World Bank Assessment Studies for Proposed Rogun Project in Tajikistan

Assessment Studies for Proposed Rogun Regional Water Reservoir and Hydropower Project in Tajikistan

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In response to a request from the Government of the Republic of Tajikistan, the World Bank is supporting the preparation of two studies on the proposed Rogun Regional Water Reservoir and Hydropower Project in Tajikistan (Rogun HPP) through a combined International Development Association (IDA) grant and credit. The two studies are:

  • Techno-Economic Assessment Study (TEAS); and
  • Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA).

These Assessment Studies will examine the potential benefits and risks of the proposed Rogun HPP and comprehensively evaluate its technical, economic, social, and environmental viability based on the current international standards and practices and in accordance with the Bank’s policies and procedures. They will provide the Government of Tajikistan, the World Bank, the other Central Asian countries and the international community with information about key elements associated with the proposed Rogun HPP.

The Assessment Studies, which could take approximately 18 months to complete from their commencement, have already benefited from extensive consultations on their Terms of Reference, which the World Bank facilitated in 2008-2009 with the governments of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Afghanistan.

Both Assessment Studies (TEAS and ESIA) have been contracted following International Competitive Bidding procedures, with close oversight by the World Bank. A consortium led by Coyne & Bellier will undertake the TEAS (contact signed on February 8, 2011) while Poyry of Switzerland will direct the ESIA (contract signed on March 25, 2011). Both firms have mobilized and will deliver inception reports in early May 2011. Inception reports are initial reports by the consultants that outline the work programs and study approaches for both Assessment Studies.

In supporting the Rogun Assessment Studies, as part of theCentral Asia Energy-Water Development Program, the World Bank has committed to an expanded role to ensure credible, transparent assessments that are open to international scrutiny and riparian dialogue. World Bank’s role includes the following steps:

  • Oversee Assessment Studies, including review of selection of consultants, attendance at contract negotiations, and review of all interim and draft reports.
  • Manage direct payments to the firms selected to undertake the Assessment Studies.
  • Undertake additional studies (to be funded by the World Bank or World Bank-managed Trust Funds), including studies of the energy supply and water management alternatives to the proposed Rogun Regional Water Reservoir and Hydropower Project that will be undertaken in parallel to the Assessment Studies.
  • Select and manage two independent Panels of Experts (to be funded by the World Bank or World Bank-managed Trust Funds) that will participate in the studies, providing objective advice, guidance and quality assurance.
  • Facilitate a structured process for riparian involvement, including information exchange and access to independent experts.

Additional studies that the World Bank will undertake in addition to IDA support for the Rogun Assessment Studies and independently of the Government of Tajikistan will focus on:

  • Assessment of options and alternatives to a proposed Rogun HPP which is a usual component to the project assessment. The World Bank will undertake this study to consider the range of options to meet energy security needs, water management services, and help harness the potential for energy exports in Tajikistan. The study will help the Government, the Bank and the international community to better understand the range of investment options for energy and water security at the least cost and highest development value.
  • Possible mechanisms to manage reservoir operations with transboundary impacts.
  • Hydrologic data and analysis which will further establish the credibility of the water analysis in the Assessment Studies.

The studies undertaken by the World Bank will be funded by the World Bank or World Bank-managed Trust Funds in parallel with the Assessment Studies on the proposed Rogun HPP.

At this time, the World Bank has reached an understanding with the Government of Tajikistan that no new construction would commence until after the techno-economic and environmental/social studies have been shared and discussed with riparians, and the studies are reviewed by the independent Bank-funded Panel of Experts to determine feasibility.