Analysis–Pakistan army tries to win over population in war-torn tribal region

[Kayani’s Islamists are faithfully intimidating the voting public, hoping to scuttle ideas of civilian government in Pakistan.   I look for the Army to flex its muscles somewhere, today, in order to remind Pakistanis just who protects them from the savages.  (SEE:  Obama’s Practical Joke On Gen. Kayani–”Quick Impact Projects” Don’t Repopulate Ghost Towns)]

Analysis: Pakistan army tries to win over population in war-torn tribal region

 the vancouver sun

With improvements to standard of living, residents slowly returning after years as refugees

A Pakistani displaced girl Amina BibiA Pakistani displaced girl, Amina Bibi, attends class March 28, 2013, at a school rebuilt by the Pakistani army, in Tank, the bordering town of South Waziristan, the tribal area bordering Afghanistan attends. After battling Taliban militants in the tribal areas bordering Afghanistan for over a decade, the Pakistani military is engaged in a new fight, for the hearts and minds of the people who are returning to the region after living for years as refugees.  Photograph by: B.K. Bangash , AP

SARAROGHA, Pakistan — Driving through high mountain passes with mud brick houses perched on cliffs overhead and caves below where Taliban fighters once hid, Brig. Hassan Hayat talks excitedly about the Pakistan army’s latest operations in these long-hostile tribal areas.

“Now we are getting into the olives,” he said as the road passed through groves of trees, explaining how the military has been bringing in Italian olive trees to graft on to local growers’ trees to improve production. “Some 400 trees we’ve already done.”

He had wanted to plant daffodils, he mentioned at another point in the trip but it turned out the flowers would be too hard to export. Bee farms have proven more productive.

After battling Taliban militants in the tribal areas bordering Afghanistan for over a decade, the Pakistani military is engaged in a new fight, aiming to win over a population that is are returning to homes after years living as refugees in their country and who harbour a longstanding mistrust of the central government.

The military is rebuilding infrastructure and establishing economic and job projects for the population in South Waziristan, one of the seven tribal regions along the border with Afghanistan. It’s a classic counterinsurgency tactic similar to that used by the U.S. military — with mixed results — in Iraq and Afghanistan. The aim is to decrease support for militants and bring peace to a troubled region; in this case, it’s tribal areas that have long been sanctuaries for the Taliban and other militant groups fueling instability in both Afghanistan and Pakistan.

“Once the people are more aware, more educated, they will not take arms but go for the development and be a positive contributor in society,” Hayat said.

With a month to go before nationwide elections that will likely include a transfer of power from one elected government to another for the first time in Pakistan’s history, security will be a major campaign issue. Since many of Pakistan’s security problems are linked to what happens in the tribal regions, the success or failure of the counter-insurgency campaign could have major repercussions for the rest of the country.

Pakistan’s battle against the Taliban began after the U.S. invasion of neighbouring Afghanistan in 2001, which pushed many militants across the border into the tribal regions of northwestern Pakistan. There, they found allies among a population historically neglected by Pakistan’s central government. Much of the population is Pashtun, the ethnic group that has been the backbone of the Taliban. Working out of the tribal areas, the Pakistani branch of the Taliban launched a campaign of attacks inside Pakistan.

South Waziristan became the main sanctuary for the Pakistani Taliban, until the army launched a large ground invasion in late 2009. Amid the assault, some 300,000 of the territory’s 545,000 people fled to other parts of Pakistan. Entire villages and towns were left virtually empty, particularly in the eastern part of the territory where fighting was heaviest. But the offensive largely broke the Taliban hold, with many fighters who survived going into hiding or fleeing into Afghanistan or the neighbouring Pakistani territory of North Waziristan, which remains a militant stronghold.

“The population was hostage to these people,” said Hayat. “They had their rule of law. Whatever they wanted they could do in this area.”

But many residents have a softer recollection of Taliban rule. Many said they didn’t have a problem with the Taliban and only fled because of the fighting.

“During the Taliban time the situation was good generally. The Taliban have not done anything wrong to anyone. Pakistan and Taliban have the problem,” said Sami Ullah, who owns a hotel and restaurant that opened in March in Sararogha, thanks to the army’s rehabilitation efforts.

The army, which essentially runs South Waziristan now, launched the rehabilitation and rebuilding program in 2010. It has grown since, mostly in the eastern part of the territory.

But major challenges remain. Only about 15 per cent of residents who fled have been allowed to return, as the military lets them back only at the rate their towns are rebuilt.

Many of those who have returned complain about lack of compensation and services. They chafe against military restrictions. The army, for example, has stopped mobile phone services, likely to prevent the Taliban from using them to communicate or detonate bombs. No one is allowed to carry weapons, angering tribesmen who consider their rifles a symbol of independence and pride. Anyone entering or leaving South Waziristan is checked against a database of who is allowed in and who is not.

It’s also unknown when, if ever, the military will be able to hand over power to a civilian government in South Waziristan, a territory about the size of Delaware.

“The progress is slow,” said Abdur Rahim Khan, who is running in the May 11 election for a parliament seat in a South Waziristan district. His village has not yet been resettled and most of his potential constituents are scattered around the country.

One of the military’s most high-profile projects is the roads being built in areas previously only accessible by four-wheel drive, camel or on foot. The U.S. government’s development arm is paying for most of the roads. Part of the plan is to open a new corridor to give traders easy access from Afghanistan to Pakistan’s central Punjab province, the heart of the country’s agriculture and manufacturing.

In Sararogha, businessman Danet Khan said the new roads save time and money. On the gravel roads, the average vehicle only survived four or five years. Now the smooth two-lane highway through his village cuts travel time dramatically.

The military has built shopping areas where villagers now sell goods out of small shop fronts with roll-down metal doors painted with a green and white Pakistani flag. A barber — something forbidden under the Taliban — cuts hair in one of the stalls, although he says most residents don’t need a shave because they still prefer long beards. Hayat would like to bring in a CD shop, also banned by the Taliban.

Soccer fields, schools, poultry farms and homes for widows have been built, and the military is trying to rehabilitate a leather factory sacked by the Taliban.

With few jobs at home, families here have historically survived on wages from family members sent to work in the port city of Karachi or the Persian Gulf. So the army built a vocational school to teach men skills such as computers and electricity repair. Since many people also joined the militants simply because they paid well, the school potentially deprives the Taliban of new recruits.

“They don’t have any opportunities. They need something to live on. That’s why they joined the Taliban,” said one student studying to be an electrician, Sajjad Ahmed.

A cadet college run by Pakistani military officers was provided after requests from residents who have been starved of quality schools and plagued by an absence of decent teachers.

In the long term, the future of the region will be influenced in large part by what happens in Afghanistan. American troops are scheduled to leave at the end of 2014. Pakistani military officials worry about a repeat of the civil war that followed the 1989 withdrawal of Soviet forces.

The final goal of handing South Waziristan to a civilian government is a long way off.

“Right now we feel safe as long as the army is around, but I am not sure about the future,” said resident Malik Fareed Khan.

The tribal areas, known as agencies, have historically been regarded as a security buffer between Afghanistan and the rest of Pakistan, administered mostly by government officials appointed by Islamabad and following a different legal system from the rest of the country. That system left a legacy of neglect and a feeling among residents that they don’t answer to the central government.

But for real stability, the tribal areas need to be better connected with the rest of Pakistan.

“The military is playing its role but you need to answer those questions to be successful in bringing total peace,” said Hayat.