kaaba at Masjidil Haram on 23 April 2010 in Makkah, Saudi Arabia — © 2010 Ahmad Faizal Yahya | Dreamstime.com

Jihadis: opposition or stalking horse?

Although terrorism is not new to Saudi Arabia (the seizure of the Grand Mosque of Mecca in November 1979 and a few violent acts attributed to Shia militants in the 1980s are noteworthy examples), the advent of violent Jihad beginning in May 2003 targeting foreigners and symbols of Saudi authority alike, was a major shock to Saudi society. These so-called Jihadis were operating mostly under the umbrella of “Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula”, which allegedly drew inspiration from the wider Al-Qaeda phenomenon founded and led by the deceased Osama Bin Laden.

By early 2007 the Saudi authorities had effectively crushed the Jihadi campaign, but there was a major terrorist incident in Jeddah in August 2009 when a suicide bomber attempted to assassinate Prince Mohammad bin Nayef, the deputy interior minister in charge of counter-terrorism. It is important to note that nearly all of the religiously-based opposition groups, trends and individuals categorically condemn the violence of the Jihadis and regard their methods as not only un-Islamic and immoral but also self-defeating and counter-productive. Indeed, the Saudi regime made enormous propaganda gains during its much vaunted counter-terrorist campaign of 2003-2007 and managed to position itself as indispensable to the wider Western struggle against Jihadi-inspired terrorism, with all the political and strategic benefits that brings.

Non-violent Saudi dissidents can point to the draft of a proposed new counter-terrorism law which empowers Saudi authorities to categorise any activity which they deem to be a danger to national security and harmful to the reputation of the state as “terrorist” crimes, as evidence of the regime’s calculated conflation of legitimate dissent with terrorism. [14]

Nevertheless, the Jihadis may be considered as a distinct category of religiously-inspired opposition, despite the fact their methods are universally reviled by other religious oppositionists, and are judged to subvert the ultimate aims of either overthrowing the House of Saud, or reforming it beyond recognition.

In view of modern Saudi history (the legacy of the early 20th century Ikhwan militia still looms large) it is entirely conceivable that violent groups will continue periodically to emerge to protest loudly against what they see as the more outrageous excesses of the House of Saud. But even if we accept their sincerity at face value, these groups will fail to achieve their declared aims unless they can gain recognition from other Islamists and wider society. This is extremely unlikely, at least for the foreseeable future.

The advent of liberal Islamists

A marginal but increasingly important phenomenon is the emergence of what can best be described as liberal Islamism in the Kingdom. The emergence of this trend can be traced to the early 1990s with the advent of open dissent in the Kingdom. Indeed, most of the individuals described as “liberal” by Western scholars and journalists have backgrounds in the Sahwa movement and some were hardcore Salafis.

Some of the key individuals associated with this trend are Abdullah al-Hamed (an imprisoned septuagenarian professor of Arabic language), the scholar Hassan al-Maliki and the provocative Mansour al-Nuqaidan, who in his youth was so extreme as to be labelled a “Kharejite”, i.e. an individual whose religious extremism and its implications are so grave that the Islamic community excommunicates him altogether. [15]

Broadly speaking, the liberal Islamists not only seek reforms to Saudi society but in some cases they seek to reform Saudi Arabian Islam (i.e. Wahhabism) altogether. Some, like Abdul Aziz al-Qasim, seek to re-define Wahhabism from a more liberal Wahhabi perspective by insisting on the original “internal plurality” of the Wahhabi tradition. [16] Note that the precise religio-political position of many of these thinkers and activists is not fixed; therefore Abdul Aziz al-Qasim who was earlier identified as a dissident Salafi can also be considered a liberal Islamist, at least in a Saudi Arabian context.

In the eyes of the hardcore dissidents the liberal Islamists lack credibility, not so much for their lack of organisation and ideological coherence, but primarily because their reform discourse tends to coincide with the official regime reformist narrative. Moreover, the liberal Islamists strive to bring about reforms by respecting the political red lines set down by the regime. This inevitably blunts their political impact no matter how original and innovative their ideas. Nevertheless, the Saudi liberals may in the long-run act as important catalysts for socio-cultural change and may unwittingly prepare the ground for more courageous and committed dissidents.

Arabian Shias: caught between accommodation and opposition

Saudi Arabian Shias, who are largely concentrated in the Eastern Province, are often in the limelight because of the severe discrimination imposed on them by the Saudi state and society alike, and the resulting opposition that this discrimination attracts. In recent months, in stark contrast to the majority Sunni population, the Shias of the Eastern Province came out on to the streets to defy Saudi security forces, in an act of solidarity with the spirit of revolt that has engulfed much of the Arab world. Arabian Shias were particularly inspired by the (thwarted) mini-revolution in neighbouring Bahrain, which was ultimately crushed by a Saudi-led Gulf Cooperation Council military intervention in March.

The Shia opposition in the Eastern Province is closely identified with Sheikh Hassan al-Safar, the leader of the Islamic Reform Movement, who signed a controversial deal with the Saudi regime in 1993, enabling Safar and his circle to return to the Eastern Province, where they are still based. But according to a veteran Arabian Shia activist and leader, Fouad Ibrahim, none of the main terms of that deal have been implemented leaving many Shia activists disillusioned and demoralised. [17] Instead the Saudis have sought to divide the Shia activists by empowering Safar’s group at the expense of more committed activists.

In 2008 a new opposition group called Khalas (Deliverance) was formed, with many of its leaders (including Fouad Ibrahim) being originally associated with Safar’s group. Other groups include the Khat al-Imam (i.e. Khomeini) which is formed by the remnants of the former Hezbollah al-Hejaz organisation, an openly pro-Iranian militant group. But unlike the latter Khat al-Imam eschews violence in favour of more long-term secret political and religio-cultural activities.

The Saudi regime has not only deftly divided the Shia opposition but, more importantly, it skilfully exploits the Shia issue to divide and suppress the wider opposition movements in the country, by depriving them of mass public support. By appealing to exaggerated majority Sunni fears of Shia empowerment in the Arabian Peninsula, the Saudis are able to discredit and de-legitimise calls for serious reforms, lest those reforms end up strengthening the Shia position.

Wither the House of Saud?

Kingdom Tower in Riyadh — © 2009 Swisshippo |Dreamstime.com

As this article has set out, the Saudi regime is faced with a wide range of religious-based opposition movements, groups and individuals. While the religious opposition has developed considerably over the past two decades, it is noteworthy that a profound clear-cut division between loyal and disloyal dissidents has not taken shape. The majority of the dissidents can still be classified as “loyal” inasmuch as they don’t – publicly at least – irrevocably reject the legitimacy of the House of Saud.

Nevertheless, there is a growing public debate in the country about all aspects of national life and it is not clear at this stage if the regime’s official reform discourse is able to manage and submerge this debate in the long term.

In any case, the House of Saud should never be under-estimated. Apart from the vast oil reserves and the deep security alliance with the United States, the Saudis have proven to be masters of managing dissent and discontent. Through a skilful mix of coercion, suppression, bribery, accommodation and ultimately co-option, the regime has managed to destroy or sideline its most committed opponents whilst creating embattled and inherently unstable spaces for the expression of “safe” dissent.

At this stage the root and branch overthrow of the House of Saud is difficult to envisage in the light of the royal family’s total domination of all aspects of national life. Nor is it clear if such an outcome is desirable, since a fundamental shift, re-alignment and distribution of power and resources will inevitably throw up unexpected scenarios, including that of civil war, and in view of the centrifugal forces boiling beneath the surface in the Arabian Peninsula, the eventual breakup of the country.

The more likely scenario is a painfully slow expansion of political spaces, as the Saudis incrementally lose the ability to control debate. The long-term challenge for the entire spectrum of the religiously-based opposition is not the overthrow or emasculation of the House of Saud, but the extent to which the opposition can match its religious discourse and programme to the rising socio-cultural and political aspirations of the Arabian public.

Mahan Abedin
Notes

[1] Refer to author’s interview with Saad Al-Faqih of the Movement for Islamic Reform in Arabia: “Arabia: Protest and Revolution – An Interview with Saad Al-Faqih“, Religioscope, 10 March 2011.

[2] Note that petitioning senior Saudi officials is a well-established custom in the Kingdom.

[3] Interview with MIRA leader, Saad Al-Faqih, 20 April 2011.

[4] According to the well-known Saudi Arabian scholar, Professor Madawi Al-Rasheed (King’s College, London), the official religious field “is fragmented and any attempt to put people and institutions in clear cut categories will not be successful”. Interview with Madawi Al-Rasheed, Department of Theology and Religious Studies, King’s College (London), 18 July 2011.

[5] Ondrej Beranek, “Divided We Survive: A Landscape of Fragmentation in Saudi Arabia“, Crown Center for Middle East Studies (Brandeis University), No. 33, January 2009.

[6] Stéphane Lacroix, “Fundamentalist Islam at a Crossroads: 9/11, Iraq and the Saudi religious debate” , CSIS Middle East Program Gulf Roundtable, 29 May 2008.

[7] Interview with Madawi Al-Rasheed, 18 July 2011.

[8] Interview with Mohammad Al-Massari, 4 May 2011.

[9] The information contained in this section has been provided by sources within and outside the Kingdom who wish to remain anonymous.

[10] It is important to note that some observers reject any association between Al-Ahmary and the Sorouris. These critics point to Al-Ahmary’s unorthodox views, in particular his promotion of Islamic democracy. The critics argue that the Sorouri trend is traditional in nature and rejects an overly modernist Islamist stance.

[11] “Arabia: Protest and Revolution – An Interview with Saad Al-Faqih“, Religioscope, 10 March 2011.

[12] Interview with “Abu Shakker”, a leading Middle East-based HuT activist, July 2011.

[13] Note that Massari is no longer associated with HuT.

[14] “Rights Group Condemns Draft Saudi Anti-terror Law”, The Wall Street Journal, 23 July 2011.

[15] This should not be confused with the Kharejites as a distinct religious school in Islam. Today the Kahrejites as a distinct religious community are foremost represented by the Ibadis of Oman. There are also small Kharejite communities in Zanzibar and Algeria.

[16] Stéphane Lacroix, “Post-Wahhabism in Saudi Arabia?“, The Gulf Monarchies in Transition (Colloquium), Sciences Po (Paris), January 2005.

[17] Interview with Fouad Ibrahim, 23 April 2011.

Mahan Abedin is an academic and journalist specialising in Islamic affairs.

Russia Maintains Its Nuclear ICBMs, Ensuring MAD (mutual assured destruction) Until “Neocon Fever” Plays-Out In the West

Russia to Keep Silo and Mobile ICBM Launchers in Future

Topol-M systems

Topol-M systems

IA Novosti.                             Mikhail Fomichev

MOSCOW, November 1 (RIA Novosti) – Russia’s Strategic Missile Forces (SMF) will continue deploying silo-based and mobile ballistic missile launchers in the future, SMF Deputy Commander Lt. Gen. Valery Mazurov said on Thursday.

The two-component structure of the SMF reflects its purpose as part of Russia’s nuclear triad. Silo-based ICBMs serve as a preventive nuclear deterrent of any potential aggression while road-mobile ICBM launchers ensure the capability to respond to nuclear strikes by potential foes.

“This SMF structure will most likely remain unchanged for years or even decades to come,” Mazurov said in an interview with Rossiya 24 television.

“The composition of ICBM systems [in SMF structure] is based on a thorough analysis of potential military conflicts of varied intensity that involve the use of nuclear weapons,” the general said.

According to open sources, the SMF currently operates at least 58 silo-based SS-18 Satan ballistic missiles, 160 road-mobile Topol (SS-25 Sickle) missile systems, 50 silo-based and 18 road-mobileTopol-M (SS-27 Sickle B) systems, and 18 RS-24 Yars systems.

The SMF said last year that the Topol-M and RS-24 ballistic missiles would be the mainstay of the ground-based component of Russia’s nuclear triad and would account for no less than 80 percent of the SMF’s arsenal by 2016.

The Little Lioness of Palestine

A lioness of Palestine !

Fearsome and Awesome

 

 Look at you… my beloved
Look at you
This little fist of yours
Slams before the world
The final word
This little fist of yours
 Says it all
RIGHT is GREATER than MIGHT

The sparkle in your eyes
BLAZING FIRE
Burns deep  
 
Renders them to ashes;
Soulless shadows
Void of life
Void of love
Void of heart
Remnants of human beings 
They wither away

Before your magnificence
They bow down
Lost… Defeated… Humiliated…
Drenched in shame
Humanity you embody
Dignity you teach
Wonders you inspire
Tall you stand, my sweetheart
 
Tall you stand
What mother of glory gave birth to you
O great daughter of Palestine!

 

Your Tears
Your pain
 Your sacrifice
A Wake Up call

To a sleepy world
 A zombie world

A beaten world

Who forgot what it means to be alive

Lift your fist
Shake your wrist
 
Move the world
Beloved daughter of Palestine
Hear her ROAR . . .World

Hear her roar

 Hold her heart
Kiss at her feet
Hear her roar
 Be filled with Awe

“And I, a Palestinian from occupied Palestine, refuse to share
my homeland with Zionist colonizers

~ Reham Alhelsi


“Facts” do NOT need laws to enforce, validate or defend them, what they require is research to examine their narrative and correct it for better accuracy and understanding.

“When a man who is honestly mistaken hears the truth, he will either cease being mistaken, or cease being honest.” 

 

Palestine Civil Rights Campaign-Lebanon

PLEASE SIGN HERE!

http://www.petitiononline.com/ssfpcrc/petition.html

“Failure is not an option for the Palestine Civil Rights Campaign, our only choice is success”

15 year old Hiba Hajj, PCRC volunteer, Ein el Helwe Palestinian Camp, Saida, Lebanon

Please check our website for UPDATES:
www.palestinecivilrightscampaign.org

Franklin P. Lamb, LLM,PhD
Director, Americans Concerned for
Middle East Peace, Wash.DC-Beirut

Board Member, The Sabra Shatila Foundation and the Palestine Civil Rights Campaign, Beirut-Washington DC
Shatila Palestinian Refugee Camp
Beirut Mobile:
00961- 71-899-164
Office:  +961-01-551-798
fplamb@palestinecivilrightscampaign.org

Tajik authorities seek to protect youth from the “Western influence”

Tajik authorities seek to protect youth from the “Western influence”

Khairullo Mirsaidov

In the photo: student from Tajikistan – the commemorative ceremony with President

The authorities of the Republic of Tajikistan have intensified the “struggle for the soul” of young people, which makes up a large part of the population. The methods used in this case are different: illegal inspections and elimination of non-governmental organizations, the ban on attending seminars and workshops, as well as the involvement of mass events and forced to join the party in power.

From 27 to 30 November this year for an event devoted to the visit of Emomali Rahmon at the north of the country were involved in several thousand schools and universities. They were forcibly taken away to the opening of different objects to create extras, distributed on the streets, where he was to pass the head of state, involved in the preparation of the grand concert numbers. All this happened with the separation of the training program. In this case, students who were to appear on stage, did not learn from the beginning of the school year is not a single day, rehearsing every day. What they are fed and watered – a separate issue. In this case, all students, despite the cold weather, forced to wear only dresses and national costumes. As a result, according to witnesses, two students passed out right during the official opening of the tunnel “Shahristan.”

All these events took place against the background of a controversial decision by the Ministry of Education of Tajikistan, which now promised to limit the participation of students in seminars, trainings and conferences organized by international organizations. It was officially stated that the involvement of students in such activities contradict the legislation of Tajikistan, but no one can say – what is the law. Leaders of most universities already acquainted with the Ministry of Education decision and try to implement this practice. Representatives of international organizations in Tajikistan gets confused by such steps the government. Several of them have already faced problems in carrying out its activities and was forced to cancel them.

According to co-National Social Democratic Party of Tajikistan (OSDPT) Shukhrat Kudratova, Ministry of Education of the actions violates the constitutional right of citizens to freedom of choice. ”Ministry of Education has the right to restrict or prohibit students to attend events and seminars, if they do not go to the detriment of teaching time – he said. - This prohibition Education Ministry questioned the legal activities of international and other organizations. “

Students are driven to open artificial ice rink, as the ceremony takes place with the participation of President Rahmon

After a stormy media coverage Deputy Education Minister Farhod Rahimov yet commented on the decision, saying that it was against the activities that distract students from their studies. According to him, according to law “On Higher and Postgraduate Professional Education”, the student in the case of missing 36 hours of classes excluded from the university. “ However, the Education Ministry does not comment on the involvement of students through classroom time for activities involving the president. If you follow the letter of the law, then they should already be expelled from universities and even more excluded from schools.

Photo for memory – in anticipation of President

Meanwhile, the problems faced not only the international organizations working in Tajikistan, and community organizations.According to the head of the Association of Young Lawyers “Amparo” Dilrabo Samadov, authorities in northern Tajikistan in the summer of this year, has hindered the summer school age students on human rights. ”We have sent a letter of notification to the local authorities and began to contract with the camp, but after a while we were told that they could not provide the camp, because they themselves have to get a permit – said Samadov. - Some time later we received a letter from the local authorities, which stated that they do not favor a similar summer camps. “

“Amparo” protects the rights of young men of military age, hazing in the army, and raids into the death of soldiers. ”After this incident, we were first to come with us” meet “National Security Committee, and following them with check raided the representatives of the Ministry of Justice” – said Samadov. At the same time, she said, checking on the part of the Ministry of Justice conducted with violations, starting with the fact that the Ministry of Justice to carry out such checks do not have the right. “

Immediately after the so-called check Sogdian representative of the Justice Ministry filed a suit in court to liquidate the public organization “Amparo” on the basis of the identified violations. Last week, the court upheld the claim of Khujand and the Ministry of Justice has ruled on the Elimination of “Amparo” in one month. Junaid Ibodov – a lawyer who defended “Amparo” in court, immediately after the meeting said that disagrees with the court’s decision, as all the allegations made by the Ministry of Justice have no legal or moral justification. ”Justice itself actually broke the law by conducting illegal check without prior notice,” – he said.

Employees “Amparo” in court

It is noteworthy that one of the charges was that the Ministry of Justice that the association “Amparo” illegally conducted seminars and workshops for schools and universities. Although, according to the law on public organizations, this direction is the most important in their work. Lawyer “Amparo” also said that under the government-adopted educational program is the Ministry of Justice should conduct such seminars and workshops for students. ”Not only is he the Justice Department does not implement this program, so also prevents legitimate activities of other organizations in this direction,” – he said. Head “Amparo” Dilrabo Samadov stated that they intend to fight to the end in the near future to appeal the decision to the higher courts.

Co-chair of the National Social Democratic Party of Tajikistan Shukhrat Kudratov believes that all the current situation related to next year’s presidential election. ”International organizations usually a year before the elections begin to conduct seminars on the election of the students, explaining to them their rights and are familiar with the political situation in the country – said Kudratov. - Therefore, the main task of the authorities and the reason for this decision – not to admit students to these workshops. “

According to the politician, in addition, the ruling People’s Democratic Party of Tajikistan are forced to enroll in their ranks of university students. ”In addition, by the authorities put pressure on members of the opposition, they are forced to leave the party – said Kudratov – Such work authorities are not only among adults but also among students. And just before the elections themselves with students actively work with the explanation which party or candidate should vote, “- he said.

Participants gala concert in Istravshan

Khairullo Mirsaidov

International news agency “Fergana”

Russia Really Arming-Up, Major Expenditures In Nuclear and Conventional Weaponry

Prior to 2015, Russia will spend on nuclear weapons 100 billion

The increase is in defense spending under the draft budget “demonstrates a desire to guide the country to move from words to deeds”, said yesterday the chairman of the Duma Committee on Defense Vladimir Komoyedov during government hour on this topic, reportsVedomosti .

Only to nuclear weapons plans to spend more than 100 billion rubles. 2015, noted Komoyedov. He said that the volume of planned expenditure Natsoboronu in 2013 amounted to 2.1 trillion rubles. (By 14.8% more than in 2012), in 2014 – 2.5 trillion rubles., In 2015 – more than 3 trillion.

Lenta.ru reported that the largest expenditure in the next three years will occur in the construction of a new strategic nuclear submarine Project 955 and 955A “Northwind” and the multi-purpose project 885 “Yasen” Project 636.3 diesel submarines “Varshavyanka”, corvettes and frigates, the purchase of Su -30cm and the Su-35, Su-34, as well as all types of helicopters. The current state armaments program for 2011-2020 includes upgrade of the Armed Forces of Russia, at least 75 per cent in ten years.

As noted by ITAR-TASS , in the coming years for the development and procurement of modern weapons will be spent trillions of rubles. ”This is a great deal and should be used effectively to equip the Army and Navy” – said Komoyedov.

Komoyedov said that funding for the state program of armaments to 20 trillion in 2020 will, above all, for the production of new types of weapons and military tehniki.Na providing permanent housing in 2013-2015 will be spent mlrdrub 18, 4 billion rubles and 10 billion rubles; office accommodation in 2013 and 2014 – 10 billion rubles and 5 billion rubles, respectively.

“Deputies fully support the plan of the Ministry of Defense for the speedy elimination of the backlog in equipping the army and navy with the latest technology, as well as further improvement of social security of servicemen and their families,” – concluded Komoyedov.

Damascus Reporting By Dr. Franklin Lamb–Oct. 23, 2012

Syria on the ground vs. Syria on Western airwaves

Why there won’t be a ceasefire this Eid al Adha in Syria

International peace envoy Lakhdar Brahimi, who represents the UN and the Arab League, has just left Damascus after urging the government and the rebels to observe a four-day truce over the Muslim festival of Eid al-Adha, which this year begins at dusk on October 25th.

Also called the Feast of the Sacrifice, Adha is a Muslim holiday which commemorates Prophet Ibrahim’s (Abraham’s) willingness to sacrifice his eldest son Ismael, in obedience to a command from God.

On Sunday morning, I was in the lobby of my hotel, where it turns out UN envoy Brahimi was also staying, chatting with one of the remaining three United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF) members still in town. The affable trio is all what remains of the roughly 300 UN Observers who spent months here (40 stayed at this Dama Rose secured Hotel) trying to help with a separation agreement that never really got off the ground.

There were also in the lobby perhaps a hundred reporters and cameramen who were busy setting up for the news conference the Brahimi staff announced would begin immediately following the envoys meeting with Syrian president Bashar Assad.

No sooner had envoy Brahimi entered the hotel than he rushed to his room calling over his shoulder that he would be right back. As we waited, a rather unkempt zany lady approached me. It turned out she was a really energetic and intense Italian reporter and she wasted no time stating her business. She said, “I know you’re Franklin Lamb and you’re staying on the executive floor. What are you doing in Damascus?” Nonplused, I replied, “Ma’m I’m here for a couple of appointments at Yarmouk Palestinian refugee camp and looking into the current political situation.”

She gave me one of those scowling “give me a break buddy!!” looks and got straight to her point, drawing hard on her cigarette and blowing the smoke sideways. “Mr. Lamb, do I look naïve to you or what?” she demanded to know, a bit aggressively. Before I had a chance to utter a stammering syllable, the lady lit into me with: “I happen to know from a reliable source that you, an American, are staying on the executive floor and also on that floor are Russians, Iranians, and Hezbollah. That’s no accident Mr. Lamb is it? What are you all doing up there? What are your meetings about? Don’t worry I won’t quote you but are you gentlemen going to arrange for an Eid ceasefire?”

Mercifully, as I closed my, by then, gaping mouth, envoy Brahimi appeared from the elevator with his entourage to begin his news conference and I haven’t seen the dear dingy lady since, as she rushed front and center to shout a question and then, following the short news conference, followed Mr. Brahimi out the front door as he left for another appointment.

My point is that there are plenty of wild speculations and conspiracy theories around this town as elsewhere, concerning Brahimi’s important mission.

Envoy Brahimi didn’t reveal much about his mission but spoke about his hope of reaching a ceasefire and mentioned his meetings with government officials including Foreign Minister Walid al-Muallem, and President Bashar Assad. In this observer’s opinion, his body language revealed more than his words and reflected his resignation that there will be no ceasefire as he told us, “If we achieve this ceasefire during the al-Adha holiday and maintain it, we can try and build on it. If it does not happen, then we will keep trying and we hope we can find another way to bring relief to the Syrian people.”

UN envoy Brahimi seems to know that his noble mission will come to naught, at least this time. However, aides say he will persevere until the US, Russia and Iran agree on a diplomatic solution. He told reporters that some members of the opposition whom he had met were open to the idea of a ceasefire only if the Syrian government committed to it. In a statement after the talks with Mr. Brahimi, President Assad said, “Syria is open to any sincere efforts for a political solution to the Syrian crisis based on respect for Syria’s sovereignty and the rejection of outside intervention.”

The reason, and perhaps it’s impolite, since Eid is still days away and UN envoy Brahimi might still pull a rabbit out of the hat, for this observer to reluctantly conclude that he has failed in his mission is substantial evidence garnered from discussions here over the past several days. Would that I am mistaken.

But, for this observer, being here makes all the difference, as I learned in Libya, in getting a more accurate picture than offered from the main stream media on the one hand and some of the more chronic conspiracy theorists on the other. The key to learning what is happening seems quite simple: listening, listening and listening to a cross section of the Syrian population and moving around the neighborhoods as much as possible.

Perhaps the most often heard argument one hears in Damascus from the general population, military types and even officials involves mistrust and doubts across much of Syria that the opposition would honor a ceasefire. One Syrian army officer I met who is a liaison with the remaining three UN observers, freely answered my questions including one focusing on what he would propose to President Assad if he was presenting his professional and personal advice to the Syrian leader.

He replied:
“For sure I would advise our President to oppose a ceasefire at this time. For these main reasons:
First it would dishonor the hundreds of our brothers in the military who have sacrificed for their country with their lives. To me it would be almost traitorous not to press on with the military momentum that we now have achieved after hard months of conflict. We need to finish with these foreign terrorists and our fellow citizens agree. We are currently in the strongest military position because of those among our ranks who died defending our country.

Second, a ceasefire, even for 96 hours, will allow our enemies to relax, re-group, bring in more supplies of heavy weapons funded by Persian Gulf countries with the blessing of yours who are offering ‘non-lethal’ assistance such as night vision devices and related equipment. As a military person I can assure your government that there is no such thing as non-lethal aid when it’s the type they are furnishing including ‘non-lethal communication’ equipment. Having state of the art communications equipment is more important than rifles in some instances.

Why should we give them these gifts? Do you think al Qaeda and these North African and Persian Gulf jihadists will observe the Eid al Adha holiday? Do you think they will pass Eid praying and sacrificing lambs and camels and distributing the meat to poor people as a gift? Or, by celebrating the end of the Haij Pilgrimage and asking God for forgiveness? No my dear, I assure you they will not. They will use a ceasefire to rebuild their ranks to prolong the chaos and terror. Our president is very wise and he knows this as well.”

He continued: “We will defeat this western project to destroy the [anti-Israeli] regional Resistance but we won’t do it by stopping our momentum. We are making advances on the ground that you don’t hear about from media outlets like al Jazeera and al-Arabiya but it’s true. We can take you to have a look if you like. Of course, you can find some of our military leadership who favor a ceasefire, but the big majority agrees with the views I expressed and I would give to our President. I think our leaders would face criticism from the military and the public if they ignored our views. I expect there will be no Eid ceasefire unless the international community can convince us that they would be a ‘freeze in place’ which means no fighter on either side could move and take advantage of the calm. Trust is the big problem for us. Who will guarantee a ceasefire?”

“Let me give you an example,” he said going on to explain that there are now eight Syrian army checkpoints between Damascus and Homs, so the road is usually secure. He continues, “The opposition has the habit of using terror and hit and run tactics. They set up checkpoints for pro-western media outlets to film to demonstrate that they are gaining support and then they quickly run away before the Syrian army attacks them. It’s kind of a psychological war, but as a military man I can tell you psychological tactics with one’s enemy are very important. Their aims are to impress the western media and to weaken the confidence of our people, soldiers and leaders. They will eventually fail but an ill-considered ceasefire for Eid will not help.”

These officers’ views appear to be widely held here.

Dr.Nabil Toumeh, a historian and CEO of Toumeh International in Damascus supports the regime yet, like many, even officials is also critical and emphasizes the need for reforms. Dr. Toumeh, hosted me in his office a few nights ago and spoke frankly and he explained to this observer that a growing number, probably around 65 percent of Syrians support the government and its efforts to end the crisis, they also demand three major reforms, being the economy, security agencies and the military which is top heavy with Alawites.

I am not finding here the fear of criticizing the government that I found in Libya under Gaddafi and which persists there, if to a lesser extent, today. One Damascene, a 24-year old graduate who eschews politics, but who is still angry at having his car hijacked by an armed gang three weeks ago, told me that, “You can speak pretty freely, but it’s best not to act or get involved with street groups. But, you know, increasingly people are losing their fear of the security services. We just want the killing to stop. We want to get on with our lives. Enshallah it will happen soon.”

FL/HMV

Franklin Lamb, former Assistant Counsel, US House Judiciary Committee and Professor of International Law at Northwestern College of Law in Oregon, earned his Law Degree at Boston University and his LLM, M.Phil., and PhD degrees at the London School of Economics. Following three years at the International Court of Justice in The Hague, Lamb was visiting fellow at the Harvard Law School’s East Asian Legal Studies Center. Lamb is the author of Israel’s 1982 War in LebanonInternational Legal Responsibility for the Sabra-Shatila MassacreThe Price We Pay. His latest book, The Case for Palestinian Civil Rights in Lebanon, is due out shortly. Currently based in Lebanon, he volunteers with the Palestine Civil Rights Campaign and the Sabra-Shatila Foundation. More articles by Franklin Lamb

Damascus Street Notes

Damascus Street Notes

In the Grip of War and Sanctions….

Franklin Lamb

 

Damascus

 

The half hour drive from the Lebanese border at Maznaa to Damascus is always pleasant with the wide, well paved and maintained highway, cutting through rolling hills often with large herds of goats and sheep lazily watching the traffic below. As this observer watched some of the herds the other day when traveling to Damascus, I noticed that there appeared to be an unusually large number of shepherds above us tending their herds.  On second look, the shepherds turned out to be soldiers peering down on the main highway from among and behind the vegetation nibbling animals.

The increased security in Damascus has brought hundreds of shabab (youths), shahiba (“ghosts” in Arabic, but in the vernacular, “thugs”), popular committees, neighborhoods watch types and one presumes various security agency personnel from  their early 20’s to middle age to control literally hundreds of checkpoints in central Damascus and the suburbs. Sometimes it appears that every fifty yards or so one encounters yet another checkpoint.

 

Damascus is currently calm with a few exceptions such as the Tadamon, Al-Qadam and Al-Asali neighborhoods where sporadic clashes are being discussed by friends the past two days. As with Libya last summer, many media reports are not at all accurate in depicting this city as on the edge and a panicked population. Last night this observer was up until almost 1 a.m. with friends in the old city at a restaurant and then driving around Damascus with still some cafes open, although according to local residents not as late as before the crisis began.

 

There are also plenty of security measures being strictly imposed around many governmental building including erected cement walls and the closure of nearby streets that cause traffic problems.

 

The Syrians are very serious about security. One government official told this observer, “Look, if someone is intending to become a suicide bomber, it is very difficult for us to stop them. But we are doing our best and we conduct many random vehicle searches.” A checkpoint experience here is not like in Lebanon where typically an approaching driver will simply roll down his window with a quick salute and a grinned “kefack habibi?” (“How are you dear?”) as the frequently sleepy soldier  often just waves through the vehicle.  In contrast, Syrian checkpoints employ hi-tech weapons and explosive detection devices and search most cars, from underneath-up. Near government buildings or certain streets where high ranking officials have homes or offices metal detectors are also used.

 

This observer had an experience with a metal detector yesterday and with half a dozen or so security guys. Passing thorough the airport style device, having emptied my pockets of any metal and my phone, the loud alarm still went off. I was asked to pass through a second time.  I did with the same result. As three guys came close with new model hand held devices now being used, I also set off their alarms.

 

 

It finally dawned on me what the problem was.

I have recently had a state of the art pacemaker implanted a few inches above my left nipple. I suddenly remembered that my cardiologist in Beirut warned me against passing thru a metal detector or allowing a hand held scanning device to come within two feet of my pacemaker due to potential electronic problems.

 

Too late for that precaution, I opened my shirt and pointed to the four inch square lump in my chest and said “batterie.” Not being understood, two of the guys cocked their Kalashnikovs and things got tense. Later I was informed that they were pretty sure I was another of the recent suicide bombers plaguing Damascus and the lump was a bomb and they were edgy.

The situation was diffused by a middle aged fellow who apparently was the squad’s commander.  When he approached me, by now I had my hands up, I said, “batterie, batterie, Dr!”  He stared at my chest and replied, “Yalla, batterie, cardio, nam?” (“Ah, for your heart yes?”)  After a little more discussion and checking my passport and visa I was on my way. This morning the young lady at the guest relations desk in my hotel kindly wrote me a card in Arabic, for future use if necessary, that I had a pacemaker and would very likely set off metal detectors. So as long as no one tips off my dream doctor at Hezbollah’s Cardiac Center in Beirut she won’t shout at me during our next appointment.

 

Sanctions as indiscriminate weapons against non-combatants

 

The legality of the western imposed sanctions on Syria and Iran are being discussed at the University of Damascus as well as among some officials and NGO’s here. A fairly cogent argument can be made that the type of sanctions being imposed on Syria and Iran are illegal under international customary law and, as with the banning of cluster bombs in 2008, should also be outlawed by an international convention. This is because the sanctions are political, rather obviously designed to achieve regime changes. They are also fundamentally indiscriminate and target and endanger the civilian non-combatants population particularly the poor, young, infirm and senior citizens

 

Claims are made in Washington and Europe that the increasing layers of sanctions target only the regime’s leader and its policies. This is nonsense. As in Iraq where US organized sanctions have been found to be a main cause of nearly 500,000 deaths of children, those seriously affected here are not the government officials.

The sanctions, as designed for application to both Syria and Iran also violate Art. 2 (4) of the UN Charter which commands that all Members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, or in any other manner inconsistent with the Purposes of the United Nations.

 

In discussions with officials as well as a rough cross-section of the citizenry of Damascus, including shoppers and clerks  at a central Damascus supermarket, as well as students, it is possible to get a fairly good idea how the Western imposed sanctions are affecting families here.

 

A progressive Syrian journalist who works part time with an American NGO, and is critical of the Assad government but even more so of the desperate rebel groups, shared a fairly representative analysis regarding what is the current situation in Damascus regarding the Western sanctions:

 

“I think the sanctions being imposed on our country have a tremendous effect on the current crisis. Prices on average have risen at least 40 percent, especially consumer goods and basic food, like meat, milk bread, vegetables, fruit etc. Eggs and chicken have doubled in price and are unavailable in some small shops. Lines are getting longer at some gas stations in some parts of Damascus. The sanctions have also forced many people to close down their factories in Damascus and Aleppo because of lack of raw materials, and the spiral increase in their prices.  My daughter works in an accessory household company. They need to import materials from Turkey. Clothing is more expensive since Turkish goods are not entering. I believe her company will close down soon. You can talk to her about it if interested. My son is considering travelling because of the lack of job opportunities. Young men his age are very frustrated here and some of the idle young are joining gangs and being recruited by jihadist groups offering cash and weapons along with indoctrination.  As a mother I worry about him staying out of trouble but young people don’t seem to listen. The crisis has also forced employers to discharge people to cut down expenses. Many merchants have already left the country and transferred their money elsewhere. Others, such as warmongers, have benefitted from the crisis. Smuggled goods are expensive if available. The sanctions have hurt the ordinary people more than the regime by far. We are far worse off than 20 months ago.”

 

What worries this observer a bit is that last night a businessman close to the leadership assured me that “We can fight ten years to retain control of Damascus from Al Qaeda and the fanatics.  Do not worry my friend.”

 

Worried? I was speechless.  Because on exactly August 12, 2011, these were the exact words spoken to me by a friend, Mr Khaled Kane, a good man and at the time Deputy Foreign Minister of Libya. Ten days later, not ten years, Tripoli fell to the rebels and following arrest, torture, and now ill health, Khaled languishes in a Misrata jail.

 

Franklin Lamb is doing research in Syria and can be reached c/o fplamb@gmail.com

Russian-Sponsored National Conference to save Syria Held In Damascus Draws 20 Opposition Groups

 

Syria, Damascus

Held this morning the National Conference to save Syria, organized by the opposition in the coordinating body illiteracy Hotel in Damascus with the participation of about twenty political parties and framework of the opposition forces in Syria for consultations on ways to save the country from risks according to the announcement by the Preparatory Committee.

The Russian Ambassador in Damascus greatness God Komahmedov through the opening of the conference the need to find a peaceful solution to the crisis in Syria and in the hands of the Syrians themselves away from any external interference including suspension of funding, arming and harboring armed groups included foreign mercenaries.

He pointed the Russian ambassador to the main objective, which should work on it now is to put an end to violence in Syria immediately by all parties and work to divert the crisis towards a peaceful political solution with the launch of a national dialogue hard without any preconditions, adding that this is the only way out of the current impasse, which does not bode continue well either Syria or for the entire region.

Russian Ambassador “The efforts of Russia’s existing aimed at achieving these objectives in coordination and dealing with all parties concerned, including the Syrian government, which we are in constant contact with them, including on decisions in order to reach the ultimate political solution to the crisis in our contacts also with Western countries including in the UN Security Council, as well as regional parties and focus our efforts on the induction and influence on armed groups to stop violence and to address the political solutions to the crisis in Syria. “

The Russian Ambassador in Damascus stressed that the Kofi Annan plan and statement of Geneva should be the basis for finding peaceful solutions to the crisis in Syria, expressing Russia’s support for the efforts of the new international envoy to Syria Lakhdar Brahimi.

Russian Ambassador “Russia confirms its readiness to move forward in dealing with all spectrums of the Syrian opposition on the basis of the above principles and attach great importance to unite all parties of the Interior was or foreign alike, and that common ground denying violence and external interference, as well as support the launch of a comprehensive national dialogue to in the interests of all Syrians. “

The Russian ambassador noted the relations of friendship and cooperation existing kinship between the Russian and Syrian peoples for decades.

Syrian opposition kick off “national conference” with absence of many parties

 
English.news.cn
Hassan Abdul-Azim, the head of the National Coordination Body for the Forces of National and Democratic Change (L) and the Egyptian charge d’affairs Alaa Abdul-Aziz attend the opening session of “National Conference for Rescuing Syria”in Damascus, Sept. 23, 2012. Syrian oppositional National Coordination Body (NCB) and some other opposition parties started a “National Conference for Rescuing Syria” in Damascus on Sunday, a day after some 28 opposition parties called for postponing the conference over disputes with the NCB. (Xinhua/Hazim)

DAMASCUS, Sept. 23 (Xinhua) — Syrian oppositional National Coordination Body (NCB) and some 20 other opposition parties started a “National Conference for Rescuing Syria” in Damascus on Sunday, amid the boycott of more than 28 parties which announced a day earlier that they had disagreements with the NCB in terms of vision and basics.

The all-day-long conference was kicked off Sunday morning with the Syrian national anthem. It is notable, however, that the conference started with neither the official Syrian flag nor the opposition’s one.

In an opening statement, the participants said they have agreed on a number of principles, mainly “bringing down the current regime with all of its symbols and fundamentals” in a way that would guarantee building a “democratic and civilian state… regardless of religion, sex and ethnicity.”

The statement also stressed on denouncing sectarianism and anything that could lead to fragmenting the society.

The statement’s signatories also stressed the importance of ” peaceful struggle” as a strategy to achieve “the revolution’s goals.” They, however, pointed out that the rebels’ Free Syrian Army (FSA) is a component of the “revolution” and it should protect the “strategic peacefulness of the movement.”

The NCB’s attitude towards the FSA is the main point of dispute with other opposition parties inside Syria.

On Saturday, a total of 28 opposition parties said their relation with the NCB is marred by the wrangling on the rebels’ tactics and their role in the 19-month crisis in Syria. They said they are against the militarization of the crisis and against the terrorist acts carried out by operative armed opposition on ground.

The 28 parties did not take part in Sunday’s conference.

Rajaa al-Naser, a NCB member, said at the opening session that “we believe and seek to put forward emergency plans that would allow the return of the displaced people and provide the medical treatment and livelihood for millions of restive Syrians, and we found no other prelude to this except the immediate halt of gunfire and the barbaric, brutal shelling.”

Russian Ambassador to Syria Azamat Kulmukhametov, who also attended the conference, stressed that “we see that the main goal now is to put an immediate end to the violence in Syria, whether it was from the government or the armed groups.”

He added that another “no less important” goal is “turning the current confrontation between the authorities and the armed opposition to the track of peaceful, political solution.”

The ambassador also stressed the importance of “solving the Syrian crisis by the Syrians themselves away from any foreign intervention, including halting the armament and the harboring of the armed groups that also group foreign mercenaries.”

After the opening session, al-Naser told Xinhua that the parties which refused to take part in the conference aim to ” confuse the conference,” adding that “this conference is for the opposition and we didn’t exclude anyone.”

The deep fracture among the Syrian opposition parties is expected to place more hurdles in the face of concrete results at the conference. The fractured opposition in the country has an even greater dispute with the broad-based one, as the Turkey-based Syrian National Council demands a foreign military offensive to bring down Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Sunday’s conference will be wrapped up with a final communique later in the day.

US Generals Send Word To Iran’s Generals–Leave Our Guys Alone and We Will Leave You Alone

Iranian drill in Strait of Hormuz (Photo: MCT)

‘Iran must steer clear of US interests in Gulf’

 

Washington reportedly sends Tehran indirect message saying it will not back Israeli strike on nuclear facilities as long as Iran refrains from attacking American facilities in Persian Gulf

Shimon Shiffer

 

The United States has indirectly informed Iran, via two European nations, that it would not back an Israeli strike against the country’s nuclear facilities, as long as Tehran refrains from attacking American interests in the Persian Gulf, Yedioth Ahronoth reported Monday.

According to the report, Washington used covert back-channels in Europe to clarify that the US does not intend to back Israel in a strike that may spark a regional conflict.

In return, Washington reportedly expects Iran to steer clear of strategic American assets in the Persian Gulf, such as military bases and aircraft carriers.

Israeli officials reported an unprecedented low in the two nations’defense ties, which stems from the Obama administration’s desire to warn Israel against mounting an uncoordinated attack on Iran.

The New York Times reported Monday that US President Barack Obama is promoting a series of steps meant to curb an Israeli offensive against Iran, while forcing the Islamic Republic to take the nuclear negotiations more seriously.

One of the steps considered is “an official declaration by Obama about what might bring about American military action, as well as covert activities that have been previously considered and rejected,” the report said.

Several of Obama’s top advisors believe that Jerusalem is seeking an unequivocal American statement regarding a US strike on Iran – should it actively pursue a nuclear bomb.

Israel hopes such a statement is made during Obama’s address before the UN General Assembly on September 25.

Others in the White House said Israel is trying to drag the US into an unnecessary conflict in the Gulf.

White House spokesman Jay Carney said Monday that “There is absolutely no daylight between the United States and Israel when it comes to preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.”

Carney said that all options remain on the table for Iran. He said the “window for diplomacy remains open,” adding that the diplomatic process remains the best way to deal with the Islamic Republic, though “that window will not remain open indefinitely.”

Cyber war a go?

According to the New York Times, Washington has also sent Iran a back-channel deal suggesting they curb their nuclear ambitions, but Tehran rejected the deal, saying no agreement is possible sans lifting all West-imposed sanctions.

According to the report, the Obama administration is exploring the possibility of mounting a covert operation, as well as waging a “quiet” cyber war against Iran.

President Obama had previously rejected the notion, fearing such cyber assaults would wreak havoc on Iranian civilian life.

Later in September, the United States and more than 25 other nations will hold the largest-everminesweeping exercise in the Persian Gulf, in what military officials say is a demonstration of unity and a defensive step to prevent Iran from attempting to block oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz.

In fact, the United States and Iran have each announced what amounted to dueling defensive exercises to be conducted this fall, each intended to dissuade the other from attack.

Tel Aviv Shocked To See Top General Unload Zionist Baggage

[SEE:  “Obama wrong over Syria action, says top general.”]

J’lem puzzled by Dempsey comment on Iran strike

By HERB KEINON, REUTERS

Dempsey said he did not want to be ‘complicit’ in strike; Israeli source says comment doesn’t represent White House position.

US Air Force F-15E releases a GBU-28 Bunker Buster

PHOTO: REUTERS/HANDOUT

A senior government official on Saturday characterized as “strange” a recent statement by US military chief Gen. Martin Dempsey that he would not want to be “complicit” in an Israeli attack on Iran.

“Dempsey’s comments are strange in that they would seem to contradict the continual statements from the White House that the security and defense cooperation between Israel and the US has never been as close,” the senior official said.

Dempsey, the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, was quoted last week as saying again that an Israeli attack could delay, but not halt, Iran’s nuclear program.

“I don’t want to be complicit if they [Israel] choose to do it,”Dempsey said.

Iran’s unconventional world convention

Schram: Iran’s unconventional world convention


By MARTIN SCHRAM, Scripps Howard News Service

Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi delivers his

Photo credit: Getty Images | Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi delivers his speech during the opening session of the expert-level meeting of XVI summit of the Non-Alligned Movement (NAM) in Tehran. (Aug. 26, 2012)

Historians may someday call this week’s convention-hall events — the speech-making and backroom decision-making — the beginning of a change that reordered the way the world works.

Indeed, many delegates may have already concluded just that. Partly because so many world-famous political figures showed up. And partly because of the most unconventional art the delegates had to walk past to enter the convention hall: three clumps of twisted metal, formerly automobiles driven by three Iranian nuclear scientists, blown up by perpetrators officially unknown. Beside each wreck were large photos of the scientists and their children.

source

No, we aren’t talking about a convention hall in Tampa – but one in Tehran.

 source

Halfway around the world from where the U.S. political media’s big eye was focusing on theRepublican National Convention and hanging on the words of presidential standard-bearer Mitt Romney, much of the rest of the world was focusing on a coincidentally parallel weeklong meeting of an organization called the Nonaligned Movement.

This is no small fringe gathering that opened Sunday in Tehran. Delegates from 120 nations were reportedly attending. The United States mounted a significant back-channel effort to dissuade world leaders from attending the summit. The Obama administration’s effort met with little noticeable success.

Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh brought a delegation of 250 and reportedly planned to meet separately with Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari and also with the summit’s hosts, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Egypt’s new president, Mohammed Morsi, changed his plans at the last minute and flew to the summit — a significant policy shift because Egypt ended its diplomatic relations with Iran after recognizing Israel in 1980.

And perhaps most significantly, United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon brushed aside the objections of the United States and Israel and decided to attend the summit as well. He showed the world he is strangely unperturbed by the fact that Iran has for years ignored UN Security Council resolutions and obstructed UN nuclear inspectors.

“We, frankly, don’t think that Iran is deserving of these high-level presences that are going there,” State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said in a statement.

Iran Turns NAM Summit Into Syrian Peace Summit

Iran seeks support for Syria ceasefire plan at Tehran summit

By Marcus George

Reuters
Iran's parliament speaker Ali Larijani, right, meets with U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon in Tehran on August 29, 2012 ahead of the summit of Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) states. (AFP PHOTO/BEHROUZ MEHRI)
Iran’s parliament speaker Ali Larijani, right, meets with U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon in Tehran on August 29, 2012 ahead of the summit of Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) states. (AFP PHOTO/BEHROUZ MEHRI)

 

DUBAI: Iran will ask developing nations attending a summit there to back its call for a ceasefire in Syria, an official said Wednesday, as Tehran seeks to be seen as a peacemaker in a region where its Arab neighbors often view it with suspicion.

Iran says the 120-nation Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) summit in its capital proves U.S. efforts to isolate it have failed. A resolution on Syria would help Tehran argue that its ties with Damascus are benign.

“Iran’s proposal to the meeting of members of the Non-Aligned Movement to solve the Syria issue is to recommend a ceasefire and the implementation of national reconciliation talks in the country,” deputy foreign minister Hossein Amir Abdullahian was quoted as saying by state news agency IRNA.

Tehran has steadfastly backed Assad since an uprising began last year, describing the president as a key part of its “axis of resistance” against Israel and Western influence in the Middle East.

Shiite Muslim Iran denies accusations it has helped Assad crush his opponents – mostly from the majority Sunni community. Assad is a member of the Minority Alawite faith, an offshoot of Shiite Islam.

Tehran blames the West and Sunni Muslim Gulf countries of fuelling Syria’s civil war by supporting the rebels.

Iran supported a failed U.N.-Arab League peace plan and says it should be involved in future international efforts to end the bloodshed in Syria.

“Bashar Assad said that any step that comes from Iran in order to solve the problem in Syria is trustworthy and acceptable,” said Alaeddin Boroujerdi, a senior parliamentarian visiting Syria this week.

“Any plan without Bashar Assad is destined to fail, just like up until now it has failed,” Boroujerdi told Iran’s Fars news agency, saying Assad had “defeated” the uprising.

Iran had an important role to play in regional issues, particularly regarding Syria, U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon told Iranian journalists on his arrival in Tehran on Wednesday. He was due to meet both President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei later in the day.

Iran’s proposal for a 3-month ceasefire has been presented for discussion by NAM foreign ministers, Abdullahian said, and its outcome will be presented at the end of the summit on Friday.

Egyptian president Mohammad Mursi – who is due to attend the summit as the first Egyptian leader in Iran since the 1979 Islamic revolution – is also expected to lay out further details of his own plan for Syria.

Last week, he spoke of forming a contact group comprising Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Turkey to resolve the crisis, an initiative the Iranian leadership is keen to pursue.

“When Mr. Mursi comes to Tehran we’ll see whether there will be other initiatives by NAM. We’ll have to cross our fingers and see how things move,” foreign ministry official Mohammad Mehdi Akhoundzadeh told state television on Tuesday.

But speaking to Reuters earlier this week, Mursi made a call for Assad to be removed from power, something Tehran would oppose.

Mursi’s message could also prevent the normalization of relations between Cairo and Tehran. Diplomatic relations between the countries broke down over Egypt’s support for the Shah and its peace agreement with Israel.

In the interview, Mursi avoided answering a question on whether he intended to upgrade Egypt’s relations with Iran but indicated he would pursue a more balanced foreign policy in general.

At Summit Meeting, Iran Has a Message for the World

At Summit Meeting, Iran Has a Message for the World

Newsha Tavakolian for The New York Times

Three cars damaged in attacks on Iranian nuclear scientists outside the Tehran convention hall.

By

TEHRAN — At the entrance to the convention hall where Iran is sponsoring an international summit meeting are the crumpled wreckage of three cars driven by Iranian nuclear scientists who have been killed or hurt in bomb attacks. Placards with the photos of the scientists and their children stand alongside.

The message is clear. As Iran plays host to the biggest international conference the Islamic republic has organized in its 33-year history, it wants to tell its side of the long standoff with the Western powers, which are increasingly convinced that Tehran is pursuing nuclear weapons.

Tehran, which denies that it is after the bomb, believes the scientists were killed by Israeli agents, an assertion that Israel has not acknowledged but never fully disputed.

The meeting of the so-called Nonaligned Movement, a group formed during the cold war that considers itself independent of the major powers, has so far proven to be something of a public relations success for Iran.

Last week, the United Nations secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, decided to attend despite pressure from the United States and Israel. Egypt’s new president also said he would come to the conference, although his country has long been estranged from Iran, and India’s prime minister plans to bring a delegation of 250 people in an attempt to advocate for more trade with Tehran.

The announcements were seen as setbacks for efforts by the United States to isolate Iran and cripple it with sanctions.

“Two-thirds of the world’s nations are here in Tehran,” Mohammad Khazaee, Iran’s ambassador to the United Nations, told reporters on Sunday. “Clearly this conference will be effective for us.”

Iran’s foreign minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, opened the meeting’s early sessions on Sunday with a plea for the 120 countries in the movement to oppose the sanctions imposed on his country, and he asked them to stand against terrorism, saying Iran is the biggest victim of terrorist attacks in the world. An exhibition in the convention hall echoed his assertions, including pictures of victims of what Iran said were opposition bombings in the 1980s, soon after the Islamic Revolution, and of the downing of an Iranian passenger jet by a missile fired from a United States Navy ship in 1988, in what American officials say was an accident.

He also said the United States had “exploited” the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks to further its “hegemonic goals.”

Given that history, Iran says it has decided not to take any chances and has launched a comprehensive security operation. More than 110,000 security forces are controlling the streets, the deputy national police commander, Ahmad Radan, told the Fars news agency over the weekend.

They are supported by 30 helicopters and nearly 3,000 patrol cars. There are roadblocks on all highways leading into Tehran, and at night there are checkpoints throughout the city.

“Despite the evil intentions of our enemies, our secret service has taken all necessary measures in order to hold the nonaligned meeting in an absolute secure environment,” Iran’s minister of intelligence, Heydar Moslehi, told state news agency IRNA.

But the tight security might have another goal: to ensure Iran’s narrative is not spoiled by its domestic political difficulties, three years after the country was convulsed by antigovernment protests that followed a disputed election and were quashed in a harsh crackdown.

Foreign-based opposition Web sites called for renewed rallies against the government during the summit meeting.

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is expected to address the conference this week. And in an effort to prove that its nuclear program is peaceful, Iran is offering special tours of some of its nuclear sites.

Sen. Richard Lugar Advocates Bilateral Peace In Syria Instead of World War III

Andrea Mitchell interviews retired Sen. Richard Lugar on his new foreign policy initiative, to have Russia and the United States agree to jointly take possession of Syria’s WMD, if the Assad regime falls, or to prevent the weapons falling into terrorist hands.  This would be a real breakthrough, since it would represent a major turn in Obama’s efforts to divide the world against Russia, through action in Syria.  Avoiding a rapidly-approaching US/Russia confrontation, which could easily go nuclear very quickly, would work in the interests of world peace.  A turning away from confrontation would open the door to getting rid of all nuclear weapons.  In the face of probable world war, we could change the course of history and chart a safe course to total peace.

Interview with Senator Richard Lugar

Andrea Mitchell
Richard Lugar
ANDREA MITCHELL, MSNBC ANCHOR: And the U.N. has caused a minor uproar today announcing that Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is going to attend the summit in Tehran next week. Despite U.S. efforts to isolate Iran for its nuclear program and its support of the brutal Syrian regime.Indiana Senator Richard Lugar is the Senate`s longest-serving Republican, former chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, ranking member now. Just returned from Moscow. Another diplomatic mission. Trying to get Russia on board to help control Syria`s chemical and biological weapons.Senator, it`s great to see you. Thank you very much.Thank you, Andrea.
MITCHELL: You, of course, the co-sponsor of the Nunn-Lugar or Lugar- Nunn Regime which has for decades controlled weapons of mass destruction and tried to prevent — successfully tried to prevent proliferation at the fall of the Soviet Union.Now, tell me about Moscow, because we have a lot of concerns about Vladimir Putin`s stance supporting Assad, propping him up, just as the U.S. is getting more and more worried about that red line the president spoke about, the chemical weapons. Where do we stand?
LUGAR: Well, I appreciated the opportunity to visit Russia. And first of all, to talk about the basis of the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction program, the need to extend the so-called agreement to give legal basis so we can continue to work with the Russians to destroy missiles and destroy engines that had nuclear weapons attached to them and all of the rest.But I took the opportunity with deputy ministers of defense and foreign affairs to suggest that there is another cooperative threat reduction we could do with Russia. United States and Russia, two great powers. A lot of experience with chemical weapons. And we would plan together for a contingency that if the Assad regime falls or there is a general disintegration of order in Syria, we would be prepared, as two nations, to take over those chemical weapons and destroy them.And I suggested this as a cooperative threat reduction program because we want to have, I believe, a stronger relations with Russia. It was good to be with Russia on the Syrian question, and appeared to me this was a possible opening.
MITCHELL: Did you get any, any kind of sense from the Russians that they would be willing to cooperate here? Because there`s been a lot of concern in the administration that the Russians are not playing ball and we`ve seen what they`ve done at the U.N. and we`ve seen very angry statements from the secretary of state and the U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice about what Russia has done in the Security Council.
LUGAR: Indeed, we have witnessed all of that. This is why I took advantage of opportunities in Moscow to forge a different path in which we work with Russia, in which there was experience in working with Russia to destroy weapons of mass destruction. We have a lot of experience doing this. We`re committed both of our countries to get rid of all of our chemical weapons and we`ve helped the weapons at Sochi, a big plant now, from going through tons of the stuff even as we`re speaking today.Therefore, leaving aside all of the debate which has proceeded, it seemed to me this was an opportunity for a breakthrough and at least the reaction of some Russians was that this is very interesting. Others said, after all, Syria is not a member of the Chemical Weapons Convention. They own the weapons and so they do. But I think there`s a general fear, and President Obama expressed this, that red line is there.If the weapons get used or if they`re moved or what have, the United States might take military action. That would be a unilateral step. I`m suggesting a possible bilateral planning and bilateral action.
MITCHELL: You, in fact, took then Senator Obama, I think, on his first trip as a United States senator.
LUGAR: Yes.
MITCHELL: At least to Moscow. What about the state of our politics today? And, you know, your own experience, of course, you had the Republican primary and we know that you`re going to be retiring from the Senate, not something that you wanted. You`ve lost the primary. But is there a role that you can play now given just how toxic our politics have become in both political parties?Mitt Romney, the standard bearer for the Republicans, has said that Russia is our biggest adversary. Do you agree with that?
LUGAR: No, I don`t agree with that, but I would say simply that I heard truly — and I heard Tom Pickering, former ambassador, use this term, we`ve been kicking the shins of each other. What we`re going to have to find ways to do now is finding ways to work together. And it will not be easy. The non-Lugar program in which literally the Russians finally invited us to come in and destroy the nuclear weapons that were aimed at us for 40 years, is a breakthrough of the sort of no one anticipated.I`m suggesting we need some more breakthroughs. That`s going to require some tough diplomatic work. And so I`m offering one suggestion, but it`s not the only one.
MITCHELL: Have you talked to the White House about this? Or the State Department?LUGAR: No, I have not had that opportunity. We just got back from our travels. And I hope that we`ll have some conversations.
MITCHELL: Richard Lugar, Senator, thank you very much for joining us.
LUGAR: Thank you, Andrea.
Thank you.
THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.
August 24, 2012

The 16th Annual Non-Aligned Movement Summit Opens In Tehran with 120 Governments Represented

 

 

[The fact that the turnout has been so great (possibly including UN Sec. Gen. Ban Ki-moon) is a highly relevant political statement being made by world leaders, that they are fed-up with the American disaster which has been masquerading as a responsible foreign policy.  The world wants PEACE, and the United States and NATO had better get out of the way.)

[click image for larger view]

UN General Secretary To Attend NAM Summit in Iran?

The 16th summit of the Non-Aligned Movement will be held in Tehran from August 26 to 31.

Generally known as NAM, the Non-Aligned Movement originated during the Cold War, as states attempted to avoid becoming pawns in the power struggle between the two competing super powers.

It now consists of 120 countries principally from the developing world, as well as a further 21 observer countries.

This year, the possible attendance of U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon is causing controversy.

Mohammad Reza Forghani, spokesman for the 16th NAM Summit, affirmed, “there has been no change in Mr. Ban Ki-moon’s schedule to visit Tehran for Non-Aligned Movement summit in spite of the pressures.”

However, U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland on Monday stated that the United States is against high-level diplomatic visits to Iran by UN officials: “I think our expectation would be that if he goes at this time that he will use the visit to make the point about our broad concern as an international community and the U.N.’s concern about the number of aspects of their U.N. obligations that Iran is flouting.”

Irans’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast argues that the meeting “will bring forward more steps to eliminate world problems and help the resolution of ongoing crisis in every corner of the world.”

Nuland presents a contrasting view: “The fact that the meeting is happening in a country that’s in violation of so many of its international obligations and posing a threat to neighbors, etcetera, sends a very strange signal with regard to support for the international order, rule of law, etcetera.”

Iranian officials maintain that Tehran is fully prepared to host the upcoming NAM summit, with all police and law enforcement bodies prepared to provide full security for the summit .

Morteza Tamaddon, Governor-General of Tehran Province, added: “All preparatory measures have been taken in the Iranian capital for hosting the 16th heads-of-state summit of the Non-Aligned Movement.”

India seeks Afghan hand for Tehran port project

India seeks Afghan hand for Tehran port project

NEW DELHI

But, Iran’s nuclear ambitions worry Delhi

 

India is keen to rope in Afghanistan to develop infrastructure in and around the strategically important Chabahar Port in south east Iran to establish an alternative trade route to resource rich Central Asia.  

Foreign Secretary Ranjan Mathai will meet his Afghan and Iranian counterparts in Tehran on Sunday to discuss the project that would give India link to Afghanistan and landlocked countries in Central Asia, bypassing Pakistan. New Delhi is likely to propose a trilateral working group to discuss commercial viability of the project.

“The idea is to take forward a kind of general discussion as to what we need to do about Chabahar, what is our common interest in the development of the infrastructure, the port, developing the use of Chabahar and the related infrastructure as an alternative route into Afghanistan which we certainly regard as being of very great significance. So, we will discuss it,” Mathai told journalists on Saturday.

Iran wants India to join the project, which includes building a container terminal at Chabahar Free Port on the coast of Gulf of Oman and Chabahar-Faraz-Bam railway project to get access to Afghanistan and Central Asian countries. India, however, has so far been cagey about getting involved in such a huge project in Iran, to avoid the US and the EU crticism.

Afghanistan too has been cautious about joining India in a project in Iran, because Washington is not comfortable with Tehran raising its clout in the region. The US, however, has its own plan – New Silk Road – for turning Afghanistan into a trade link between South and Central Asia.

Mathai on Saturday said that Iran’s offer to India to join the project had raised “a number of very interesting possibilities in terms of the reconstruction at the industrial developments in Afghanistan”.

“Afghanistan certainly also finds it of interest being an alternative route into their country from which they can get vital supplies. So, I think this is a common interest, and we are going to look at it,” he said.

The Ministry of External Affairs had commissioned a study through the Indian Port Association to assess commercial viability of the project and suggest ways to move forward.

Mathai is likely to discuss the report of the IPA with his counterparts at the trilateral meet in Tehran on Sunday.

A Few Good Scots Could Change the World Right Now, Starting with Britain’s Nukes

Nato policy must serve the nation, not US corporate interests

Robin McAlpine

 

If an independent Scotland managed to join Nato and get rid of Trident, what then?If an independent Scotland managed to join Nato and get rid of Trident, what then?

 

IN THE SNP’s debate over Nato, two cases are being made. One is that an independent Scotland could have its biggest impact by joining Nato and working with some of the more progressive countries in that alliance towards removing nuclear weapons from European soil.

 

The other argues that Scotland should remain outside Nato, remove nuclear weapons immediately and then work constructively with counties inside and outside Nato on a host of international issues to set a positive example to the world.

It is to be celebrated that Scotland can have this debate. Both of these visions of a Scottish international role are streets ahead of Britain’s stances of “the only way you’ll get our nukes from us is to prize them from our cold, dead hands” and “we agree with whatever the United States just said”.

However, we need to be realistic. Scotland is small and Nato’s interest in us is heavily tied up with our role as landlord to weapons of mass destruction.

All the experiences of bigger Nato ­countries in Europe are that you can ­certainly vote to remove nukes but voting doesn’t amount to much.

Not a single country has managed it and three – including mighty Germany – have passed votes in their parliament only to have them ignored.

But even if Scotland did join Nato and did manage to get rid of Trident from Scottish soil, what then? Is the best that we can hope for the fixed grin of the Nato group photo, us thinking we’re fighting the good fight, the rest of the world not noticing us in the shadows of US commercial interests?

Because on this I do agree with the pro-Nato side: Nato is not a Cold War relic. As a defensive force it is obsolete, but as a means of protecting commercial interests it has a very specific agenda.

The only conflict in the rough vicinity of Scotland which has been raised as a potential problem to which Nato might be the solution is a confrontation between the US and Russia over drilling rights for Arctic oil. What this means is that Scotland would be trapped in a treaty which requires us to stand side-by-side with Exxon Mobile in a shooting war with Gazprom.

We need to be clear: tiny Scotland would spend a lot more time biting its tongue than speaking words of wisdom to the US. We would have picked one side in a geopolitical war for commercial access to global natural resources and strategic position, and once that side is picked there is no nuance.

Perhaps the day the first shot is fired over Arctic snow by soldiers who flew there from Scottish airbases, Russia and China will instigate a boycott of Scotch whisky.

It will do no good then to say “but we tried”, because Scotland will have become a partisan nation which is engaged in wars of aggression. Scottish soldiers would be bombing Iran or blockading the Arctic many moons before Scottish ­diplomats negotiate even one bomb out of existence.

And it will leave us discredited where it really matters. Wilbert van der Zeijden is a senior figure in the international ­conflict resolution community. He warns that ­because of Nato membership the rest of the global community is “less inclined to take countries like the Netherlands seriously in the Conference on Disarmament, the NPT and other non-proliferation and disarmament forums.

“It would be entirely unnecessary and quite a bad move if Scotland manoeuvred itself in a similar position.”

I once knew someone who would get to every meeting early to secure a chair as close as possible to whomever he believed to be the most important person in the room. He thought we were impressed; we thought he was a bit sad.

The thing about credibility and integrity is that you are judged by your actions and not your explanations.

A Scotland in Nato will gain lip service from the US generals – the very ones who refer to Nato as Snow White and the Twenty Seven Dwarves. Everyone else on the world stage would write Scotland off as an adjunct to the US. In effect, having just gained a credible voice in international negotiations on nuclear non-proliferation, Scotland would choose to give it up again. Which would be a crying shame ­because if Scotland removed Trident from its soil its international credibility would be sky high.

Too many political insiders believe “grubby compromise” to be a synonym for “serious politics”. If Scotland became independent it would have plenty of time to seek out its own grubby compromises. It doesn’t need to be born in one.

Scotland could become the nation leading the world in a fresh effort to get rid of nuclear weapons. The international repercussions of Scotland effectively disarming one of the globe’s eight nuclear powers would be enormous.

It is not overblown to suggest that many in the international community would look to us for leadership, as evidence that a nuclear-free world is possible. To lose that voice for the sake of American corporate profits would be to squander a truly valuable prize.

 

• Robin McAlpine is director of the Jimmy Reid Foundation

In Search of Honesty and True Islam In the Tunisian Aftermath

[The two videos given below (one just a link) highlight the hypocritical contradictory ideas within modern "Islamist" thinking and within popular notions about Muslims, in general.  In the first video, the Moroccan writer/activist strives to increase Muslim awareness of inalienable basic freedoms and human rights, fighting to correct false, opinionated assumptions which guide the popular dialogue about Muslims, as well.  The second video highlights the other  more extreme end of the ideological spectrum; it is a video of a Tunisian "Islamist" (probably one of Obama's boys) beheading a man for converting to Christianity.  The essence of the "Arab Spring" liberation movement is an expression somewhere in between these two extremes.  The dark forces of Empire will do everything within their vast range of powers to prevent any true liberation movement in the MENA region from regaining their footing and finding this clarity of vision.  The rest of us in the Western world, who want to see them succeed, will do all that we can to support them, as they search about in the dark for answers. Christians would do well to emulate their struggle for self-expression and toseek-out such a spiritual re-clarification of the meaning of True Christianity.]

Middle East-North Africa: Secularism Vs. Hypocrisy And Doublethink

Washington / Morocco News Board—  At a Conference in Ontario, Canada, Mr. Ahmed Benchemsi, Moroccan Journalist  and Stanford Visiting Scholar, spoke about the challenges the people and the secularist movements confront in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA).He appealed for what he called “secularism from within” to replace the hypocrisy and doublethink that defines what people across the Arab world understand themselves to be.

He described how Muslims who live by modern secular values are an under-discussed reality in the MENA region, where people are compelled to mentally divorce how they actually live from how they believe people ought to live.

Across the MENA region – despite laws prohibiting everything from premarital sex to alcohol consumption – a powerful sub-culture practices these activities while suffering from a overwhelming sense of guilt for not living up to the ideals encoded in their laws.

So how does a culture live with these contradictions? Benchemsi answered that it is done through an “insane internal dialogue by which Islam is not the defining paradigm of these societies – hypocrisy is.”

From Benchemsi’s experience, the best way this region can overcome this schizophrenic internal monologue is by authentically describing the present – he describes this concept as “secularism from within.” In other words, they should describe the lives they live, expunge the guilt felt for breaking and disobeying unrealistic rules, and adopt the label of secularism to cultivate the individual freedom that is inextricable from democracy.

He concluded that secularism from within is really honesty from within. He believes that is what young seculars should begin practicing, for “a society based on lying and cheating is not sustainable in the long term”. Honesty is a revolutionary force. If secularists can label and practice honesty, who knows? They might win.

 

         توفيق عكاشة يعرض جريمة الإخوان بقتل مواطن بتونس

Thumbnail
The following content has been identified by the YouTube community as being potentially offensive or inappropriate. Viewer discretion is advised.
By Lawrence D. Jones , Christian Post Reporter

A graphic video of a Christian man being beheaded by Muslim extremists for converting from Islam to Christianity was recently shown on talk shows in Canada and Egypt. Footage of the incident, which reportedly took place in Tunisia, shows a young man being held down like “an animal” with a knife to his throat.

“There is a video on the web right now showing a man having his head cut off slowly and agonizingly, essentially because he has converted to Christianity from Islam,” said Michael Coren, host of Canadian program The Arena.

Video footage of the incident shows a young man being held down by masked men. His neck is pulled back, with a knife to his throat. One of the masked men, who was not in the camera’s view, chants a number of Muslim prayers in Arabic, mostly condemning Christianity.

The man holding the knife begins to cut to the cries of “Allahu Akbar!” (or “God is great!”), as the victim appears to be mouthing a prayer. The slicing takes about two minutes before the beheading is complete–upon which they shouted more Islamic cries and slogans of victory.

Coren called the video “grotesque” but said it was not “unique,” as more people are being killed for their religious faith in the Middle East.

“There are many, many videos like this,” said Coren. “It’s usually Christians, sometimes, others. It’s always Muslims, generally Sunni mostly, but Shiite too, who are doing this. Cutting off the head is a form of punishment.”

Human rights and religious freedom activists are bringing attention to the brutality of the footage but note that these violent killings are being more common, especially in the post Arab-Spring order.

Rev. Majed El Sahfie, founder of One Free World International, listed several of the faith-related killings, including a Catholic priest who was killed in Tunisia, a man whose ears were cut off in Egypt, and an American teacher who was killed in Yeme after being accused of converting people to Christianity.

Sahfie, who is also a Christian convert from Islam, said that Muslim extremists are filling in the political vacuum that was left after the fall of dictatorships in Tunisia, Egypt and Yemen

Responding to Muslim clerics who have criticized discussion on the video as “propaganda for the Christian,”Sahfie said, “If he is a Christian or Jewish or Muslim, Sunni or Shia, Hindu or Buddha, I would act the same way.”

“I hope a video like this will bring alive on the massacre that will happen on minorities in the Middle East very, very soon,” he said.

Barnabas Aid, a ministry which delivers relief for the persecuted church, is asking Christians to pray over incident as a prayer topic in the month of July.

“Give thanks to God for our Tunisian brother’s life and his faith that would not waver, even unto death. Pray that his witness will touch the hearts of his killers and those who have seen the footage of his death and that they will turn to Christ,” the ministry wrote in its Prayer Focus update.

The prayer topic request also included a Bible verse: “Do not seek revenge or bear a grudge against anyone among your people, but love your neighbour as yourself. I am the LORD (Leviticus 19:18, NIV).”

WATCH PART OF THE GRAPHIC VIDEO SHOWING BEHEADING (Warning! Video Includes Distrubing Footage):

Hundreds of Israelis petition IDF pilots: Refuse orders to bomb Iran

Hundreds of Israelis petition IDF pilots: Refuse orders to bomb Iran 

Tel Aviv University law professors among signatories to online petition, which warns that any decision to strike Iran would be a ‘highly mistaken gamble.’

jet - Eliahu Hershkovitz - October 6, 2010

Israeli F-16 Hawk fighter plane. Photo by Eliahu Hershkovitz

More than 400 Israelis, including Tel Aviv University law professors Menachem Mautner and Chaim Gans, have recently signed an online petition calling on Israel Defense Forces pilots to refuse to obey if ordered to bomb Iran.

The petition calls a decision to launch a strike against Iran a “highly mistaken gamble” that would only delay Iran’s nuclear program, without stopping it, and would come “at an exorbitant price.”

You have the option of saying “No,” the petition addressed to the pilots reads. “Certainly, this is not a simple option. It involves profound professional and moral dilemmas, and carries the risk of losing a career which is important to you and also the possibility of being prosecuted. Nevertheless, it is your duty to consider most carefully and seriously the possibility that by saying the little word ‘No,’ you will be rendering an

 important and vital service to the State of Israel and all who live here. This service would be infinitely more important than blind obedience to this particular order.”

The petition cautioned that in the event an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities caused the dispersal of radioactive materials among civilian populations “Israel as a country, as well as those carrying out the bombing might be charged with war crimes.”

Mautner said that he thought the petition should be addressed to the government rather than the pilots, but added that he signed it because sometimes, “One is asked to sign a petition whose intentions and main points you agree with, but not its entirety and not its wording.”

He also said that according to his understanding of the law of war, “There is no legal problem with striking Iran.” But Mautner said he agreed with many of the points made in the petition, especially with regard to the possibility of “very serious and far-reaching consequences” for Israel if it attacks Iran without U.S. cooperation.

Gans, in contrast to his colleague, believes an order to strike Iran without first having exhausted all other options to prevent Tehran from developing nuclear weapons would be illegal and unjustified. “It is clear that the consequences of such a war would be destructive in every possible way,” Gans said.

Vardit Shalfi, who was one of the main figures behind the performers’ petition in 2010 against appearing in Ariel, and Ofer Neiman, a left-wing activist and an editor of the online magazine The Occupation, initiated the petition.

Shalfi said that while there are many campaigns against war with Iran, “none of them appealed to the executive level, the pilots.”

Meanwhile, members of the board of directors of Physicians for Human Rights – Israel, including senior doctors in Israel’s health establishment, have sent a letter to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak in which they expressed their fears about the consequences of a potential Israeli attack on Iran.

“If we liken the state to a ship, you are the captains gripping the wheel of power who are heading this ship and its passengers into an enormous iceberg,” the physicians’ letter said.

Iran’s Revolutionary Call for Syrian Referendum On Assad, Under International Supervision

Iran’s overture to the West on Syria

By M K Bhadrakumar

The opinion-piece that appeared this week in the Washington Post authored by Iranian foreign minister Ali Akbar Salehi was pointedly addressed to the western powers. The thought processes are complex and yet rather direct — a mix of warnings and overtures.

The timing of the WaPo piece merits attention: Kofi Annan’s mission has been wound up and Lakhdar Brahimi is stepping out of the woodwork. Brahimi is the West’s preferred specialist in conflicts involving the Islamist forces — Lebanon, Afghanistan readily come to mind. He has a consistent track record of creating the illusion of negotiations where none exists, while the real contestation continues undisturbed on the battle field. Kofi is too independent, while Brahimi is a time-server. The West badly wants Brahimi at the moment.
Second, the Syrian strife is switching gear. The civil war is just about commencing in right earnest. The supply of stinger missiles by Turkey to the Syrian rebels is meant to be a game changer. Against this backdrop, the US secretary of state Hillary Clinton’s weekend visit to Istanbul is highly symbolic, too. It was meant to shore up Turkish leadership’s sagging morale. Having said that, Tehran sizes that there could also be soul-searching going on in the West — including in Washington — as to what lies ahead. By now, Tehran is used to Clinton’s rhetoric as the cloud cover for angst.

Third, Russia and China have receded to the background and are catching up with their routine life. Thus, the peace arena is empty. The floodlights are on but the stage is empty. And Iran walks in with an overture that is tantalizing in its lethal attraction.
It is difficult to be plainly dismissive about the Iranian offer, while it is also an intriguing offer to approach the door that could possibly open into the rose-garden. Of course, it is an offer that doesn’t suit the United States — and probably, Salehi knows it too, but there is no harm still trying.
Salehi warns that Iran won’t allow a cakewalk over Syria for the US and Turkey. The civil war will be nasty, bloody and protracted and it might even make the 15-year conflict in Lebanon seem a picnic. (By the way, out of the debris in Lebanon rose the Hezbullah.) Obviously, the stakes are high for Iran beacuse it lives in its region and Iran will safeguard its core interests no matter what it takes. But can the West or Turkey afford a protracted conflict in Lebanon?
Salehi underscores that the use of islamism as instrument of policy won’t work, either. Because, Iran is a natural ally of these forces of history, whereas the US and Turkey are not. That is to say, in the longer run, Iran only can win in Syria (or Egypt) whether there is a regime change or not. Besides, Afghanistan also testifies to the blowback that is inevitable if the Christian world tries to manipulate the Islamist forces.
However, Iran is willing to cooperate with the West since its interest lies primarily in regional stability and a level playing field. Therefore, it is willing to play the same role it played in assisting the US invasion of Afghanistan to overthrow the Taliban regime and in showing such extraordinary self-restraint in Iraq (where it could have made things much more bloodier for the Americans if it wanted.)
The big issue is what is the nature of the ‘cooperation’ Tehran has in mind. Salehi makes it clear that Iran finds it unacceptable that Bashar should overnight step down. There has to be some clarity as to what happens in the downstream before Bashar steps down. Besides, Bashar is also part of the Syrian nation and has his rights too.
Therefore, Salehi taunts the West with a proposition: The international community should compel Bashar to stand for an election to the post of president in his country in a free and fair election that is held under international supervision. After all, it is for the Syrian nation to reject him.
Now, would Salehi’s proposal find acceptance in Washington or Ankara (Istanbul), Riyadh or Doha? The answer is a resounding ‘No’. The spectre that is haunting the West is that in a free and fair election, Syrians may well opt for Bashar as the anchor sheet of stability for their country. Surely, the TINA factor comes into play — ‘There Is No Alternative’ to Bashar if the fragile multicultural society that Syria is to hold together.
Besides, a free and fair election in Syria (on top of the one that took place in Egypt with such an awkward outcome) will be anathema to the Gulf Arab sheikhs. It is a dangerous idea that a head of state should be an elected figure. If the pernicious idea works in Syria, Saudi people might well wonder why they too can’t have such a prerogative in the second decade of the 21st century. Quite obviously, the US also will not want to let out the genie. Salehi has played a good hand. The WaPo opinion piece is here.

 

 

Iran Proves To Be the Monkey-Wrench In King Abdullah’s Royal Plans for Syria

Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu and his Iranian counterpart Ali Akbar Salehi met in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia on Wednesday.

By Fiona MacDonald

Iran set the scene for a diplomatic showdown with fellow Islamic states over the suspension of Syria at a summit in the Saudi Arabian city of Mecca.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi told reporters in Jeddah that his country would oppose the exclusion of President Bashar al-Assad’s government from the 57-member Organization of Islamic Cooperation, which has been recommended by the group’s foreign ministers

“Suspending does not mean that the problem will be solved,” he said. “With such a reaction, you just erase the problem.”

The meeting is being attended by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad together with leaders from other Muslim states who are being asked to agree Syria’s suspension as a response to 17 months of civil conflict that has killed more than 21,000 people, according to estimates from the opposition Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Syria was suspended from the Arab League in November.

“Some countries, like Iran, will have the right to object to it, but most countries have adopted it,” Isam Shanti, director of the OIC information department, said by phone from Jeddah. The resolution will be debated by Islamic leaders later today. Iran “wouldn‘t agree to the plan for the exclusion of Syria,’’ Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast told reporters today.

Syrian opposition fighters yesterday said they’d shot down a government MiG-23 on a bombing run over eastern Syria. The state-run Syrian Arab News Agency said the warplane crashed due to a ‘‘technical problem’’ during a training mission.

Captured Pilot

Video on Al Jazeera television from the Free Syrian Army showed what rebels said was the downing in flames of the MiG-23. Gunfire can be heard and a flame is seen emerging from the aircraft. A video link e-mailed by the Local Coordination Committees, an activist group, and posted by the Sham News Network on YouTube, showed the captured pilot, who identified himself as Colonel Mufeed Mohamed Suleiman. The authenticity of the footage could not be confirmed.

The pilot calls on officers of the regular army to ‘‘defect from this gang’’ and says the bruises on his face are from the crash.

‘‘We’ve seen a very troubling and despicable uptick in attacks from the air perpetrated by the Syrian regime,’’ Pentagon spokesman George Little told reporters in Washington. He said the U.S. was unable to confirm the rebels’ claim of a shootdown.

Plans to establish a no-fly zone over Syria are ‘‘not on the front burner,’’ U.S. Defense SecretaryLeon Panetta told Associated Press in an interview published today. While the U.S. armed forces could do the job, it would require a ‘‘major, major policy decision’’ to do so.

No-Fly Zone

The Obama administration is reviewing the possibility of a no-fly zone to protect Syrian civilians from air attacks, White House counterterrorism adviser John Brennan said on Aug. 8. The president of the opposition Syrian National Council, Abdelbaset Sieda, called on Aug. 12 for the creation of a no-fly zone in border areas.

A United Nations-arranged cease-fire, agreed to in April, has failed to halt fighting. Syrian government forces killed 114 people yesterday, including 66 in Damascus and its suburbs, the Local Coordination Committees said in an e-mailed statement. Shelling continued in Damascus suburbs and Homs today, the group said.

Germany’s Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle called for an intensification of planning for a Syria without Assad in a phone call late yesterday with U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, U.K. Foreign Secretary William Hague and Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu.

Violence Increasing

The Syrian president’s special envoy, Buthaina Shaaban, will hold talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi during a visit to China from today, China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang said in a statement posted on the ministry’s website yesterday. China is also considering inviting Syrian opposition groups to visit the country, Qin said.

‘‘It is clear that violence is increasing in many parts of Syria,” Lieutenant General Babacar Gaye, head of the UN’s monitoring force, told journalists in Damascus yesterday. “The indiscriminate use of heavy weapons by the government and targeted attacks by the opposition in urban centers are inflicting a heavy toll on innocent civilians.” The UN monitoring mission expires at the end of the week.

To contact the reporter on this story: Fiona MacDonald in Kuwait atfmacdonald4@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Shaji Mathew at shajimathew@bloomberg.net

Iran and rivals face showdown in Mecca over Syrian civil war

Men search for bodies under rubble of a house, destroyed by a Syrian air force air strike in a village of Tel Rafat, north of Aleppo yesterday.

Iran and rivals face showdown in Mecca over Syrian civil war

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is heading for a rocky ride at an emergency summit of Muslim leaders called by King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia that will focus on the civil war in Syria.

Iran’s uncompromising pledge of support on Tuesday for Bashar Al Assadis likely to make debate especially heated – if not in public, then certainly in private.

Iran launched a pre-emptive diplomatic strike to head off its expected isolation at next Tuesday’s summit. Tehran is hosting a hastily assembled meeting today of foreign ministers from a “dozen countries” that have a “principled and realistic position” on ending the violence in Syria.

The meeting will bring together representatives from Asia, Africa and Latin America, Iran’s foreign minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, said yesterday.

Sitting alongside the Syrian president in a televised display of solidarity on Tuesday, Saeed Jalili, Iran’s powerful national security adviser, cast the Syrian crisis as part of a wider struggle with the United States and its regional allies.

“What is happening in Syria is not an internal Syrian issue but a conflict between the axis of resistance and its enemies in the region and the world,” Mr Jalili said.

Iran has long accused its Arabian Gulf rivals of arming “terrorist” Syrian opposition groups at the behest of the “warmongering” US to break an “axis of resistance” linking Iran, Syria and Hizbollah against the “Zionist regime” and America.

Mr Jalili, a personal representative of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said the Islamic republic would never allow this 30-year-old alliance to be smashed.

The collapse of the Assad dynasty would threaten Iran’s links with Hizbollah, Tehran’s Shiite ally in Lebanon, which gives the Iranians an invaluable proxy presence on Israel’s northern border and enables Iran to project its reach into the Arab world.

In turn, the West and Arabian Gulf states accuse Iran of, at the very least, providing Mr Assad with advisers on security and communications.

Syrian rebels capitalised on those charges by claiming 48 Iranians they captured in Damascus on Sunday are Revolutionary Guards. Iran insists they are Shiite pilgrims but acknowledged for the first time yesterday that some were “retired” Guards members.

Tehran is seeking Turkey’s help to secure their release but infuriated Ankara when Iran’s chief of general staff warned Turkey on Tuesday to end its support for the Syrian opposition. Otherwise, Hassan Firouzabadi said, Turkey would next be afflicted by the Syrian conflict.

As host of next week’s summit of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference in Mecca, it would have been inconceivable for Saudi Arabia not to invite Iran, a key member of the 57-nation bloc.

Equally, Iran would never boycott a gathering that gives it a cherished opportunity to stake its claim as a major regional player that cannot be ignored.

Experts differ widely over Saudi Arabia’s game plan. Some believe King Abdullah would have preferred not to invite Iran.

Iran and Saudi Arabia, the Arabian Gulf’s ideologically opposed leading powerhouses, are bitterly divided on Syria, Bahrain, and Tehran’s nuclear programme.

“The Saudis were hoping Ahmadinejad would stay away,” said Abdelbari Atwan, editor-in-chief of Al Quds Al Arabi newspaper, based in London. “He’s embarrassed them by accepting immediately. Now he’ll be the star of the summit.”

Others believe Saudi Arabia will use the opportunity to unite Sunni Muslim ranks against Mr Assad’s faltering regime and, by extension, to pressure Iran.

“Iran will be shown to be out of line with the consensus of the overwhelming body of Muslim opinion on Syria,” said Gerald Butt, an expert on Arabian Gulf affairs. “It’s a clever move by the Saudis. If Iran stayed away it would appear isolated, but it will also appear isolated when it does show up.”

But there is also informed speculation that Saudi Arabia, fearful the Syrian crisis is spiralling out of control, is keen to de-escalate the situation and wants to explore whether Iran can be part of the solution.

“The Saudis are not holding back in any way on their efforts to counter Iran in the region, but they don’t want to get into a direct or indirect military confrontation with Iran,” said Trita Parsi, an Iran expert in Washington.

Despite visceral mistrust between Tehran and Riyadh, each has a strong incentive to defuse the Syrian crisis.

“The deterioration of the Syrian situation is in no one’s interest and that may create the incentive for some sort of constructive discussion instead of posturing and accusations,” said Farideh Farhi, an Iran expert at the University of Hawaii.

The Mecca summit presents Mr Ahmadinejad with a coveted chance to perform on the world stage. The summit is a challenge the publicity loving and combative Iranian president will relish.

At home he has been shut out of decision-making on key issues such as foreign policy and Iran’s nuclear talks with world powers because of his long-running struggle with Ayatollah Khamenei.

The Iranian president’s hardline rivals have made clear he should have no illusions that his invitation to Mecca was a Saudi olive branch.

A leading Iranian politician, Alaeddin Boroujerdi, said at the weekend: “After facing several defeats in Syria, Saudi Arabia is trying to use the sacred and spiritual atmosphere of Mecca to prove the public opinion of Muslim nations against Syria.”

mtheodoulou@thenational.ae

* With additional reporting by Elizabeth Dickinson