It Seems Like China Is Taking the Weight of the World Upon Itself In Afghanistan

[China is putting itself in an unenviable position of trying to find common ground between the Afghan government and the main Taliban faction which was previously allied to Mullah Mansour until he was killed by a Pentagon drone, these Taliban now follow Mullah Haibatullah Akhundzada. 
These peace negotiations will proceed more smoothly without US help. 
In addition to a Taliban treaty, China must also produce a working relationship between Afghanistan and Pakistan, as well as Tajikistan.  If Peace between the Taliban and the Afghan govt can be achieved, then it will also require agreement from Pakistan, which would stabilize the situation enough to build the TAPI pipeline, and allow the completion of China/Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).  But, a big caveat remains, which is certain to kill any and all of these projects, without the active participation of India (power and transport corridors must pass through the contested territories of Gilgat-Baltistan and Kashmir). 
It remains to be seen exactly how Chinese/Pakistani/Tajik military alliances (possibly including Afghanistan) can protect pipeline projects through hostile territory.
All of this will require levels of Chinese diplomacy on a par with China’s well known gymnastic capabilities.  The expression “jumping through hoops” cannot even begin to describe the monumental challenge which China has set upon its own table. 
All of us must be supportive of China and all of the key players in this endeavor.]

A delegation led by Abbas Stanakzai, head of the Taliban’s political office in Qatar, visited Beijing from July 18-22–China indirectly confirms meeting with Taliban

“We informed the Chinese officials about the occupation by invading forces and their atrocities on the Afghan people … We wanted the Chinese leadership to help us raise these issues at world forums and help us win freedom from occupying forces,”

“China is a member of the four-nation group that attempted to restart peace talks with the Taliban earlier this year, along with Pakistan, the US and Afghanistan.
The efforts were stalled after former Taliban leader Mullah Mohammad Akhtar Mansour was killed in a US drone strike in Pakistan in May.
What China wants is to help build a platform for peace talks where the Afghans can lead the reconciliation process. China genuinely wishes to see a stable Afghan society where terror activities can be controlled,”
It is not in China’s interests to see rifts deepen between Pakistan and Afghanistan. There are misunderstandings between the two sides and both need to find ways to sit down and engage in earnest talks,”

United State can no longer school Pakistan; the real rein is in the hand of China


One may be pleased as punch about the United State’s strong statement urging Pakistan to act against terrorists that target its neighbours, but let’s hold the crowing. When push comes to shove, it is China which can actually influence Pakistan on such matters, not the US.

The harsh warning is likely to mean little more than what a passing life guard’s ticking off might mean to a gang of teenagers disturbing others on a beach. It would be foolhardy to think that it will actually cause much change in behaviour.

China’s commitment of 46 billion US dollars investments for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor has given fresh life to Pakistan’s economy. So India’s strategic concerns hinges on China’s economic prospects far more than on statements the US State Department. The Defence Department has withheld 300 million dollars which had been vouchsafed to Pakistan, but that is not even one per cent of China’s investment.

In any case, defence cooperation between China and Pakistan is so close that substantial numbers of Chinese troops are said to be stationed across the Line of Control between India and Pakistan.
Pakistan and China cooperate closely with each other on defence. In fact, China acknowledges that Pakistan is its closest strategic partner. Indians can forget at their own peril the fact that Pakistan’s military dictator Pervez Musharraf was sitting in Beijing when the Kargil war began.
The sobering fact is that China has gone out of its way to set India against its neighbour. Pakistan has been its leading cat’s-paw.

India-pak-380-gettyRepresentational image. Getty images









Playing both sides

On the other hand, Pakistan has scant regard for the US and its prescriptions. After all, Pakistan has played both sides with the US for several decades. Since at least the beginning of the 1990s, it has been an ally of the US’s opponents while simultaneously being a political and military ally of the US.

Matters came to a head once more on Friday, when the US Defence department withheld 300 million dollars of its military aid to Pakistan over the latter’s reluctance to act against the Haqqani network.

Pakistan has nurtured the hardline Haqqani group, one of the most important factions within the Afghan ‘mujahideen’ since the 1980s. It continues to be based and protected in Pakistan. The group had allied with the Taliban to help take over Pakistan in 1996, and is considered an important player in the Taliban’s internal politics. Indeed, it represents Pakistani priorities within the Taliban.

Given this background, Pakistan is unlikely to be much impressed by the State Department statement noting ‘progress’ or adding that ‘we want to see more progress on its (Pakistan’s) part.’
If anything, Pakistan is likely to be miffed by the tone and tenor of that statement, which sounded clearly peremptory and judgmental. On the one hand, Pakistan clearly views the US as a fair-weather friend, undependable in crucial times. Since 1995, it has felt betrayed over the US’s growing closeness to India.

On the other hand, Pakistan has long been convinced that its actions, including support, arms and training for militants, with regard to Kashmir are all legitimate. Indeed, these have been at the core of the Pakistan state’s policy for long periods.

Pakistan has already promoted China as the major power in its strategic, counter-terrorism, and economic policy thrusts in Central Asia, Afghanistan, and the northern regions of Jammu and Kashmir state. China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajikistan have formed a counter-terrorism alliance.

China sees Central Asia as well as the route through the northern part of Jammu and Kashmir through Pakistan to the Gwadar port as its modern-day ‘silk route’. Oil pipelines, mining for precious metals, and export routes are all crucial to its strategic policies for the 21st century.