[Left unpublished for unknown reason…sorry…]
By Helene Cooper and David E. Sanger – The New York Times
KEVIN LAMARQUE / The New York Times Secretary of State John Kerry, left, and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov at a joint news conference, in Geneva, Switzerland, Sept. 9, 2016. The agreement that Kerry announced with Russia regarding Syria has widened a divide between Kerry and Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter. (Kevin Lamarque/Pool via The New York Times)
WASHINGTON — The agreement that Secretary of State John Kerry announced with Russia to reduce the killing in Syria has widened an increasingly public divide between Kerry and Defense Secretary Ash Carter, who has deep reservations about the plan for U.S. and Russian forces to jointly target terror groups.
Carter was among the administration officials who pushed against the agreement on a conference call with the White House last week as Kerry, joining the argument from a secure facility in Geneva, grew increasingly frustrated. Although President Barack Obama ultimately approved the effort after hours of debate, Pentagon officials remain unconvinced.
On Tuesday at the Pentagon, officials would not even agree that if a cessation of violence in Syria held for seven days — the initial part of the deal — the Defense Department would put in place its part of the agreement on the eighth day: An extraordinary collaboration between the United States and Russia that calls for the U.S. military to share information with Moscow on Islamic State targets in Syria.
“I’m not saying yes or no,” Lt. Gen. Jeffrey Harrigian, commander of the U.S. Air Forces Central Command, told reporters on a video conference call. “It would be premature to say that we’re going to jump right into it.”
White House officials were also dubious. “I think we’d have some reasons to be skeptical that the Russians are able or are willing to implement the arrangement consistent with the way it’s been described,” Josh Earnest, the White House press secretary, said Monday at a briefing. He added, darkly, “But we’ll see.”
In Kerry’s view, the administration has needed to do everything it can to restrain the forces of President Bashar Assad of Syria from continuing to bomb civilians. Once the Russians entered the war, that meant making the deal with President Vladimir Putin — one in which the Russians would pressure Assad to stay out of the skies.
For Kerry, the search for a reduction in violence in Syria, and ultimately a political agreement that will ease Assad out of office, is a matter of legacy and reputation. His first major project as secretary of state, reviving Mideast peace talks, collapsed before his first year in office was complete. His next major effort, the Iran nuclear deal, was far more successful, and he ultimately found a way to convince the Iranians to ship most of their nuclear material out of the country and dismantle key facilities.
But the Syria deal, as Kerry himself conceded at the State Department on Monday, is far more complex — in part because there are so many other players, beyond Washington and Moscow, with stakes in the outcome. In private, he has conceded to aides and friends that he believes it will not work. But he has said he is determined to try, so that he, and Obama, do not leave office having failed to alleviate a civil war that has taken roughly half a million lives.
The first full day of the cease-fire passed Tuesday with no notable violations, but an atmosphere of deep mistrust prevailed in Syria’s war-ravaged areas, residents and monitoring groups reported. The skepticism was fed partly by what appeared to be delays in expediting United Nations aid deliveries to the northern city of Aleppo and other combat zones where civilians have long been deprived of food and medicine. Relief for these areas is an important component of the cease-fire agreement.
The divide between Kerry and Carter reflects the inherent conflict in Obama’s Syria policy. The president has come under increased criticism politically for his refusal to intervene more forcefully in the 5-year-old civil war, which the U.N. says has killed more than 400,000 people, displaced more than 6 million people and led to a refugee crisis in Europe. But keeping large numbers of U.S. ground forces out of Syria has also created space for Russia to assume a greater role there, both on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.
The result is that at a time when the United States and Russia are at their most combative posture since the end of the Cold War, the U.S. military is suddenly being told that it may, in a week, have to start sharing intelligence with one of its biggest adversaries to jointly target Islamic State and al-Nusra forces in Syria.
“I remain skeptical about anything to do with the Russians,” Gen. Philip M. Breedlove, who recently stepped down as NATO’s supreme allied commander, said Monday. “There are a lot of concerns about putting out there where our folks are.”
In an email, Peter Cook, the Pentagon press secretary, said: “As Secretary Carter has said, Secretary Kerry has worked tirelessly to try and ease the suffering of the Syrian people and bring about a diplomatic resolution to the Syrian civil war. If fully implemented, this arrangement could advance those important goals.
The Defense Department, he added, “will carry out its responsibilities, but it’s really up to Russia and the regime to comply with the terms and finally start doing the right thing in Syria.”
Chief among Pentagon concerns is whether sharing targeting information with Russia could reveal how the U.S. uses intelligence to conduct airstrikes, not just in Syria but in other places, which Moscow could then use for its own advantage in the growing confrontations undersea and in the air around the Baltics and Europe.
But to Kerry’s inner team of advisers, the Pentagon approach was reflexive Cold War-era thinking. For all the other tensions with Russia, they believed that the Russians themselves did not want to get mired in Syria, and would cooperate up to a point.
“From a Pentagon perspective, the U.S. military is the one that, around the world, is on the receiving end of Russia’s military misbehavior,” said Derek Chollet, a former assistant secretary of defense in the Obama administration. “There is just generally a lack of trust.”
It is a measure of the sensitivity of the agreement — for Washington, for Moscow and for an array of other countries and opposition groups — that the State Department has not released a text of the agreement with the Russians, or even a fact sheet summarizing it.